LORK's Week 8 Preview

Discussion in 'Texans Talk' started by LORK 88, Oct 28, 2010.

?

Who Wins It?

Poll closed Nov 2, 2010.
  1. Texans by a lot

    8.1%
  2. Texans barely

    70.3%
  3. Colts barely

    13.5%
  4. Colts by a lot

    8.1%
  1. LORK 88

    LORK 88 Wreck'em Ŧech!

    Joined:
    Apr 6, 2005
    Messages:
    1,205
    Likes Received:
    196
    Location:
    Texas Tech
    [​IMG]


    Week 1, Houston did the improbable: they beat the Indianapolis Colts. This week, Houston has the chance to do something that they could have never dreamed of: sweep the Colts. As awesome as this sounds it’s going to be extremely difficult. Peyton Manning hates losing and will be out for revenge. It sure doesn’t help that Houston’s secondary is constantly exposed. Houston on the other hand will look to replicate the success they had on the ground with the NFL surprise star this season, Arian Foster. This week will be a battle of offenses on opposite ends. Can Houston run to victory like they did last time or will Peyton prove why he’s one of the best QB ever?


    Houston’s Running Game vs. Indy’s Run D: The Colts run defense has never really been one of the best in the league and this year is no different. It’s what let Houston win the game week 1. Freeney and Mathis always seem to be coming up field so to counter this Indy has gotten bigger in the middle with Antonio Johnson and Daniel Muir. Johnson is a bit sluggish and more of a traditional NT while Muir can move around and is pretty athletic for his size. However, neither one has been impressive this season. The Colts linebackers have some consistency going for them as they have all 3 starters returning this season. Brackett will man the middle again and is the leader of the group. Clint Sessions will start at WLB and is the most explosive of the group. Phillip Wheeler is athletic, but still trying to find his place on the defense. He is a solid player though and shouldn’t be overlooked. Houston destroyed Indy on the ground and best believe they are going to try to replicate that. The offensive line did a great job leaving Foster with running lanes that let him get to the second level at almost full speed. Granted, Indy has film on what went wrong and can try to fix it, but I still think Foster will have another good game like he has the majority of the season.

    Houston’s Passing Game vs. Indy’s Pass D: Bob Sanders? Out. Melvin Bullitt? Out. Aaron Francisco is starting in his spot and wasn’t even on the roster 3 weeks ago. However the Colts do have 3 legitimate starting caliber CBs now in Kelvin Hayden, Jacob Lacey, and Jerraud Powers. Hayden has been around for several years and is the veteran of the group. Powers and Lacey are both second year players who more than stepped up their rookie years (Powers picked off Schaub). Powers is definitely on his game this season and has his seen fair share of action. Rounding out the secondary is free safety Antoine Bethea. He has great awareness and is athletic enough to make plays downfield. He’s got to step up with no decent starter at strong safety. Of course, their pass defense isn’t complete without mentioning Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis. Both Freeney and Mathis are undersized but extremely quick and athletic; they have combined for 8.5 sacks thus far. For Houston, I wouldn’t be surprised if they open up the passing game more than they did last as I think Indy plays the run more than last time. With Francisco at Safety, Houston has the opportunity to get vertical. It also helps that Owen Daniels is more involved in the offense again. If Indy starts cheating up, Houston needs to get vertical. There’s definitely no way Schaub is throwing only 17 passes in a game, I can guarantee that (barring injury).

    Indy’s Running Game vs. Houston’s Run D: If the Colts have one area that they need to improve on, it’s their running game. They rank 25th in the NFL and have one of the worst averages. Joseph Addai is the one RB on the roster that’s been decent and reliable so far. He’s spent too much time dancing around instead of hitting the hole with authority. Donald Brown is the other RB who will see time and he didn’t have the rookie season many were expecting. He hasn’t done much this season and has been injured for part of it. Mike Hart is the other RB who could see some time in a pinch, but I’m not a big fan of his. He’s not very big and isn’t overly fast. Addai should see the majority of the runs this week as long as he’s healthy. He’s been the most productive so there’s no reason for him not to. For Houston, this should be the easy part. The Colts are ranked first in passing offense and Houston ranks dead last so Peyton and the Colts will most likely focus on that area. Houston’s run defense is also pretty solid and has ranked in the top half of the league all season long. The best plan for Houston will be to make the running game non-existent. If they can do this, they can focus more on the passing game and keep Indy in 3rd and long and pray that one of the kiddy corners makes a play.

