Race for #1 AFC Seed

Discussion in 'Texans Talk' started by srrono, Nov 14, 2011.

  1. srrono

    srrono Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Jan 6, 2011
    Messages:
    2,593
    Likes Received:
    175
    The road to #1 Seed is not as easy for the Texans as most think. NE remaining Schedule is a very easy one. BALT & PIT are Favorable as well. In order for HOU to have a real shot at #1 seed I think they will have to go at least 5-1 down the stretch.

    O=Overall Record
    D=Division Record
    C=Conf Record

    HOU O (7-3) D (3-0) C (6-2)
    11 Bye
    12 @ Jacksonville (3-6)
    13 vs Atlanta (5-4)
    14 @ Cincinnati (6-3)
    15 vs Carolina (2-7)
    16 @ Indianapolis (0-10)
    17 vs Tennessee (5-4)

    NE O (6-3) D (3-1) C (5-2)
    11 vs Kansas City (4-5)
    12 @ Philadelphia (3-6)
    13 vs Indianapolis (0-10)
    14 @ Washington (3-6)
    15 @ Denver (4-5)
    16 vs Miami (2-7)
    17 vs Buffalo (5-4)

    BALT O (6-3) D (2-0) C (4-2)
    11 vs Cincinnati (6-3)
    12 vs San Francisco (8-1)
    13 @ Cleveland (3-6)
    14 vs Indianapolis (0-10)
    15 @ San Diego (4-5)
    16 vs Cleveland (3-6)
    17 @ Cincinnati (6-3)

    PIT O (7-3) D (1-2) C (5-3)
    11 Bye
    12 @ Kansas City (4-5)
    13 vs Cincinnati (6-3)
    14 vs Cleveland (3-6)
    15 @ San Francisco (8-1)
    16 vs St. Louis (2-7)
    17 @ Cleveland (3-6)

    NYJ O (5-4) D (2-2) C (4-4)
    11 @ Denver (4-5)
    12 vs Buffalo (5-4)
    13 @ Washington (3-6)
    14 vs Kansas City (4-5)
    15 @ Philadelphia (3-6)
    16 vs NY Giants (6-3)
    17 @ Miami (2-7)

    CIN O (6-3) D (1-1) C (5-2)
    11 @ Baltimore (6-3)
    12 vs Cleveland (3-6)
    13 @ Pittsburgh (7-3)
    14 vs Houston (7-3)
    15 @ St. Louis (2-7)
    16 vs Arizona (3-6)
    17 vs Baltimore (6-3)

    OAK O (5-4) D (2-2) C (5-4)
    11 @ Minnesota (2-6)
    12 vs Chicago (6-3)
    13 @ Miami (2-7)
    14 @ Green Bay (8-0)
    15 vs Detroit (6-3)
    16 @ Kansas City (4-5)
    17 vs San Diego (4-5)

    SD O (4-5) D (2-2) C (3-4)
    11 @ Chicago (6-3)
    12 vs Denver (4-5)
    13 @ Jacksonville (3-6)
    14 vs Buffalo (5-4)
    15 vs Baltimore (6-3)
    16 @ Detroit (6-3)
    17 @ Oakland (5-4)

    TEN O (5-4) D (1-2) C (4-4)
    11 @ Atlanta (5-4)
    12 vs Tampa Bay (4-5)
    13 @ Buffalo (5-4)
    14 vs New Orleans (7-3)
    15 @ Indianapolis (0-10)
    16 vs Jacksonville (3-6)
    17 @ Houston (7-3)
     
  2. bckey

    bckey Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2004
    Messages:
    2,335
    Likes Received:
    151
    The Bengals and Falcons look like they will be the toughest remaining opponents. The Bengals will be a tough road game. Jacksonville is always tough no matter what their record is but I still say the Texans beat em. The worst the Texans come out of the final 6 games is 4-2 which would put us at 11-5.
     
