Number19
Hall of Fame
Let's break this down. Last season the Texans averaged 62 offensive snaps per game, about middle of the pack. Dallas was near the top and averaged 67.
Of these 62 offensive snaps, the Texans passed the ball 47% of the time. So they ran the ball 53% of the time.
Now Stroud, for the season, had a completion percentage of 64%..
So let's imagine the Texans average 66 snaps per game. Now I don't imagine the run/pass percentages will change much, but just for the fun of it, let's round it off to 50/50. That's 33 passing attemps per game.
And now let's guess Stroud ups his game a bit and his passing percentage goes up to 66%. Not unreasonable. So that averages out to be about 22 completions per game.
So now we have the pure speculation how those 22 completions will be distributed among Collins, Dell, Diggs, Schultz and Mixon. As a starting point, that's 4+ each per game, or 68 for the season.
Last season Collins was targeted 22% of the time. Schultz was his second favorite target with 18%. In his shortened season, Dell was targeted a total of 15%. Woods also was targeted 15%. Brown 11% and Metchie 6%. The RBs were targeted 14% of the time. Now we have to remember these are targets, not completions.
A lot of mumbo jumbo statistics. But I think we can conclude that Stroud will continue to spread the ball around, without a clear favorite.
Of these 62 offensive snaps, the Texans passed the ball 47% of the time. So they ran the ball 53% of the time.
Now Stroud, for the season, had a completion percentage of 64%..
So let's imagine the Texans average 66 snaps per game. Now I don't imagine the run/pass percentages will change much, but just for the fun of it, let's round it off to 50/50. That's 33 passing attemps per game.
And now let's guess Stroud ups his game a bit and his passing percentage goes up to 66%. Not unreasonable. So that averages out to be about 22 completions per game.
So now we have the pure speculation how those 22 completions will be distributed among Collins, Dell, Diggs, Schultz and Mixon. As a starting point, that's 4+ each per game, or 68 for the season.
Last season Collins was targeted 22% of the time. Schultz was his second favorite target with 18%. In his shortened season, Dell was targeted a total of 15%. Woods also was targeted 15%. Brown 11% and Metchie 6%. The RBs were targeted 14% of the time. Now we have to remember these are targets, not completions.
A lot of mumbo jumbo statistics. But I think we can conclude that Stroud will continue to spread the ball around, without a clear favorite.