o The signing of Ahman Green to a 4-year deal indicates fairly clearly to me that we will not be hunting for a RB in round 2+.
o I doubt AD falls to 1.08.
o I doubt Kalil falls to 2.07.
So, we have either Levi Brown or LaRon Landry flying up our board at 1.08. What would the (simple, no-trade) draft scenarios resemble?
1/LaRon Landry
2/Joe Staley OR CB
3/Kareem Brown OR Ryan Harris
Note that the order matters -- in other words, if we pick Staley, thereby addressing OT in Rd 2, then we don't need to go Ryan Harris in Rd 3, and so can address DT.
OR.....
1/Levi Brown
2/CB (McCauley, Ross, Hughes) or S (Griffin, Merriweather)
3/Kareem Brown
Thoughts on Kolb in the 3rd. It could happen from a marketing perspective: UH homer makes good as Texan. Nice story. It could not happen from an opportunity cost standpoint: pick Kolb and forego other positions AND a better QB next draft. But I digress, back to the scenarios.
The question is not "should we draft an OT in Rd 1?". Everyone knows our line needs depth, and we continue to look for our left OT. Rather the question is/should be: "Is LaRon Landry a better FS compared to other safeties thanLevi Brown is better than other tackles?" It is about incremental benefit and opportunity cost, IMHO.
We are missing some key information. If we the prognosticators had better information regarding the status of Spencer's recovery, we would be better able to predict the direction of the draft. And so would other teams. Frankly, I would be very surprised if we hear anything re Spencer's knee/leg prior to the draft. Who we pick at 1.08 will speak volumes. If Spencer recovers, we have our starting tackles, and can address depth at OL later in the draft.
Anyway, it has been an exciting NFL weekend.