Playoffs
Hall of Fame
One veteran scout's view on...
2014 Draft: Why No Quarterbacks Are Locks to Be Drafted in the Top 10
2014 Draft: Why No Quarterbacks Are Locks to Be Drafted in the Top 10
Greg Gabriel is a 30+ year NFL veteran scout with the Bills, National Scouting, Giants, and Director of College Scouting for the Bears for 9 years. Retired, he still consults for NFL teams and writes for NFP and BR.Six weeks ago, the general consensus among draft analysts was that three or four quarterbacks could be drafted within the top 10 picks of the 2014 NFL draft. While many still adhere to that theory, I am not one and never have been.
NFL clubs have over-drafted at the quarterback position for years. The thinking has been that it's almost impossible to sign a quality quarterback in free agency. If you want one, you have to draft one. The only way you can be sure of getting a quarterback is to draft one in the first round.
The problem with that thought process is that when you force the issue and over-draft at that position, it generally comes back to haunt you. A good percentage of first-round quarterbacks drafted in the last nine years have failed, and an even higher percentage of top-10 quarterbacks have failed to live up to expectations.
Recent history of first-round quarterbacks
When you look at the success rate of quarterbacks taken in the top 10 of the first round the last nine years, the results...