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Texans #67 - Draft

Texansphan

Texansphan

Football connoisseur
This pick will still be fairly important for Texans as it is high in the 3rd round.
Personally, I would like to see BPA here - a la Justin Reid a few years back - 3rd round pick who plays like a 1st rounder! A great pickup for us.
NC has covered all the bases in FA, so that luxury is a good tactic.
So if another strong prospect who somehow slips like Reid did could give us a starter - anywhere on the team will do.
I have a couple thoughts however.
I ain't a contract/cap expert, but I wonder if we could kick David Johnson to the kerb?
We would still have Lindsey and Ingram as the 1 & 2 - but here's the 3rd stringer - Michael Carter UNC.
Listed at 5'7" or 8, but a solid 200 pounds in that short frame.
Known to be very explosive and so good with his hands, can be used as receiver - especially in the slot.
His biggest weakness is his vision which many see as key to being a top back. Still, he won't be your bell cow anyway and perhaps you can shed Johnson.
Another idea is do we take Kyle Trask QB FLA if he is there? 6'4" and 230 pounds with great touch and pocket poise. Not the most mobile but can move around when needed.
We have two vets on the team, so a young promising guy to bring along may be just the thing for this team.
I have other thoughts but will open it up for now.
 
Texansphan said:
This pick will still be fairly important for Texans as it is high in the 3rd round.
Personally, I would like to see BPA here - a la Justin Reid a few years back - 3rd round pick who plays like a 1st rounder! A great pickup for us.
NC has covered all the bases in FA, so that luxury is a good tactic.
So if another strong prospect who somehow slips like Reid did could give us a starter - anywhere on the team will do.
I have a couple thoughts however.
I ain't a contract/cap expert, but I wonder if we could kick David Johnson to the kerb?
We would still have Lindsey and Ingram as the 1 & 2 - but here's the 3rd stringer - Michael Carter UNC.
Listed at 5'7" or 8, but a solid 200 pounds in that short frame.
Known to be very explosive and so good with his hands, can be used as receiver - especially in the slot.
His biggest weakness is his vision which many see as key to being a top back. Still, he won't be your bell cow anyway and perhaps you can shed Johnson.
Another idea is do we take Kyle Trask QB FLA if he is there? 6'4" and 230 pounds with great touch and pocket poise. Not the most mobile but can move around when needed.
We have two vets on the team, so a young promising guy to bring along may be just the thing for this team.
I have other thoughts but will open it up for now.
Click to expand...

Carter is a faster James White. There's great value in that.

However there appears to be great depth at CB/Edge in this draft.

Got a question for you, at 67 if these 5 guys are on the board who to you take? One of these guys will probably be there.

Tay Gowan/Ellerson Smith/ Cam McGrone/ Elijah Molden/Jordan Smith
 
steelbtexan said:
Carter is a faster James White. There's great value in that.

However there appears to be great depth at CB/Edge in this draft.

Got a question for you, at 67 if these 5 guys are on the board who to you take? One of these guys will probably be there.

Tay Gowan/Ellerson Smith/ Cam McGrone/ Elijah Molden/Jordan Smith
Click to expand...
That is the most likely scenario - a quality CB slips down to the mid 50 range I can see NC making a small move up to grab him - or even an Edge.
Another thought is Justin Britt may only be a bridge - so what if Creed Humphrey C/G is within striking distance? He could be your next starting center...
 
Texansphan said:
That is the most likely scenario - a quality CB slips down to the mid 50 range I can see NC making a small move up to grab him - or even an Edge.
Another thought is Justin Britt may only be a bridge - so what if Creed Humphrey C/G is within striking distance? He could be your next starting center...
Click to expand...

Since the draft pick haul for Watson has gone bye-bye, we're back to the reality of the draft starting in RD3-03-067. If Center's Dickerson (Alabama) or Humphrey (Oklahoma) somehow came into striking range of the 67th pick.....I'd be all for picking either guy since they would help solidify the OL this season.

