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2023 TEXANS DRAFT DISCUSSION

I mean good lord. Some people LOVE to avoid those facts. Defenses are stronger, and faster in the league than in college. Game plans are much different. So no, the amount of time to throw is not the same and it’s hilarious you want to cover you eyes like you are hiding from the boogeyman.
 
I mean good lord. Some people LOVE to avoid those facts. Defenses are stronger, and faster in the league than in college. Game plans are much different. So no, the amount of time to throw is not the same and it’s hilarious you want to cover you eyes like you are hiding from the boogeyman.
I never said it was the same. But Alabama's OL sucked in 2022 and you'll never convince me otherwise. Good Lord you are mis-representing the facts to promote your own agenda. Stop it!
 
I'm afraid that Young is anticipating a "perfect world" that is unlikely to exist.

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Bryce Young says he will use “anticipation” to make up for lack of height
Posted by Mike Florio on April 22, 2023, 12:21 PM EDT



“I think it’s a lot about anticipation, knowing where your guys are going be, and then knowing where the defense [will be],” Young said.

He added that much of it also comes from diagnosing and understanding the coverages, and then “trying to find throwing lane and seeing in between and again, even when you can’t see, it’s knowing where people are going to be at based off of understanding the concept, understanding the defense you’re getting, and knowing what you have to account for and who you have to account for based off where you’re trying to throw.”
This comment would cause me to seriously pause any idea of drafting him. He's not taking into account that the defensive coaches & players are also studying his habits & tendencies. He just stated that even if he can't see his receiver & the coverage, he's just going to throw the ball where he knows his receiver is supposed to be. How's he even going to know what shoulder to throw it over if he can't see them? That sounds like an interception waiting to happen.

In college, he played teams with maybe 1-4 NFL starters & a few backups. In the NFL, he'll be going up against 11 cream of the crop players on every play of every game. The coordinators will change up the defensive alignments for every game & even for plays within the game.

If the Texans select him (assuming he gets past Carolina) I'll root for him, but I'll cringe every time he throws the ball to a spot where he believes the receiver is at.
 
Understandable how? Because his friend plays there? I’m sure you know there are many players in the league who are friends and they still compete because it’s a business. By the way, saying you don’t want to go play in destination X no matter the reason is a red flag. That’s called entitlement. He hadn’t played a down in the NFL to be able to make such a request, especially publicly.
How did that red flag work out for the Giants and Eli Manning.
Like I stated before, we’re so quick to crap on our own.
 
It’s really anybody’s guess as to what will happen at the quarterback position at this point. I’ve had people tell me quarterbacks will go 1-2-3-4, while others say that after Bryce Young the next signal-caller selected will be by the Colts with the fourth pick.


Should Stroud get past the Texans, most believe the Colts will take either Stroud or Will Levis at four. Just about everyone I’ve spoken with believes Stroud won’t get past the Raiders at pick number 7.



If the Texans pass on Stroud, there is a belief they’ll take Tyree Wilson with the second selection. But I’m told Wilson’s medicals are a bit problematic for Houston, and they are leaning toward Will Anderson with that choice.
 
I never said it was the same. But Alabama's OL sucked in 2022 and you'll never convince me otherwise. Good Lord you are mis-representing the facts to promote your own agenda. Stop it!
Their line didn't suck, he does have some issues on a muddle pocket, but I agree with the jest of it.
 
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This comment would cause me to seriously pause any idea of drafting him. He's not taking into account that the defensive coaches & players are also studying his habits & tendencies. He just stated that even if he can't see his receiver & the coverage, he's just going to throw the ball where he knows his receiver is supposed to be. How's he even going to know what shoulder to throw it over if he can't see them? That sounds like an interception waiting to happen.

In college, he played teams with maybe 1-4 NFL starters & a few backups. In the NFL, he'll be going up against 11 cream of the crop players on every play of every game. The coordinators will change up the defensive alignments for every game & even for plays within the game.

If the Texans select him (assuming he gets past Carolina) I'll root for him, but I'll cringe every time he throws the ball to a spot where he believes the receiver is at.
All nfl qbs throw to the spot. They don't see a guy open, they process and anticipate their player reading the coverage the same.
 
I mean good lord. Some people LOVE to avoid those facts. Defenses are stronger, and faster in the league than in college. Game plans are much different. So no, the amount of time to throw is not the same and it’s hilarious you want to cover you eyes like you are hiding from the boogeyman.
You do know that no prospect, even a highly rated prospect isn't finished growing and maturing, right?
 
Yes, because someone he considers a brother is the starting QB there and he has no intentions of trying to supplant that.

And it wasn't a request, it was an answer to a question. He wasn't negotiating with anyone, he was asked and politely answered a question.

