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I wouldn't move that far down. All the great players will be gone. There will be ZERO starting calibre players from picks 19 on and not a single pro-bowler. I can't believe we won those 6 meaningless games last year to put us in this awful situation.![]()
Who exactly would the Giants be targeting at #11? I don't know any of their needs.
I wouldn't move that far down. All the great players will be gone. There will be ZERO starting calibre players from picks 19 on and not a single pro-bowler. I can't believe we won those 6 meaningless games last year to put us in this awful situation.![]()
I'm just making fun of the mentality that it's "Top 5 pick or bust". If I'm not mistaken, Demarcus Ware was selected #11 overall...c'mon now Clay Matthews was selected #26
And if we would have just lost 2, then we'd be picking Top 5 instead of 7 and have an even better chance at Von Miller. Super Bowl here we come. I know it was a "meaningless" game but Jacksonville didn't have Gerrard OR Jones-Drew. Andre Johnson and Mario Williams were both out. Demeco was out. Barwin was out all season. It's not like we were 100% that game and playing all our top guys.Six meaningless games? How about 1? The last one. Our starters should of been sitting that game. We would be picking 7 if it wasnt for that absolutely meaningless game. Well Kubiak did get to keep his job so I guess it wasnt so meaningless if you support him
I'm just making fun of the mentality that it's "Top 5 pick or bust". If I'm not mistaken, Demarcus Ware was selected #11 overall...![]()
My problem is the mindset that the draft is such a predictable process that it's a given that there's a huge difference between the 6th spot (where we would be drafting if we'd lost the J'ville game), and the 11th spot. Yeah, all things being equal, I'd rather have a higher draft choice, but when you look at the drafts since the Texans entered the league, you'll notice that it is far from automatic that the higher pick guarantees the better pick.
Here's the 6th/11th picks for the nine previous drafts the Texans have participated in. Draw your own conclusion how much those 5 spots the J'ville loss cost us might be worth.
2010 Russell Okung/Anthony Davis
2009 Andre Smith/Aaron Maybin
2008 Vernon Gholston/Leodis McKelvin
2007 LaRon Landry/Patrick Willis
2006 Vernon Davis/Jay Cutler
2005 Pacman Jones/DeMarcus Ware
2004 Kellen Winslow/Ben Roethlisberger
2003 Johnathan Sullivan/Marcus Trufant
2002 Ryan Sims/Dwight Freeney
2011 Patrick Peterson/Aldon Smith
This kind of reinforces what I'm talking about. History suggests there's at least a decent possibility that Smith (or anyone else taken at 11) could be better than Peterson (or anyone else taken at 6) in the long run for any number of reasons. For some reason lots of folks are oblivious to that, choosing to believe in the predictability of something that has proven to be unpredictable.
There is also a decent possibility that Peterson will be gone by the 6th pick, again, making that 5 spot difference less significant.
My problem is the mindset that the draft is such a predictable process that it's a given that there's a huge difference between the 6th spot (where we would be drafting if we'd lost the J'ville game), and the 11th spot. Yeah, all things being equal, I'd rather have a higher draft choice, but when you look at the drafts since the Texans entered the league, you'll notice that it is far from automatic that the higher pick guarantees the better pick.
Here's the 6th/11th picks for the nine previous drafts the Texans have participated in. Draw your own conclusion how much those 5 spots the J'ville loss cost us might be worth.
2010 Russell Okung/Anthony Davis
2009 Andre Smith/Aaron Maybin
2008 Vernon Gholston/Leodis McKelvin
2007 LaRon Landry/Patrick Willis
2006 Vernon Davis/Jay Cutler
2005 Pacman Jones/DeMarcus Ware
2004 Kellen Winslow/Ben Roethlisberger
2003 Johnathan Sullivan/Marcus Trufant
2002 Ryan Sims/Dwight Freeney