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Dareus is the player I would take #1.
If Jones is there at 11 I would seriously think hard and long about taking him.
Maybe, LZ and I are on the same meds though.
With the team looking for starter material at at FS , SS , CB , OLB , and NT (possibly ILB) on the defensive side of the ball , WR is a luxury pick this team just cant afford.
Brooks Reed in the second, is all good to me too.
I don't trust any of the guys that will be there @11. I hope they trade back and get another 2nd and a 3-5th.
Find a draft in the history of drafts where a good pass rusher or corner could not be found at pick #11 or later. Don't waste your time, you can't. History says that there will be a defender available that can help this defense.
Q: In the past 10 years, how many Super Bowl Champions had two 1000 yard receivers?
A: One (2006 Colts).
Q: In the past 10 years, how many Super Bowl Champions had a top 10 defense?
A: Seven.
Julio Jones is a luxury on a team that has a top 10 offense, but one of the very worst defenses in the league. If the Texans ever want to become champions on the field rather than fantasy stat sheets, this defense must improve. Hoping that it will improve will not work.
This draft belongs to Wade Philips. I don't know if he deserves it. But, I know Gary Kubiak and Rick Smith don't deserve it. If Wade Phillips thinks he can improve this defense with Julio Jones, then they should pick him. Maybe he can rush the passer or cover a receiver. Or maybe they should let Wade draft the defensive player he thinks can make the biggest impact on what has been a horrific unit.
Find a draft in the history of drafts where a good pass rusher or corner could not be found at pick #11 or later. Don't waste your time, you can't. History says that there will be a defender available that can help this defense. It is incumbent on the Texans to find that player. For Wade Phillips to find that player. He doesn't deserve that pressure. But, thanks to the previous efforts of Kubiak and Smith, he's got it.
With the team looking for starter material at at FS , SS , CB , OLB , and NT (possibly ILB) on the defensive side of the ball , WR is a luxury pick this team just cant afford.
Q: In the past 10 years, how many Super Bowl Champions had two 1000 yard receivers?
A: One (2006 Colts).
Q: In the past 10 years, how many Super Bowl Champions had a top 10 defense?
A: Seven.
Julio Jones is a luxury on a team that has a top 10 offense, but one of the very worst defenses in the league. If the Texans ever want to become champions on the field rather than fantasy stat sheets, this defense must improve. Hoping that it will improve will not work.
This draft belongs to Wade Philips. I don't know if he deserves it. But, I know Gary Kubiak and Rick Smith don't deserve it. If Wade Phillips thinks he can improve this defense with Julio Jones, then they should pick him. Maybe he can rush the passer or cover a receiver. Or maybe they should let Wade draft the defensive player he thinks can make the biggest impact on what has been a horrific unit.
Find a draft in the history of drafts where a good pass rusher or corner could not be found at pick #11 or later. Don't waste your time, you can't. History says that there will be a defender available that can help this defense. It is incumbent on the Texans to find that player. For Wade Phillips to find that player. He doesn't deserve that pressure. But, thanks to the previous efforts of Kubiak and Smith, he's got it.
Even though I think it's absolutely the wrong thing to do... I can talk myself into the Julio Jones pick.
If you believe in the Best Player Available philosophy and if Julio Jones is there, he's probably your guy unless one of the great defensive prospects drops as well.
Personally, I think you have to look at what your team is missing as well as the talent of the players on the board. Without being able to see which of our defensive holes are filled via FA with high caliber signings, I think our defensive holes are too great to ignore in the first round. So you pick the guy you want most for the defense and screw it if people think it's a reach.
But if they decide to go BPA and take Julio Jones, I'll only be mad for a few minutes before I get on board with it.
First, thanks for agreeing with me that the Texans defense needs help. I thought I was all alone on that in this thread. I agree with you that the Texans can't take substandard players (Amobi Okoye, Kareem Jackson) in the 1st round. What I disagree with is that there will only be substandard defensive players available with the 11th selection in the 2011 draft. That Julio Jones is head and shoulders above any defensive player that might be available is a myth created by draft gurus and draftniks.I agree we need D help, but you can't take substandard players in the top half of the draft and expect to get better.