I don't recall him twirling his mustache while unveiling his diabolical plot. He was asked what he thought of going to the Bears who had the first pick at the time, like most elite-tier players are regularly asked each year around the draft, and he politely and candidly responded that he'd prefer not to go there out of respect for his close personal friend.

It's really pretty simple.
You know why that poster is so against Stroud don't you.
 
Should Stroud get past the Texans, most believe the Colts will take either Stroud or Will Levis at four. Just about everyone I’ve spoken with believes Stroud won’t get past the Raiders at pick number 7
If I truly believed this I would have no issues taking Levis at 1.2

I don't want to draft a QB this year. I'd take Gonzales at 1.2 if it were me. But if Hannah & Cal decide we are taking a QB in the 1st, it's going to be Levis. Even if I have to take him at 1.2
 
Your statement that he had a lot of time compared to others is not fact. He was under pressure a damn lot. You didn't watch Alabama football

I'm not arguing here. I just thought this was an interesting point. I'm not sure exactly how they calculated this. I would expect scramblers and people with good blocking to be able to take longer.

Time to throw:
Stetson Bennett - 2.53s
Will Levis - 2.58s
Hendon Hooker - 2.6s
Jake Haener - 2.67s
C.J. Stroud - 2.92s
Bryce Young - 3.02s
Anthony Richardson - 3.18s
Clayton Tune - 3.2s
 
I'm not arguing here. I just thought this was an interesting point. I'm not sure exactly how they calculated this. I would expect scramblers and people with good blocking to be able to take longer.

Time to throw:
Stetson Bennett - 2.53s
Will Levis - 2.58s
Hendon Hooker - 2.6s
Jake Haener - 2.67s
C.J. Stroud - 2.92s
Bryce Young - 3.02s
Anthony Richardson - 3.18s
Clayton Tune - 3.2s
From Understanding NFL NextGenerationStats:

Time to Throw
Of the Next Gen Passing Stats, Time to Throw (TT) is the most predictable from one year to the next. The stat itself is self-explanatory—Time to Throw measures the average amount of time elapsed from the time of snap to throw on every pass attempt for a passer (sacks excluded).

While TT does not have a strong direct relationship with fantasy points scored, there are some indirect fantasy implications. Consider the players with the highest and lowest average TT over the four years of Next Gen data.

Highest Average Time to Throw, 2016–2019
Player2016201720182019Average TT
Tyrod Taylor3.133.023.08
Josh Allen3.222.853.04
Lamar Jackson3.102.923.01
Deshaun Watson3.103.012.822.98
Sam Darnold2.912.922.92
Lowest Average Time to Throw, 2016–2019
Player2016201720182019Average TT
Drew Brees2.422.582.592.572.54
Ben Roethlisberger2.592.562.552.57
Derek Carr2.492.492.552.822.59
Ryan Fitzpatrick2.452.662.652.612.59
Philip Rivers2.652.612.622.632.63
Unsurprisingly, the passers with the highest average TT are mobile passers but also quarterbacks who take a lot of sacks. Tyrod Taylor and Deshaun Watson have two of the three highest sack rates since 2016 (45 qualified quarterbacks) and Josh Allen has the 11th-highest sack rate in that span. On the flip side, 38 quarterbacks have higher sack rates than Philip Rivers, Derek Carr, Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger over the last four years. You’re not going to shy away from using the mobile passers in fantasy, but they could be sneaky targets when searching for a defense to stream or use in DFS.
 
Nick Caserio says Texans are willing to trade with other AFC South teams

April 21, 2023 4:07 pm CT

Maybe the Indianapolis Colts could get the quarterback they want in the 2023 NFL draft.

General manager Nick Caserio told “Payne & Pendergast” on Sports Radio 610 [KILT-AM] April 20 that Houston Texans have no philosophy against trading with other teams in the AFC South.

“We’ll trade with anybody,” Caserio said. “Just philosophically, if it’s the best thing, if it matches up, and you feel comfortable making the trade, then we’ll go ahead and do it.”

Caserio even referenced how good business sense overcame a sense of rivalry even when he was the New England Patriots’ director of player personnel from 2008-20 after having served in a variety of roles since 2001.

“We made some trades in our division even going back when I was in New England,” said Caserio. “So, if you start to take that philosophy, again, it’s a little bit narrow minded, so, again, ultimately, if it’s the best thing for your team, then you’ll deal with whatever comes along with it. So, you can’t eliminate anything, and I would say we’re pretty open-minded organizationally. I don’t want to speak for anybody else, but I’d say we’re definitely open-minded, we’ll always listen. We’re not going to eliminate anything.”

The Colts are quarterback-needy and picking No. 4 overall. So are the Las Vegas Raiders (No. 7 overall) and even the Tennessee Titans (No. 11 overall). All these teams would have to do to move ahead of the Colts would be to work out a deal with the Arizona Cardinals at No. 3 overall.

