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SESupergenius
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So what should the expectations be for David Carr this season? We are going to be using the same type of system that Kubiak has run in Denver that last few seasons, so the closest comparison to Carr in this type of system is Jake Plummer. Plummer arrived at Denver coming from the Arizona Cardinals and a record of 5-11. Before coming to Denver, Plummer was tossing around a mid 50's completion percentage, but when he was installed into Denver's system, he upped his percentage points a few notches. Assuming that Carr is close in the level of play to Plummer, here is what we should expect this coming season. (I actually think Plummer is better, but this is at least a measuring stick to go by). Carr threw 60.5% last year. Plummers last year with the Cardinals he threw 53.6% and the next year he threw 62.6% in Denver system. I would think that Carr should be at that spot by the end of the year. In the process, Plummer reduced his TD/INT ratio dramatically. Carr never really had a bad TD/INT ratio, but his TD numbers have always been average. Look for this to increase as well this year. Plummer threw 15 TD's and 7 INT's in 11 games his 1st season with the Denver offense, thats almost 22 TD's and 10 INT's if you progressed the whole 16 games season. For Carr being a veteran, I'd expect numbers to about this range, although the Denver team was 9-7 the previous year before Plummer got there, so I don't expect Carr and this team to be better than what Plummer's numbers were. I expect Carr to have around 20 TD's and around 13 INT's. Just food for thought.