I'd also be pretty happy if RB- Trey Sermon (Ohio St) was still on the board in RD4. He got injured early in the CFBCG and may need some time to finish healing which is fine since the Texans have added some serviceable veterans to tote the rock until he'd be ready to join the rotation.

RD6-14-158....I'd be very serious about keeping WR/KR- Marquez Stevenson (Houston) on the radar simply b/c of the blazing speed he brings to the field. Some have said, he could be one of the fastest guys in this years draft. The other benefit, he's a true dual threat as both a receiver and returner.

I'd be satisfied adding these 3 offensive players to this draft and focusing the balance of picks on defense.
 
Texansphan said:
That is the most likely scenario - a quality CB slips down to the mid 50 range I can see NC making a small move up to grab him - or even an Edge.
Another thought is Justin Britt may only be a bridge - so what if Creed Humphrey C/G is within striking distance? He could be your next starting center...
Click to expand...
IMO if Dickerson or Humphrey are available you draft them. Rebuilding is a 2 year process and the most success comes from when you build from the inside out. Case and point, if you draft Najee Harris he'll get the snot beat out of him for a couple of years and it will shorten his career.
 
Texian said:
IMO if Dickerson or Humphrey are available you draft them. Rebuilding is a 2 year process and the most success comes from when you build from the inside out. Case and point, if you draft Najee Harris he'll get the snot beat out of him for a couple of years and it will shorten his career.
Click to expand...

Texian.....this is one concept we both agree on. Get this OL to a point of being in the top 5 as a unit and a lot of goods things will happen. A real left/right running game would open up everything for Taylor to be successful. I want the Texans OL to get so good that they earn a long time nickname.
 
OptimisticTexan said:
Texian.....this is one concept we both agree on. Get this OL to a point of being in the top 5 as a unit and a lot of goods things will happen. A real left/right running game would open up everything for Taylor to be successful. I want the Texans OL to get so good that they earn a long time nickname.
Click to expand...
The old adage of winning in the trenches should never be forgotten.
I believe our oline is going to get better with time but I expect a marked improvement straight away with Devlin gone.
Y'all have no idea how hopeless he was and was holding them back big time. I think we will see a stepup in Max Sharping's performance and also Howard.
Augers well for the line.
 
Texansphan said:
This pick will still be fairly important for Texans as it is high in the 3rd round.
Personally, I would like to see BPA here - a la Justin Reid a few years back - 3rd round pick who plays like a 1st rounder! A great pickup for us.
NC has covered all the bases in FA, so that luxury is a good tactic.
So if another strong prospect who somehow slips like Reid did could give us a starter - anywhere on the team will do.
I have a couple thoughts however.
I ain't a contract/cap expert, but I wonder if we could kick David Johnson to the kerb?
We would still have Lindsey and Ingram as the 1 & 2 - but here's the 3rd stringer - Michael Carter UNC.
Listed at 5'7" or 8, but a solid 200 pounds in that short frame.
Known to be very explosive and so good with his hands, can be used as receiver - especially in the slot.
His biggest weakness is his vision which many see as key to being a top back. Still, he won't be your bell cow anyway and perhaps you can shed Johnson.
Another idea is do we take Kyle Trask QB FLA if he is there? 6'4" and 230 pounds with great touch and pocket poise. Not the most mobile but can move around when needed.
We have two vets on the team, so a young promising guy to bring along may be just the thing for this team.
I have other thoughts but will open it up for now.
Click to expand...
Trask is unlikely to drop to the 3rd. Last time I looked, which has been a month or so, he was slotted as the 6th QB and projected to the bottom of the 1st. With as many as 3 or 4 QB's possibly taken in the top 10, QB needy teams will likely snap him up in the mid to late 1st round. Were he to fall, I'd snap him up with no further thought. With this season probably a bust anyways, I'd force feed his training and throw him to the wolves, starting him after mid season. First half of the season, I'd rotate him in and out with veteran Taylor, or Finley, just to get his feet wet before starting him mid season.
 