  3. Hervoyel

    Hervoyel The Right Track

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2004
    Messages:
    15,469
    Likes Received:
    2,292
    If the Texans take it one game at a time and give each one their full attention then the #1 seed will take care of itself.
     
  4. drunkcookie

    drunkcookie 2 drunk 2 cook

    Joined:
    Oct 27, 2009
    Messages:
    735
    Likes Received:
    75
    Location:
    the waterin' hole...
    I don't think anyone really thinks it's easy, i just think most are excited about how the boys are right there in the thick of it with only six games to go... It's damn near a case of the Texans controlling their own destiny here... Easy? No way! But it's exciting where this team is at, finally...

    Sent from my ryePhone 12G using Tapakeg
     
  5. drunkcookie

    drunkcookie 2 drunk 2 cook

    Joined:
    Oct 27, 2009
    Messages:
    735
    Likes Received:
    75
    Location:
    the waterin' hole...
    I don't think anyone really thinks it's easy, i just think most are excited about how the boys are right there in the thick of it with only six games to go... It's damn near a case of the Texans controlling their own destiny here... Easy? No way! But it's exciting where this team is at, finally...

    Sent from my ryePhone 12G using Tapakeg
     
  6. Hardcore Texan

    Hardcore Texan Magnet Man

    Joined:
    Oct 28, 2005
    Messages:
    9,464
    Likes Received:
    844
    Location:
    Round Rock, TX
    This!

    The Bengals and the Falcons are the toughest remaining games as stated above. You never know which Tennessee team will show up either on Jan 1st, and we can't over look Jax on the road. But these games are all winnable. The Falcons are not a good road team and the Bengals lost their best CB yesterday with a torn achilles.
     
  7. HJam72

    HJam72 Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2004
    Messages:
    11,613
    Likes Received:
    653
    Location:
    Over here.
    I think we can do this. :kitten:
     
  8. srrono

    srrono Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Jan 6, 2011
    Messages:
    2,593
    Likes Received:
    175
    I was rooting heavy for NYJ to beat NE cause as much as I think NE isnt as good as in the past I would rather see NYJ win that div and make NE a wild card but now after I looked at the remaining SCH for NE its pretty clear NE is still going to be a factor. I think as long as the Texans get a bye ill be happy but #1 seed would be awesome.
     
  9. thunderkyss

    thunderkyss Salem Poor

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2005
    Messages:
    38,526
    Likes Received:
    1,672
    Location:
    Texas
    10-6
     
  10. Playoffs

    Playoffs Subscribed Contributor

    Joined:
    Apr 26, 2008
    Messages:
    19,231
    Likes Received:
    995
    Patriots, 12-4 or 13-3 ... #1 seed.
     
  11. Norg

    Norg Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Mar 25, 2008
    Messages:
    5,068
    Likes Received:
    101
    What scares me is the Present and NOW

    Tenn is still nipping at our heels and the Jags are going to play with mad pride aganist us at there house in Florida
     
  12. Norg

    Norg Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Mar 25, 2008
    Messages:
    5,068
    Likes Received:
    101
    U never know which Carolina team is going to show up either or JAGS IMO every week looks tough IMO depending on how this stuff pans out the good meaning We wrap up our divison and Bye at like week 13.. and treat our last 3 games like preseason games or this stuff comes done to week 17 vs the titans with PLayoffs on the line ....scary
     
  13. thunderkyss

    thunderkyss Salem Poor

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2005
    Messages:
    38,526
    Likes Received:
    1,672
    Location:
    Texas
    If we win week 12 & week 13 we would be 9-3. To wrap up the bye week, every other team would have to have 7 losses by then.... can't happen. Not possible.
     