Of course, such a trade with Houston and the Colts would only work if the Texans didn’t want a quarterback at No. 2 and were confident the Cardinals weren’t going to take either Texas Tech defensive end Tyree Wilson or Alabama defensive end Will Anderson with their own selection.

Said Caserio: “I think that’s sometimes a narrative that gets painted in whether it’s dealing with teams, dealing with different people, ‘well, they wouldn’t do that because.’ Well, not necessarily, so, when you’re in this league long enough, you’re ultimately going to deal with people all across the way and if it doesn’t work out the way you hoped initially, you’re going to have an interaction with somebody else. So, there’s no ill will. It’s all about business and it’s all about making good decisions.”

In the Caserio era, the closest the Texans have come to working with a divisional foe was in 2021 when Houston traded their 2021 fifth- and seventh-round selections to the Los Angeles Rams for No. 170 overall in Round 6, which at one time was possessed by the Jacksonville Jaguars.
 
The quote on Will Anderson's draft profile on nfl.com sums up my feelings: “Anderson is way more likely to succeed than any of these quarterbacks (in the draft). It’s not even close.” -- Executive for NFC team.

Hoping they go with the odds and draft Anderson.
Yep.
 
The quote on Will Anderson's draft profile on nfl.com sums up my feelings: “Anderson is way more likely to succeed than any of these quarterbacks (in the draft). It’s not even close.” -- Executive for NFC team.

Hoping they go with the odds and draft Anderson.

so a can’t miss punter is a better pick at 1.2 then a QB with a high ceiling but lower floor?

I think in a vacuum yes. But you have to account for positional importance, value, number of good QB prospects in an average year vs. the number of defensive prospects, etc.

In short, it’s a bogus comparison.
 
so a can’t miss punter is a better pick at 1.2 then a QB with a high ceiling but lower floor?

I think in a vacuum yes. But you have to account for positional importance, value, number of good QB prospects in an average year vs. the number of defensive prospects, etc.

In short, it’s a bogus comparison.
A punter? Come on man. Do you think Micah Parsons is more valuable than Davis Mills? If so, then your argument is moot
 
so a can’t miss punter is a better pick at 1.2 then a QB with a high ceiling but lower floor?
Norg? Did you hack Porky's account?

Major reading comprehension issues here.

He's saying Will Anderson is objectively the better prospect by far. The QBs in this class are riding a wave of need & desperation.

I agree. Even if he walked on water there is no way a 5'10 less than 200lbs QB can be a top 15 prospect.

Throw conventional out the window. "Modernize" or whatever you want to call it. But objectonably 5'10" sub 200lbs is not anywhere close to a legit 1st round QB.
 
What he needs to improve: We just talked about how good Stroud is when kept clean in the pocket (71.7% completion rate, 35 touchdowns, 93.4 PFF grade). Well, he is basically the polar opposite under pressure (41.3% completion rate, six touchdowns, 42.0 PFF grade).
The same could be said for most quarterbacks when facing pressure, but Stroud is particularly bad when the pocket collapses. He ranks 97th in PFF grade out of 144 qualifying QBs when under pressure.
 
What?

He doesn't like guys who are only in it for the money, not championships?
Agent affiliation AND the fact he wasn’t good under pressure at the collegiate level.

Maybe @Lucky can forward you that lengthy article about the qb breakdown that McShay and Paolin does every year. Of course, you probably won't like it because it goes against your perception of Stroud. There are no perfect qbs coming out of college or playing as we speak or in the past. Look at Lawrence as a rookie or Peyton who also had thr reputation of not playing well under pressure. One would think that if Stroud played so poorly under pressure that dcs would pressure him more. He played the toughest defensive schedule in college football last year, you can look that up and played very,very well. Vs UGA, everyone wanted to see if Georgia defense was as good as advertised or Ohio State oline is. How did he perform vs Georgia or does that not count?
 
If I truly believed this I would have no issues taking Levis at 1.2

I don't want to draft a QB this year. I'd take Gonzales at 1.2 if it were me. But if Hannah & Cal decide we are taking a QB in the 1st, it's going to be Levis. Even if I have to take him at 1.2

Then what year do you want to draft a QB? And who, and how do you think they'll get where they'll need to be to do so? Ain't no guarantees about anything a year from today.
 
Then what year do you want to draft a QB? And who, and how do you think they'll get where they'll need to be to do so? Ain't no guarantees about anything a year from today.

It's a process. At the end of the season we'll evaluate the team, assess our needs & make the best decisions we can for the Houston Texans.

I can't sit here & tell you we'll draft a QB in 2024 or 2025, much less tell you who that QB will be before we even make any selections in 2023.
 