    Indy’s Passing Game vs. Houston’s Pass D: We’re all fully aware of the Colts passing game as is the rest of the NFL. Peyton Manning is amazing and makes defenses pay whether it is on a short 5 yard screen or a deep post route. It all starts with Reggie Wayne, who has been Manning’s go to WR for years. He’s a playmaker who can take a slant all the way, win the jump ball in the end zone or go deep as well. Next in line at WR is Pierre Garcon followed by Austin Collie. Garcon proved to be a consistent deep threat and is finally starting to get going again this season after a slow start. Austin Collie is deadly over the middle and is having a breakout season ranking 12th in the NFL in receiving yards. Lucky for Houston, Dallas Clark is out for the rest of the season so there isn’t as big a threat at tight end. This all of course isn’t including Addai who they always will dump the ball off to if in trouble. The bad news is there really isn’t a set way on how to stop the Colts passing attack; the best you can hope for is to slow them down or keep their offense off the field completely. For Houston, the best bet will be to get in Manning’s face and make them throw the ball quickly. Houston arguably has the worst set of corners in the league that are allowing over 300 yards per game. Houston needs to be ready because Manning is going to come after the secondary.


    POSITION BATTLE
    QB Advantage: INDIANAPOLIS
    RB Advantage: HOUSTON
    WR Advantage: INDIANAPOLIS
    TE Advantage: HOUSTON
    OL Advantage: PUSH
    DL Advantage: INDIANAPOLIS
    LB Advantage: PUSH
    CB Advantage: INDIANAPOLIS
    S Advantage: PUSH
    K/P Advantage: INDIANAPOLIS
    RET Advantage: HOUSTON


    X-FACTOR: Arian Foster, RB

    This is who I chose as X Factor week 1 and this is definitely the X Factor this week as well. He torched the Colts with 231 yards and kept the game out of reach for even Peyton Manning. Houston was able to grind out the win on the ground much like they did in 2006. If they want to beat the Colts, they know what they must do. They need to run out the clock and win the game by running the ball on the ground. While Foster is the X Factor, Derrick Ward will definitely play a part as well in trying to replicate the week 1 success.


    KEYS TO THE GAME

    1) Get pressure on Peyton Manning. For as long as we play the Colts, this will be on here (it was the week 1 preview). Manning rarely gets pressured and because of this he always gets the opportunity to gash every defense he plays. When he does get sacked and pressured, he does get out of rhythm and he will make mistakes from time to time. It takes a lot to rattle Manning though so it’s something that Houston needs to stick with. At the very least, pressuring him gives him less time to try and go deep.

    2) Keep the Colts offense off the field. This was the blueprint to the Texans victory from 2006 and also the week 1 victory. The Texans had long, lengthy drives that lasted almost half of a quarter and in turn, Peyton could do nothing. If Houston lets him in the game, he will make them pay. If he’s on the sidelines, he can’t score points and there’s also an outside chance he could go cold. It also can’t hurt to wear down the Colts in case the game comes down to the end.

    3) Avoid giving up the big play. Teams have dinked and dunked Houston, but it’s the big play that always seems to kill Houston. They just can’t find a way to avoid giving up the deep ball down field. Against a team like Indianapolis that can make a big play look effortless, Houston will need to be on its game. The worst possible thing they can do is give Peyton Manning easy points and let them run away with this game.
     
  2. El Tejano

    El Tejano Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2004
    Messages:
    9,936
    Likes Received:
    447
    That picture needs a caption.

