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OptimisticTexan 2020 Projected Draft

OptimisticTexan

Hall of Fame
First, I wanted to get a feel for where the the Texans might finish the 2019 season to get a better feel as to where they might be positioned for the 2020 NFL Draft.

Next, I looked at some sites to get a feel for projections. I'm listing the ones as I saw as the most reasonable at this point.

TANKATHON for the most reasonable draft position. They have the Texans drafting 57 in RD2 which equates to them finishing with the 25th best record in the NFL. At the moment, I could agree with this since a 10-6 or 11-5 finish could put them in this window.

LANCE ZIERLEIN / NFL projected the Texans to have 2 COMP Picks in RD3 (Jackson & Mathieu) and another COMP Pick in RD7 for Covington. I don't think he took into account the signing of Roby and it negating one of the RD3 guys. I agree with a RD7 for Covington.

I wanted to look at another source for COMP Pick positioning since it appears a few teams could be gaining RD3 COMP Picks.

OVER THE CAP had decent projections for COMP Picks and where teams would fall in those rounds. They had the Texans gaining 2 picks in RD3 for Mathieu / Jackson and a RD7 for Covington. What was interesting, they had another possible RD7 going to the Texans for Lamm......not so crazy based on the amount of starts he had over a couple of seasons. It now appears that the Roby pick-up could negate the RD7 COMP Pick for Lamm. I like that scenario much better.

Projections have 10 RD3 COMP Picks, 6 RD4 picks, 3 RD5 picks, 3 RD6 picks and 12 RD7 picks.

So the projected order I pretty much agree with:

RD1-25-025: Miami (Trade for Tunsil)

RD2-25-057: Texans

RD3-25-089: Cleveland (Trade for Johnson)

RD3-34-098: COMP Pick (Mathieu / LZ NFL & OTC Projection)

RD3-43-107: COMP Pick (Jackson / OTC Projection)

RD4-04-111: Texans (From Miami)

RD4-25-132: Texans

RD5-25-170: Texans

RD6-25-206: New England (Trade For Crossen)

RD7-25-242: Texans

RD7-37-254: COMP Pick (Covington / LZ NFL & OTC Projection)

Roby pick-up negates the RD7 COMP Pick Lamm move in FA according to OTC.

OK, this is the layout.......picks are coming next. Feel free to comment or offer modifications to the projected picks.
 
Last edited:

Lucky

Moderator
Staff member
OVER THE CAP had decent projections for COMP Picks and where teams would fall in those rounds. They had the Texans gaining a RD3 for Mathieu and a RD7 for Covington. What wa interesting, they had another possible RD7 going to the Texans for Lamm......not so crazy based on the amount of starts he had over a couple of seasons.
Overthecap now has the Texans receiving a 3rd round comp pick for Kareem. Roby cancelling Lamm. Also, New England has the Texans 6th round pick (Crossen).





 

OptimisticTexan

Hall of Fame
Overthecap now has the Texans receiving a 3rd round comp pick for Kareem. Roby cancelling Lamm. Also, New England has the Texans 6th round pick (Crossen).





Corrected the RD3 & RD6 picks....totally forgot about the Crossen trade. Roby could negate Lamm but it's interesting the pick they're proposing. I don't think we get 2 COMP Picks for both Mathieu and Jackson but it would be extremely nice if Roby cancels a RD7 COMP pick and the Texans gain the extra RD3 COMP Pick. Thanks for the heads up Lucky.
 

badboy

Site Contributor
Did you give the round 3 we got for Clowney from Seattle to Oakland for Gareon Conley? I really hope that we get two third-round comps but zuerlein is the first mentioning that. If Roby comes back the last seven games and plays as well as he did pre injury he should be worth more than Lamm. Interesting
 

OptimisticTexan

Hall of Fame
Did you give the round 3 we got for Clowney from Seattle to Oakland for Gareon Conley? I really hope that we get two third-round comps but zuerlein is the first mentioning that. If Roby comes back the last seven games and plays as well as he did pre injury he should be worth more than Lamm. Interesting
Yes, Cleveland and Oakland got Houston's RD3 picks. The Browns received the first RD3 pick for Duke Johnson. The second (at the moment) RD3 pick was originally Texans, received from Seattle in Clowney trade, then used by the Texans in the Oakland trade for Gareon.

As far as Roby goes....I don't think he's been good enough to subtract a RD3 COMP pick. The only other COMP Picks the Texans could be looking at are in RD7, therefore Roby could only be subtracted from those options. Maybe if the Texans had RD4 or RD6 considerations could Roby's signing negate one of those.
 

OptimisticTexan

Hall of Fame
Crazy weekend that went in Texans favor may not be over yet with Seattle playing SF on Monday. This weekend did cause a little movement....so I'll update today knowing that a Seattle loss could change it again.

RD1-26-026: Hou > MIAMI (Tunsil Trade)

RD2-26-058: TEXANS

RD3-26-090: Hou > CLEVELAND (Johnson Trade)

RD3-28-092: Sea > Hou > OAKLAND (Clowney Trade > Gareon Trade)

RD3-34-098: TEXANS COMP (Mathieu)

RD3-43-107: TEXANS COMP (Jackson)

RD4-04-111: Mia > HOUSTON (Tunsil Trade)

RD4-26-133: TEXANS

RD5-26-171: TEXANS

RD6-26-207: Hou > NEW ENGLAND (Crossen Trade)

RD7-26-243: TEXANS

RD7-42-259: TEXANS COMP (Lamm)

I think the NFL will cancel the earlier RD7 COMP Pick for Covington due to the Roby signing. Roby will not cancel out any of the RD3 COMP Picks.
 


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