Every draft seems have a deep class or two at certain positions and this year it is the pass rushers and all teams love them and know you cannot have too many.
It is also an area where Texans have a need.
Here is a list of quality guys that could be there for Texans:-
Edge:
Jason Oweh
Azeez Ojulari
Jaelan Phillips
Carlos Basham
Joseph Ossai
Joe Tryon
Edit - Ronnie Perkins

OLB:
Jeremiah Koramoah (also Safety?)
Nick Bolton
Zavon Collins (O/ILB)
Jabrill Cox (O/ILB)
Jamin Davis (O/ILB)
Chazz Surrat (O/ILB)
Justin Hilliard
Monty Rice
Dylan Moses (O/ILB)

Another position of need is DB;
Strong Safety:
Jacoby Stevens
Tyree Gillespie
Jevon Holland
Hamseh Nasirildeen
( I doubt Trevon Moehrig falls)

CB;
Tyson Campbell
Aaron Robinson
Elijah Molden
Asante Samuel
Tay Gowan
Greg Newsome II
Kelvin Joseph
Richie Grant
Ifeatu Melifonwu

As you can see, the DB's are also pretty deep and most if not all of the abovementioned players have potential grades above pick #67.
The potential to get a quality player here for Texans is very high and there should still be good quality left at our 4th rounder.
If only we had another pick or two in this area...
 
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As I mentioned in the op, pick #67 is a valuable pick and with so much talent available on both sides of the ball, if someone offers a trade for it, I would be all over it if it means extra picks this draft.
If you can score two picks in the 3rd round, you can snare a couple of quality prospects.
 
steelbtexan said:
Carter is a faster James White. There's great value in that.

However there appears to be great depth at CB/Edge in this draft.

Got a question for you, at 67 if these 5 guys are on the board who to you take? One of these guys will probably be there.

Tay Gowan/Ellerson Smith/ Cam McGrone/ Elijah Molden/Jordan Smith
Click to expand...


Michael Carter's Pro Day is tomorrow. The latest measurements I can find is 5' 7/8" - 202 lbs .... if he's got all the tools, it's good to remember that Barry Sanders played at 5'8" - 200 .... and he did okay. That said, I surely would like to have his backfield mate .... Bell Cow !
 
My favorites are:

Carlos Basham - DE - Wake Forest
Elijah Molden - CB - Washington
Andre Cisco - S - Syracuse (Prolly will be gone)
Chaz Surrat - LB - North Carolina
Javonte Williams - RB - North Carolina
Landon Dickerson - C - Alabama (Prolly will be gone)
Josh Myers - C - Ohio State
Liam Eichenberg - OT - Notre Dame
 
steelbtexan said:
Carter is a faster James White. There's great value in that.

However there appears to be great depth at CB/Edge in this draft.

Got a question for you, at 67 if these 5 guys are on the board who to you take? One of these guys will probably be there.

Tay Gowan/Ellerson Smith/ Cam McGrone/ Elijah Molden/Jordan Smith
Click to expand...
Molden
 
Texian said:
IMO if Dickerson or Humphrey are available you draft them. Rebuilding is a 2 year process and the most success comes from when you build from the inside out. Case and point, if you draft Najee Harris he'll get the snot beat out of him for a couple of years and it will shorten his career.
Click to expand...
CORRECTION: This Guy!