His only time lost to injury was 2 games last November. The only identification report was a generic "foot" injury. From what I've been able to discern is that he suffered a grade I Achilles tendinopathy, something that is all too common for running athletes that perform sudden starts and stops (as seen in kick and punt returners as well as running backs). The game in which he returned, he rushed for a career best 215 yds on 38 carries and scored a pair of touchdowns.

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How does Devon Achane's speed compare to current NFL players?
ByJEFF TARPLEY Jan 27, 9:52 AM


NCAA.com took a look recently at how the fastest players in the National Football League compare with track and field athletes . There's no way to make a direct comparison for the most part unless football players have run track or run versus those athletes in a meet. There are indirect comparisons in which athletes are compared in how fast they run in miles per hour from track times (both forty yard dashes and track meets themselves).

For example, some of the fastest times in the 100 meters this year in the NCAA range from 10.00 to 10.76 seconds which translates into a speed of 24.3 to 26.2 miles per hour. In the 2022 National Football league combine, the five fastest times ranged from 4.23 to 4.33 seconds [Achade ran a 4.32 at the Combine] which correlates to 24.1 to 25.1 miles per hour.

However, a question remains as to how would a real track athlete fare in the league. Former Oregon wideout Devon Allen was a finalist in the 110 hurdles at the 2022 World Championships and joined the Philadelphia Eagles in the summer of 2022. This was six years after his last time on a football field and his time away from the game played a role in the fact that he didn't make the franchise's final cut. In the end, Allen was still more runner than footballer.

Now, it looks like a real track athlete is about to hit the league in Texas A&M running back and return specialist Devon Achane. Achane qualified for the 2022 NCAA Division I outdoor championships and ran a 10.48 second 100 meters in the national semifinals. Not only that, Achane's speed carries over to the football field. On the gridiron, Achane was clocked at 22.2 mph on a 96 yard kickoff return for a touchdown versus Alabama in 2021 which ended up helping the Aggies come from behind to beat the then top ranked Tide. This compares favorably with some of the top speeds that NFL players have shown off in recent seasons as players like Tyreek Hill have been timed at 23.24 miles per hour during games.

It will be interesting to watch Achane transition into the league given his background and ability to generate big plays no matter where he lines up. However, Achane went over 1,000 yards rushing for the Aggies this past season not just because of his breakaway speed but perhaps even moreso to other attributes like his balance, quick feet, and ability to press the line of scrimmage behind his blockers. He also proved to be a capable pass catcher out of the backfield and probably will see action not just as an outlet at the next level but also as someone who can go in motion and run past a safety or linebacker on a pass route.


If Achane can take the league by storm with his speed, then you may see more dual sport athletes like him get additional opportunities to prove their worth that others would not have had the chance to do so.
 
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+ local kid, fast & brave/tough
- he's small & not a natural pass catcher (like watching a European throw-a-baseball bad)

he's a luxury we can't afford
unless it's rd5

i'd be pumped about him on our squad though
 
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2. Minnesota Vikings (via HOU)
Will Levis QB, Kentucky

*Trade*

Surprise! You may have seen the betting odds change for the No. 2 overall pick on Saturday, with Will Levis becoming the odds-on favorite. But I don’t think that’s because the Texans are taking him. I’ve heard loud rumblings that Minnesota is very active in trying to trade up for a quarterback and I think they will pull off a blockbuster here. Levis will succeed Kirk Cousins after the Vikings chose not to extend the latter beyond this season. There is a major disconnect between how fans and those inside the NFL view Will Levis. Don’t get me wrong, there are several people in the NFL who are uninterested in drafting Levis this high, but there are plenty who believe he is absolutely worth the cost with the upside to be the best passer in the class when it’s all said and done.
 
I'm not arguing here. I just thought this was an interesting point. I'm not sure exactly how they calculated this. I would expect scramblers and people with good blocking to be able to take longer.

Time to throw:
Stetson Bennett - 2.53s
Will Levis - 2.58s
Hendon Hooker - 2.6s
Jake Haener - 2.67s
C.J. Stroud - 2.92s
Bryce Young - 3.02s
Anthony Richardson - 3.18s
Clayton Tune - 3.2s

...another red flag for Richardson. That much time in the pocket and still chucking plenty of INT's. Buyer beware.
 
The Vikings entire draft (they don't have a 2nd) is not worth half of #2. They would have to trade 2 more #1's and a Justin Jefferson or similar.

Hey if they are willing to give up Justin Jefferson in a trade package then who are we to stop them?!

The Vikings would make sense as a landing spot for Levis. O’connell and Liam Coen both coached together on the Rams staff and Coen coached Levis so would have inside info on the player.
 
Draft is still at the end of the week, who says it has to be Minnesota?.. Doesn't this create more value and lets the rest of the QB needy teams know that if they want to trade up, They have to negotiate with us first, not Arizona. Nick Caserio could end up in a bidding war for that pick.

27c02174-dc14-4d17-9792-781ec5066025_text.gif

:)
 
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