  14. Norg

    Norg Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Mar 25, 2008
    Messages:
    5,068
    Likes Received:
    101
    i could see the titans lose the next 3

    @CLE yeah CLE aint that good put they have been streaky in the past esp when playing at home

    @ ATL -- yeah titans are going down

    vs Tampa Depending on what tampa team shows up this will be a slobber knocker

    Its all depending who shows up from here on out IMO
     
  15. Insideop

    Insideop Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    May 26, 2006
    Messages:
    1,819
    Likes Received:
    94
    Location:
    In the "Control Room"
    NE should win every one of those games. It's just a matter of which NE team shows up, the one that beat the Jets last night or the the one that lost to Buffalo awhile back.
     
  16. Corrosion

    Corrosion Idealist

    Joined:
    May 1, 2004
    Messages:
    33,100
    Likes Received:
    1,370
    Location:
    Northwest Houston
    Yer smokin .... that team is seriously flawed , moreso than last years Texans team at least the Texans could run the ball last season to protect their horrible defense.

    They cant run the ball offensively and they cant stop the pass defensively.

    As good as Brady is , I dont think he can will that team to a 12-4 or better record.


    I was glad to see the Pats win that one , I'd rather play the Pats than the Jets because the Jets defense gives them a chance in every game.

    The Texans are the most complete team in the NFL this season.

    They can run or pass offensively and they can stop the run and the pass defensively. No other team is as good on both offense and defense.

    #2 in defensive points per game

    #5 in points per game


    I like their chances against either the Pats or Jets but think the Pats are the easier of the two ..... mainly because of the difference in the two teams defensively.
     
  17. Doppelganger

    Doppelganger None

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2010
    Messages:
    4,917
    Likes Received:
    310
    Whatever chance we had for the #1 seed in the AFC is now gone with Schaub's injury. I still think we can make the playoff, but I think its more likely as a #4.
     
  18. thunderkyss

    thunderkyss Salem Poor

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2005
    Messages:
    38,526
    Likes Received:
    1,672
    Location:
    Texas
    I know when most people predict, they think about how good the other teams are.

    But look at our schedule.... with Schaub, what were you thinking it would take to win the #1 seed? 13 wins? 12?

    Then look at our schedule, what game were you expecting Schaub to throw for 300 yards with multiple TDs to win?

    I still think we can win 12 games & will think so until I see how bad Lienart stinks it up.

    If he plays smart... we should be good.
     
  19. Doppelganger

    Doppelganger None

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2010
    Messages:
    4,917
    Likes Received:
    310
    We play Cincy and Atlanta: they are both top 5 in rush Defense. They give up 86.8 and 90 ypg. Schaub provides a threat to be able to open up the running game. With Leinart, the Cincy D and ATL D can load the box and force the Texans to air it out with an unknown QB. With Schaub we could have won one or both, without we likely lose both.

    NE has the EASIEST schedule and I could see them winning out or losing just once. Pitt has 1 tough game left in SF and other than that they could win out. The Wild card is the Raiders. I have no idea where they will finish, but they could finish just ahead with the tiebreaker, just behind, or miss the playoffs completely. So the Texans could be a 3rd or 4th seed. I really think #1 and #2 pretty much required 12-4 and that meant just one more loss.

    The thing about Schaub is he can make that important 3rd and 8 pass for a first down to extend a series. Cincy has a good D and Schaub would have been great picking it apart with short passes. I am not sure Leinart can do that. Atlanta has a solid Run

    Can leinart do that? I honestly don't know.

    If Schaub had been there, I think we would have beaten Cincy, especially with Leon Hall out.
     
  20. honored82

    honored82 Veteran

    Joined:
    Oct 3, 2010
    Messages:
    154
    Likes Received:
    15
    with 6 games remaining, we can expect all top AFC teams ( NE, Steelers, Ravens ) to go 5-1... and if we do the same 5-1 we can be #1 seed.

    Jaguars on the road will be a tough one. I dont think our running game will work against them like its been. Hope Leinart does some magic, After all he is a 2004 Heisman trophy winner.
    Come one Leinart pull a Cam Newton here.
     

Share This Page