Jim Nagy on Twitter: "Wisconsin Whitewater @WarhawkFootball OL Quinn Meinerz caps off all-time 🔥 pre-draft process with 33 reps on bench today with team reps from @packers in attendance. Was only cleared to bench last week after breaking hand in Reese’s Senior Bowl. 💪💪💪 https://t.co/qIFFJlGiVt" / Twitter
 
Someone said something in this forum somewhere that we have no real impact players atm and they were right.
At #67 there are not a whole lot of options and with the likelihood that Tyrod Taylor won't be throwing a lot of deepfield bombs I see us as as predominantly short passing team this season.
If they sit pat at #67, then Rashod Bateman from Minnesota appeals - if he is still there of course.
However, with #67 being near the top of R3, it is a desirable pick and with compensatory picks beginning at the end of this round, teams may not want to wait around so I can see Caserio trading back here to about the middle of R3 for an extra pick and here he takes an intriguing WR prospect out of Clemson - Amari Rogers.
This guy can play anywhere you need your reciever to play and he excels in the slot - a spot Taylor will likely be throwing to most of the time.
Rogers has good size carrying a lot of his weight in his lower body and he is pretty fast as well.
He could well develop into your #2 receiver but his main role will be underneath as a Julian Edelmann/Deebo Samuel type.
I think he will be good in the NFL.
Now you cobble together a deal to move back up a little and take Richie Grant S out of UCF.
Yeah, fanciful spitballing, but it is fun. Still wouldn't it be nice to get two reasonably good prospects in the 3rd round?
 
The Texans defense gave up 2,564 yards on the ground last year, the most in the NFL. They gave up the second most rushing TD's in the league. Tennessee and Indianapolis both love to run the ball. Most teams would prefer to run the ball if they could and against the Texans, they did.

Even though they blitzed 35.9% of the time, the Texans only hurried the QB 46 times. Only Cincinnati and Washington had fewer. No Texans player had more than 5 sacks (JJ Watt).

Unless there's a guy that plays on the offensive side of the ball too good to pass up, the Texans need to address the defensive line. Because it won't matter if your offensive line can block when the offense is behind and your quarterback is Tyrod Taylor.

If the DL has been picked clean by the time the Texans pick in the 3rd, the secondary is supposed to be deep in this draft and they still need help at safety and CB. That would be my back-up plan.
 
banned1976 said:
The Texans defense gave up 2,564 yards on the ground last year, the most in the NFL. They gave up the second most rushing TD's in the league. Tennessee and Indianapolis both love to run the ball. Most teams would prefer to run the ball if they could and against the Texans, they did.

Even though they blitzed 35.9% of the time, the Texans only hurried the QB 46 times. Only Cincinnati and Washington had fewer. No Texans player had more than 5 sacks (JJ Watt).

Unless there's a guy that plays on the offensive side of the ball too good to pass up, the Texans need to address the defensive line. Because it won't matter if your offensive line can block when the offense is behind and your quarterback is Tyrod Taylor.

If the DL has been picked clean by the time the Texans pick in the 3rd, the secondary is supposed to be deep in this draft and they still need help at safety and CB. That would be my back-up plan.
Click to expand...

Would you take either of Trask or Mond?


:coffee:
 
cuppacoffee said:
Would you take either of Trask or Mond?


:coffee:
Click to expand...
No, I wouldn't. The Texans are going to be (or should be) in a position to draft a more polished quarterback in 2022 with better skills than Trask and Mond.

The Texans have done an awful job of drafting in the 3rd round. Tom Savage, Jaelen Strong, Braxton Miller, Kahale Warring, D'Onta Foreman. Now that O'Brien is gone I'm hoping they'll stop jumping at these "intriguing projects" in the 3rd round and rely on common sense and scouting. Not that Trask or Mond fall in that category, it's just that quarterback isn't what I consider a high priority in this draft for the Texans.
 
banned1976 said:
No, I wouldn't. The Texans are going to be (or should be) in a position to draft a more polished quarterback in 2022 with better skills than Trask and Mond.

The Texans have done an awful job of drafting in the 3rd round. Tom Savage, Jaelen Strong, Braxton Miller, Kahale Warring, D'Onta Foreman. Now that O'Brien is gone I'm hoping they'll stop jumping at these "intriguing projects" in the 3rd round and rely on common sense and scouting. Not that Trask or Mond fall in that category, it's just that quarterback isn't what I consider a high priority in this draft for the Texans.
Click to expand...
Justin Reid, Andre Hal, AJ Bouye.
 