The other scenario I wouldnt mind is moving back to around 17 or so getting a top half of the second round pick as compensation. Then taking Taylor at DT , one of the top ranked safety's and an OLB with the three picks in the first two rounds.
I've said this before, But if I am the Texans I would really think about trading up this year. Grab an elite defensive talent.
I don't care if we have to give up a second/third/ or fourth round pick and/or a couple players to do so. The Texans need an impact player on defense.
Filling our holes with a bunch of 2nd-4th round picks doesn't excite me at all. Could you imagine starting a rookie at corner, maybe NT, OLB, AND one or two of the safety spots? That doesn't seem like the right solution IMHO.
I'm more inclined to jump up for a stud (coughVonMillercough), Move Quinn to FS and draft a mid round corner prospect. I am actually ok with Nolan as SS and Quinn at FS. I think they would be a better tandem than what we had last year.
As for corner...that likely isn't going to get "fixed" with a player in the draft anyways. I don't think Kareem is as bad as he looked last year and I think Jason Allen could be good depth/competition there. If there is a FA I would loot at NT and CB. We wouldn't NEED spectacular players there, just solid ones who could get the job done.
I honestly think that the defense will be improved under Wade regardless. But picking one of these second or third tier OLB prospects and trying to drafting a couple DB prospects in the 2nd/3rd round just doesn't excite me at all.
As far as Julio goes, I'd take him if he was on the board at 11 and none of the top defensive prospects fell to us.
I can't say it enough, but none of these second tier OLB prospects excites me as being our pick at 11. I think we'd be better served by taking a potential impact player.
I'd package this years #11 pick and next years #1 (and maybe another pick) to move up to #3 and get Von Miller.
I would be o.k with that scenario. I would not be thrilled about the upcoming season, but I'd hope those players would bode well for our future plans.
I'm just not thrilled with relying on a mid-late first rounder and a bunch of mid rd rookies to come in and be counted on as starters...especially with the shortned off-season...
I think moves like that work for the Pats because they already have established talent and a good coaching staff on both sides of the ball. There is not one single player on our defense last year that showed up game in and game out. Not one.
We need someone to be a stud and make a tangible impact in a great majority of the games...
Now I'm not saying that a player like that can't be found at 11 or in the second or third round...What I'm saying is that I'm sold on Miller. Of course it's just my opinion, but I think that's the way to go. We need a stud, and I think he'd make our defense a lot better...
I would not want to give up the house for Miller. I don't think he is a sure thing.
If Dareus starts to fall I would be all over it like white on rice.
I am too .... no two ways about it. If I had the #1 overall I would probably use it on him crazy as it might be.
Miller is the guy in this draft who I think would make the biggest impact on the defense as a whole. He and Peterson are my top two players at any position in this draft - Its debatable as to who's better between the top two DT's - Fairley and Dareus. Phil Taylor may be as good as either of them and could be had much later in the round.
Peterson and Miller grade out better than any other players at their respective positions with Peterson being at the top of my board followed by Miller and Bowers.
As for giving up the house , we have to consider one thing and I explained it in my last post.
If they dont win this coming season - they wont be here to worry about the next draft. Its win or go home for Smith and Kubiak , tell me why they wouldnt give up a future pick.
refresh me, what did Texas do last season
I bet that's exactly what you'll see fielded. JMHO
Bowers, Watt, or Jordan would all make me less upset at the draft pick than Julio Jones. Unless Julio Jones is also going to call offensive plays correctly I don't think he fixes what is fundamentally wrong with the offense.
Here's the quick and easy way to talk yourself out of Julio Jones:
"Did you see our defense last year?"
Most feel that an OLB like Von Miller would would be the highest impact player for our D. I'd love to have him. However, I feel that the highest long term impact player we need is a DT. I'm not at all convinced that we have that large strong fast DT or the smaller, uber-strong and very fast DT characteristic of the successful Wade 3-4 D's.
