Jimmy G & Shanahan are running Gary's WCO …. Any QB who's ever played in that system will tell you its a QB's best friend.
I think it suits Watson perfectly. He's mobile and can take advantage of the stuff designed to get him out of the pocket , he can get the ball out quick when the routes demand it & he's very accurate on the deep ball and he'd get a lot of opportunities to do that from play action.
The only issue is if he can operate under center. So far we haven't seen that and there's really only one reason a QB isn't under center and that's a question of vision. I'd go deeper into that theory but it would be fruitless ….
This might help. Some very interesting analyses.........a must read for anyone interested in the nuances of a QB's snap position.
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Shotgun v. Under Center - is there really a difference in performance by Manning?
By
Laurie Lattimore-Volkmann
@docllv on Oct 26, 2015, 4:03pm MDT
83
If you all have learned anything, it is that there is no way I (Laurie) would actually be writing a post breaking down plays and statistics
But to help
FrenchFred post his thoughts on some statistics regarding Peyton Manning's performance in the shotgun versus under center, I gladly obliged to create the post. For questions/debate on anything after my intro, you will need to talk to him (including any potential complaints on not only no "Whorfin" option in the poll, but NO POLL whatsoever!)
They're all yours, FrenchFred!
Is Peyton Manning really that bad Under Center? Is he really Shotgun-reliant as most are saying?
First, I would like to thank Laurie for taking the time to find me useful data regarding the subject and helping me publish this article with a nice presentation.
Second, all the data is based on
Manning's split stats available on Pro-Football-References, which divides "shotgun" and "under center" explicitly (not available on ESPN) but does not distinguish between the shotgun or pistol formations.
Third, The data might not be 100 percent exact if you compared it to the 2013 stats provided in this
2014 PFF article or
ESPN split stats. For example:
- number of pass attempts Under Center is 93 on the PFF article when it's 91 with the datas available on ESPN and 100 on Pro-football-reference
- number of completion is 60 for PFF and ESPN, and 67 for Pro-Football-Reference
- number of TDs is 13 for PFF and ESPN, and 12 for Pro-Football-Reference
- number of INT is 0 for the 3 websites
I began my research with ESPN, but as I was limited to the year 2008 and after, I turned to Pro-Football-Reference, which is much more complete (gives directly the snaps Under Center and gives information from Peyton Manning's rookie year)
As a short introduction to the important part, here is how I see the differences between taking a snap under center or in the shotgun from a QB's point of view (and I base these differences on quick throws since I consider the difference between the two to be erased when keeping the ball more than 2 to 2.5 seconds).
To put it simply, I see the Under Center formation as "eyes to brain to arm" process, where the Shotgun is more of a "brain to eyes to arm" process.
The Under Center formation allows the QB to take visual information of the very first movement of the defense while receiving the ball. That first information is analyzed while the QB is dropping back to either hand off the ball to the running back or to prepare for the throw. That first information gives the quarterback the indication of where he will orient his throw, going for his first option or directly going to his second or third one). He will then deliver the ball with his arm while his eyes confirm his first information.
So "eyes to brain to arm" process.
The Shotgun allows the quarterback to scan the whole field easier and process the movement of the defense before the snap. The QB will have his strategy prepared in advance and will have to rely on it to make his quick throw. Why will he rely on it? It's because as soon as he gives the signal to snap the ball, he will be concentrated on receiving the ball, which will tunnel his vision. As soon as he receives the ball, he will quickly scan the field in direction to the predetermined place he is supposed to throw the ball and will throw almost in the same time.
Hence, "brain to eyes to arm" process.
This nuance between the two processes is the reason why in the NFL an experienced QB can destroy a not perfectly organized defense just with his pre-snap read in the shotgun. Meanwhile a young QB will have to use the Under Center formation (or have specific plays allowing him to compensate his lack of experience, like the read-option) to react to the movements of the defense more than act according to his pre-snap read.
That nuance is also the reason why you hear everyone say "he was looking at X receiver the whole time" when he is in shotgun formation even for very quick throws.
Before I give you figures to think about, I want to say that not one strategy is better than the other - both need to be implemented in the playbook and both have their advantages/disadvantages, their own variants depending on the talent of the quarterback's teammates, on the down/distance and clock situation, etc..
If you still don't trust my appreciation of the nuances between Shotgun and Under Center, here is the recap of the percentage for each formation from 1998 to 2015 (early on, Manning played a bunch of time Under Center):
Now the fun part - is Manning really much better in one formation than the other?
The short answer is that yes, he is much better Under Center as this table shows:
*Side note: for those screaming; "let him play the no-huddle all the time," I intentionally left the percentage of Huddle/No Huddle he played his entire career. As it's not part of my article, I'll just stop at that on this subject...
*Fun fact: PM has run for 18 TDs his entire career...
Globally, Manning has a better QB rating - more TDs (passing and running), a better Y/A (yards/attempts), and fewer INTs - while spending 41% of the time Under Center.
The good point regarding his Shotgun formation is mainly his completion percentage and the number of first downs.
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