Texansphan said:
Justin Reid, Andre Hal, AJ Bouye.
Click to expand...
Martinas Rankin, Louis Nix, Brennan Williams, Sam Montgomery.

Justin Reid was not good last season, embarrassingly bad at times. Andre Hal was drafted in the 7th round in 2014, his last season in the NFL (2018), in which he saw limited action and retired in 2019.

The Texans must do better in the 3rd rounds and later if they want to get back into competing for the playoffs. They can't afford to take flyers on the Warring's and Braxton Miller's of the draft. They also should steer clear of trying to force players like Sam Montgomery into the puzzle when you know he isn't going to fit.

I don't think the Texans are going to operate like that under Caserio, but then again the Patriots haven't done all that well in recent drafts either. They've gotten a little to cute in the draft for their own good too.
 
banned1976 said:
I don't think the Texans are going to operate like that under Caserio, but then again the Patriots haven't done all that well in recent drafts either. They've gotten a little to cute in the draft for their own good too.
Click to expand...
Right, but at least the consensus is that Caserio and crew will take a more common approach to the draft. The dysfunctional, dictatorial drafts of recent memory should be a thing of the past. Results? We'll see down the road.
 
banned1976 said:
Martinas Rankin, Louis Nix, Brennan Williams, Sam Montgomery.

Justin Reid was not good last season, embarrassingly bad at times. Andre Hal was drafted in the 7th round in 2014, his last season in the NFL (2018), in which he saw limited action and retired in 2019.

The Texans must do better in the 3rd rounds and later if they want to get back into competing for the playoffs. They can't afford to take flyers on the Warring's and Braxton Miller's of the draft. They also should steer clear of trying to force players like Sam Montgomery into the puzzle when you know he isn't going to fit.

I don't think the Texans are going to operate like that under Caserio, but then again the Patriots haven't done all that well in recent drafts either. They've gotten a little to cute in the draft for their own good too.
Click to expand...
Eric Winston, Owen Daniels, Glover Quinn, Keshawn Martin, Christian Covington, DJ Reader, Carlos Watkins.
 
Texansphan said:
Just pointing out it ain't all bad.
Just like any other team.
Click to expand...
And I was just pointing out they can't afford, while they have holes all throughout the line-up, to draft guys in the third round (specifically third round picks because that is their highest pick they have in this draft) based on intrigue. They can't draft athletic water polo guys, converted quarterbacks, or guys with injury concerns that drop in the draft in this draft. Or at least I hope they don't continue doing that.

I hope that clarifies my position. I'm not interested in looking at every round of every draft going back to 2002 and engaging in a tit-for-tat analysis. And I understand every team has hits and misses. I just feel that O'Brien and company did a poor job in the draft. If you disagree, then we can agree to disagree.
 
One thing Caserio said that I whole heartedly agree with, he said you can take the 5th, 6th and 7th round guys and lump them in a bucket with the UDFA guys. Hits and misses are that random in those rounds/UDFA. It's rounds 1-4 where you really hope you find solid football players (day one starters in rounds 1 and 2) and if you hit on one or two of the others, even better.
 
banned1976 said:
And I was just pointing out they can't afford, while they have holes all throughout the line-up, to draft guys in the third round (specifically third round picks because that is their highest pick they have in this draft) based on intrigue. They can't draft athletic water polo guys, converted quarterbacks, or guys with injury concerns that drop in the draft in this draft. Or at least I hope they don't continue doing that.

