Mediocre Math

Discussion in 'Texans Talk' started by CharloTex, Dec 19, 2010.

  1. CharloTex

    CharloTex All Pro

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    There are 32 NFL teams. Therefore, if you are an average NFL team, you’ll win the Super Bowl once every 32 years. No problem, we have 23 more years to go. With 16 teams in the AFL, on average each team will play in the Super Bowl once every 16 years. No problem, we have 7 more years to fulfill our mediocrity. Two of the 16 AFL teams play in the AFL Championship game each year. So of course, each fan can expect their team to appear in their Conference Championship game once every 8 years, if for no other reason than to firmly establish their mediocrity.

    Ok, stay with me here - there are 4 teams in each division. One would expect that, on average each team would achieve divisional superiority once every 4 years. This would prove to the NFL world that you had complied with the law of averages. Furthermore, each year, 6 of 16 teams advance to the playoffs in each conference. Every 2.7 years, each mediocre team will trip or back their way into the playoffs. In nine years, a mediocre team would have appeared at least 3 times, and be anticipating their next appearance very soon.

    All the NFL teams square off against each other every year, and collectively they end up with an equal number of wins (256) and losses (256). On average, every team would finish 8-8 each year. But, since some teams every year win 10, 11, 12, even as many as 14 wins in a given year, while others win only ZERO, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6, one might suppose that during the years that you weren’t in that lower tier of losers, you might occasionally win 10 or more games. Certainly you would more than occasionally win 9 games, to affirm (Bob McNair’s wording) your averageness.

    But no, not if you’re the Detroit Lions, with virtually no talent year in and year out. Certainly not if you are Buffalo with nary a name player, unless you count Lee Evans (he plays great in Houston). And no way if you are the Cleveland Browns – until I started playing Fantasy Football, I couldn’t even name a player on that team.

    But, if you were fielding a team with the last two year’s best wide receiver in the game, last year’s most prolific passing QB, this year’s best all around running back, a plethora of capable TE’s, last year’s Defensive Rookie of the Year, and all the Pro-Bowl talent from end-to-end on both sides of the ball, a brand new, very capable place kicker, and newly acquired depth at all positions, how do the Houston Texans not this year, or any year before qualify and fit into even one of the mediocre categories named above? Ever? After 9 years? Is it because we are on the friggin’ RIGHT TRACKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK Mr. McNair?
     
    Esoom and TheIronDuke like this.
  2. PapaL

    PapaL Loose Screw

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    Ya...I didn't read all that.

    Rock on.
     
  3. Lucky

    Lucky Moderator

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    Too bad. You might have learned something.
     
  4. HJam72

    HJam72 Hall of Fame

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    Answer: We may have the worst pass-D in the history of the game, because our HC doesn't think free safeties are important. Despite our O, we have -53 net points this year. Matter of fact, he doesn't seem to think our whole secondary is very important. Doesn't really help that our DC is clueless either, and that is probably because our HC doesn't care much about the WHOLE DEFENSE.
     
  5. Esoom

    Esoom Veteran

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    We are a massive pile of explosive talent that just needs a spark from a coach. Trying to accomplish that with Kubes is like trying to light that pile of talent with a water hose. It won't work and it will inevitably lead to a huge mess.
     
  6. Txn_in_FL

    Txn_in_FL Lucky 13

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    The AFL is still around?

    :hurrah:
     
  7. CharloTex

    CharloTex All Pro

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    Whoops! Now you know how long I've been around. Funny, that with all the laws of averages, it's been far more than 32 years that any Houston football team has advanced to, let alone win their "fair share" of league championships (Super Bowl). You have to go all the way back to the AFL days to find a Houston Football Championship.
     
  8. TheCD

    TheCD All Pro

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    Interesting bit of depressing math. Thanks for making me sad now...:kitten:

    Then why the heck did you bother to post?
     

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