New blog post: J.J. Watt thinks regression predictions are for those who are sitting behind their desks Most analysts are predicting that Watt can't sustain the numbers that he did last year. Even when someone last Thursday suggest that he might have a good year without as good of numbers, Watt wasn't buying that. This post talks about some of the regression analysis + some of the factors that make predictions difficult. And just highlights some of his bizarro numbers.

As a 3-4 end, watt could half his numbers and still be the best player in the league at his position.

Reasonable? OK. 30 sacks, 30 blocked passes, 10 forced fumbles, 3 TDs, & a Superbowl win. What I love most about Watt....is he agrees with these expectations!!!

He had one of the most dominant seasons ever by a defensive player (both statistically & effectively). There's almost no doubt he won't reproduce those stats, so a regression in that sense is almost inevitable. What's important, though, is he'll be the focal point for offenses to stop, so others need to take advantage. I think he'll end up in the 14-16 sack range... Which is all good, as long as Smith, Merci & Reed pick up the slack.

Someone else on the D-line or LB corps needs to pressure the QB other than Watt. If not, then his sack numbers will go way down. Watt is great, but give that man some help!

Well, since he played injured all last season, I'm expecting him to put up the kind of stats that a two-armed JJ Watt would.

Agreed!! If Watt's number do decrease due to continued doubles and triples, someone better be there to make up for it. Our LB corps is currently in shambles. I truly hope we have a OLB or two step up this camp.