I hope that clarifies my position. I'm not interested in looking at every round of every draft going back to 2002 and engaging in a tit-for-tat analysis. And I understand every team has hits and misses. I just feel that O'Brien and company did a poor job in the draft. If you disagree, then we can agree to disagree.
Click to expand...
Agree that they need to hit while we are in this rebuild.
All we can do is wait and see. From what we have seen from Caserio so far, he is all business and not sitting on his hands so that is a good sign.
O'Brien was a cancer on this organization - how he ever got rid of Smith and then take over the reins and was allowed to make so many terrible decisions will always remain a headscratcher to me - he set this organization back at least 5 years.
 
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banned1976 said:
Martinas Rankin, Louis Nix, Brennan Williams, Sam Montgomery.

Justin Reid was not good last season, embarrassingly bad at times. Andre Hal was drafted in the 7th round in 2014, his last season in the NFL (2018), in which he saw limited action and retired in 2019.

The Texans must do better in the 3rd rounds and later if they want to get back into competing for the playoffs. They can't afford to take flyers on the Warring's and Braxton Miller's of the draft. They also should steer clear of trying to force players like Sam Montgomery into the puzzle when you know he isn't going to fit.

I don't think the Texans are going to operate like that under Caserio, but then again the Patriots haven't done all that well in recent drafts either. They've gotten a little to cute in the draft for their own good too.
Click to expand...

I think the Texans can break their RD3 curse if OC- Meinerz (C1), OC- Dickerson (C2), OG- Cleveland (C3), or RB- Williams (C1) are there for the taking.
 
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OptimisticTexan said:
I think the Texans can break their RD3 curse if OC- Meinerz (C1), OC- Dickerson (C2), OG- Cleveland (C3), or RB- Williams (C1) are there for the taking.
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I'm interested to see the big picture. The Caserio/Culley vision. We'll get a slight taste of it in a couple weeks but really, it's going to be difficult to see their vision until next offseason.

Myself, I'm hoping for an edge rusher or interior DL. Joe Tyron (edge) would be terrific here at 67. I wouldn't be disappointed if they drafted a LB that can cover TE's- I like Jamin Davis to fill that role. I also expect a bunch of CB's to start coming off the board in the third, the Texans could certainly do worse than Jevon Holland, Kelvin Joseph or Aaron Robinson.

I won't be upset if they draft one of the players you mentioned above. But I feel they'd be better served to start working on that defense.
 
banned1976 said:
I'm interested to see the big picture. The Caserio/Culley vision. We'll get a slight taste of it in a couple weeks but really, it's going to be difficult to see their vision until next offseason.

Myself, I'm hoping for an edge rusher or interior DL. Joe Tyron (edge) would be terrific here at 67. I wouldn't be disappointed if they drafted a LB that can cover TE's- I like Jamin Davis to fill that role. I also expect a bunch of CB's to start coming off the board in the third, the Texans could certainly do worse than Jevon Holland, Kelvin Joseph or Aaron Robinson.

I won't be upset if they draft one of the players you mentioned above. But I feel they'd be better served to start working on that defense.
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I've already seen more than I want to.
 
Today I spent time looking at Ryan Finley's profile. Over his 3 years as a starter for North Carolina State, he improved each season. His 2018 senior year he completed 67% of his passes for 3,928 yds with 25 TD's and 11 INT's. He has a quick release, is an accurate passer with good ball placement and works through his progressions while making full field reads. His negatives include being a game manager, and not a play maker, adequate but not special arm strength and is not a dual-threat weapon, although he is a functional scrambler with feel for pressure in the pocket.

After being selected in the 4th round by the Bengals in 2019, he started 3 games mid-season but was replaced by Andy Dalton after losing all three games. He was under pressure in his 3 starts and was sacked 11 times. Dalton in 2019 was 2 - 11.

In 2020, the Bengals improved to 4 wins. Finley started 1 game and won that game against the heavily favored Steelers.

With one week to the draft, I now think the Texans could comfortably go with Finley as #2. They still need a 3rd QB, but Mills or Mond would not necessarily be an improvement over Finley. Mills and Finley are very similar in their skill set; with Mond being a true dual-threat QB, but otherwise not having a clear advantage.
 