As has already been stated, I would rather see Jones at #11 than another plug and play and hope player.
I would do that and pray that Brandon Harris is there in the 2nd. He has all the tools to be a very good CB.@ Rey - I wouldnt mind seeing them move up this year. Not one bit.
I'd package this years #11 pick and next years #1 (and maybe another pick) to move up to #3 and get Von Miller.
Dont want to give up next years #1? Why not , both coach and GM are on the hotseat. Its win now or else. They wont be here to deal with next years draft if they dont get better on that side of the ball in a hurry. If ever there was a time for a staff to mortgage the future , this is it.
I dont see one of the elite defensive talents being available at #11 unless by some miracle two QB's , two WR's and an OT are taken ahead of them. I just cant see that happening with this crop of players.
The other scenario I wouldnt mind is moving back to around 17 or so getting a top half of the second round pick as compensation. Then taking Taylor at DT , one of the top ranked safety's and an OLB with the three picks in the first two rounds.
I dont see one of the elite defensive talents being available at #11 unless by some miracle two QB's , two WR's and an OT are taken ahead of them. I just cant see that happening with this crop of players.
Love Aldon's interview: http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-videos/09000d5d81f1a52f/Game-Changers-DL-The-interview
More than Prince's, who seemed a little wide-eyed -- and much more than Quinn's where I felt like something was just missing.
It's just interview, I know, but I think you can see a lot in those.
I'd love to have Watt or Bowers.
While I agree with you regarding impact, I disagree on the term "starter" that a lot of people use. To me, it's not an either / or situation. Ideally, we take an OLB at 11 because he's the best player available, its' arguably our biggest need, and he would in all certainty start and impact from the first snap to the last.Why ? So he can sit on the sidelines while MW and A.Smith get the majority of the snaps ?
DE is the worst pick this team could make in terms of instant impact out of a player. This front office crew is playing for NOW. If they dont produce a playoff team (and maybe one that makes a deep run) they will be gone.
The positions that will have the greatest impact on this teams playoff chances are OLB , NT ,CB and both S spots.
There isnt a safety worthy of an early first rounder.
I dont think the front office would be willing to hang their jobs on the line with a kiddie corps secondary again .... Unless they could get Peterson and I have my doubts that they would take that risk with him either.
That leaves NT and OLB which I think are the most likely positions to be filled with their first rounder - Unless they move out of that #11 spot. Even moving out of #11 , its highly likely that they target a player at one of those two spots.
Moving up - Miller or Fairley.
Moving back - Taylor , Paea , Houston , Ayers.
I not saying the Texans should draft a DE but I am going just off of talent and skill level and saying I'd like to have them. The trade of AS and MW might be an option too either one but whoever is drafted at 11 or a trade up should no doubt be opening day starter somewhere on the field.Why ? So he can sit on the sidelines while MW and A.Smith get the majority of the snaps ?
DE is the worst pick this team could make in terms of instant impact out of a player. This front office crew is playing for NOW. If they dont produce a playoff team (and maybe one that makes a deep run) they will be gone.
The positions that will have the greatest impact on this teams playoff chances are OLB , NT ,CB and both S spots.
There isnt a safety worthy of an early first rounder.
I dont think the front office would be willing to hang their jobs on the line with a kiddie corps secondary again .... Unless they could get Peterson and I have my doubts that they would take that risk with him either.
That leaves NT and OLB which I think are the most likely positions to be filled with their first rounder - Unless they move out of that #11 spot. Even moving out of #11 , its highly likely that they target a player at one of those two spots.
Moving up - Miller or Fairley.
Moving back - Taylor , Paea , Houston , Ayers.
I'd love to have Watt or Bowers.
I think he could work out at least in the 3-4 though but better fit for the 4-3.Bowers is a great athlete with tons of potential but I don't see where he would fit in a 34 defense. He is a classic 43 end.
I think he could work out at least in the 3-4 though but better fit for the 4-3.