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I'd like to see the Texans trade the 3rd pick in the 3rd round, #67 over all, to LAC. In return, the Texans receive the 77th pick and the 119th pick, LAC's 4th round pick.

I know that's pretty specific but I feel like the 3rd pick in the 3rd round could turn out to be a valuable trade chip. And the Texans could really use an extra mid-round pick.
 
banned1976 said:
I'd like to see the Texans trade the 3rd pick in the 3rd round, #67 over all, to LAC. In return, the Texans receive the 77th pick and the 119th pick, LAC's 4th round pick.

I know that's pretty specific but I feel like the 3rd pick in the 3rd round could turn out to be a valuable trade chip. And the Texans could really use an extra mid-round pick.
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I like the idea of trading down and I agree #67 could be a valuable chip. But even before SteelB's proposal, I was thinking of accumulating 2022 picks. In addition to the lower 3, I'd consider the additional pick to be next year.
 
banned1976 said:
One thing Caserio said that I whole heartedly agree with, he said you can take the 5th, 6th and 7th round guys and lump them in a bucket with the UDFA guys. Hits and misses are that random in those rounds/UDFA. It's rounds 1-4 where you really hope you find solid football players (day one starters in rounds 1 and 2) and if you hit on one or two of the others, even better.
Click to expand...

Totally agree with this philosophy.

Also agree with you on BOB not being a good drafter. But RS/Gaine were in charge of the draft for most of that time.
 
Bridgewater trade increases the chance that Mills or Mond will fall to 67. Will Caserio go QB or stay defense, probably CB, if one of these two falls to the Texans?
 
Number19 said:
Bridgewater trade increases the chance that Mills or Mond will fall to 67. Will Caserio go QB or stay defense, probably CB, if one of these two falls to the Texans?
Click to expand...

I like both of these guys but I just don’t see Caserio making a RD3 or RD4 QB a priority for this season. He’ll have much better positioning in 2022 or 2023 to pick a new Franchise QB. If Watson doesn’t get moved during the draft or before the 2021 Trade Deadline....then he’ll be traded before the 2022 NFL Draft which would help to stack their draft capital.

If I were making this pick....I’d love to set the table for the next Franchise QB by giving him a much better OL and running game. The biggest question offensively is C and OG. I think there’s a really good chance that C/OG’s- Meinerz (UWW), Dickerson (AL) or Cleveland (GA) might be there for the taking. A real dark horse that could slip simply b/c of a numbers game is RB Williams (NC). If this guy is on the board.....I’d hire H Bolt to run the pick to the podium. If he’s gone, I could see RB Sermon (Ohio St) being on the board in RD4 or maybe even RD5.
 
First, no professional worth his salt is going to deliberately tank the season; and if that person is in the organization, he shouldn't be.

Saying this, it is not foreordained that the Texans will have the top pick in 2022, or even be in the top, let's say, top 5. And we don't know how the Watson fiasco will develope or turn out.

Now, if the Texans select a QB with their first pick in 2022, are you going to start him immediately or will you sit him for a year? So you may not have your franchise QB starting until 2023.

So, if Caserio selects Mills or Mond, there's a reasonable chance he could be starting at some point this season; and certainly 2022.

Then, if your 2022 QB developes and is ready to start in 2023, you either have a quality backup in your 2021 QB or you have trade material.

Now, I'm not suggesting this as a course of action. In fact, I have given my reasons for not drafting a QB and going with Finley as our number two. I'm simply suggesting this is a reasonable consideration for drating a QB and suggesting that Caserio is an unknown wildcard. He puts me in mind of GM Sonny Weaver (Kevin Costner) in the movie Draft Day. This is his first draft and he is going to be remembered for this selection and will want to make a splash.

The Texans have made it plain they expect their first pick to be an impact player, and possibly a starter; with Justin Reid held up as the example.
 
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