    "Oh this aint over either. November 1st, will be even better Peyton."
     
  3. Wolf6151

    Wolf6151 Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2008
    Messages:
    3,613
    Likes Received:
    132
    Location:
    Pearland, Texas
    I really hope the Texans can pull off the upset in Indy, but the Colt's are at home and they've got #18 so I just don't see it happening.
     
  4. Blake

    Blake MMQB

    Joined:
    Apr 29, 2004
    Messages:
    11,221
    Likes Received:
    624
    Location:
    Spring
    I think its funny how their handshake looks. Kinda like Peyton is gonna get on one knee and smooch it.
     
  5. beerlover

    beerlover Site Contributor

    Joined:
    May 1, 2004
    Messages:
    12,984
    Likes Received:
    548
    looks more like to me he's trying to break Arian Foster hand:handshake:
     
  6. SrslySirius

    SrslySirius Veteran

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2010
    Messages:
    138
    Likes Received:
    107
    Location:
    Houston
    Did you write this last week? Several of the players you mentioned are injured and won't be playing.
     
  7. HTown2ATX

    HTown2ATX TexansMetalhead

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2009
    Messages:
    4,408
    Likes Received:
    340
    Location:
    Austin
    I put on my big rose glasses and snapped my suspenders when I voted haha. I went for the brass ring Texans by a lot.

    Reality more than likely says my vote = FAIL

    I have been pretty vocal on shitting on our Defense. But after the bye week, hell, why not let myself just be filled with blind optimism for once right??

    :texflag:
     
  8. drs23

    drs23 Veteran

    Joined:
    Mar 16, 2010
    Messages:
    4,485
    Likes Received:
    312
    Location:
    No more VIP Suite so back to the recliner
    Wasn't sure about *several* but I know Addai is out. Who are the others?

    That being said, great job Lork. Always look forward to your game previews. I'm on record as Texans, barely. I say they win and sweep for the first time.:texflag:
     


  9. SrslySirius

    SrslySirius Veteran

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2010
    Messages:
    138
    Likes Received:
    107
    Location:
    Houston
    Austin Collie and Antonio Johnson are also out.
     
  10. Ryan

    Ryan THIS YEAR

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2005
    Messages:
    5,343
    Likes Received:
    285
    Location:
    Beaumont,Tx
    I picked Colts by a lot, because last game i picked the Chiefs by a lot and the result ended up being good so i'll stick with the formula. :worldpeace:
     
  11. imatexan

    imatexan Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 30, 2006
    Messages:
    2,792
    Likes Received:
    109
    Location:
    Los Angeles
    Great preview as always but I do disagree with the WR advantage going to the Colts. I think the Texans WR's are better and especially with Collie out.
     
  12. GNTLEWOLF

    GNTLEWOLF All Pro

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2006
    Messages:
    594
    Likes Received:
    45
    Location:
    Kilgore, TX
    Houston hasn't looked like an NFL team on defense since that first Colts game and you can bet Peyton has studied the game films. On the other hand, the Colts have injuries just like the Texans do. It will be interesting to see which team swims away and which team drowns.
    Colts in a barnburner by 3
     
  13. hradhak

    hradhak Site Contributor

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2007
    Messages:
    1,618
    Likes Received:
    73
    I think the game plan hasn't changed though. We have to keep Manning off the field. If we can shorten the game and be effective we have a good chance of beating the Colts.
     
  14. b0ng

    b0ng Ooops

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2007
    Messages:
    7,891
    Likes Received:
    613
    I hear keeping the opposing offense off the field and being effective is a good recipe to beat most teams.
     
  15. badboy

    badboy Site Contributor

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2007
    Messages:
    25,550
    Likes Received:
    990
    Location:
    Clear Lake
    I am hoping Kubes mixes Ward in also. Let's not forget how good he has done. Both our RBs can catch and we should take advantage of that. We need to physically whip their lines. Aj will get a lot of attention so I hope Walter and JJ can work the longer routes and OD and Dreesen can move the chains. We need good rotation to keep a beast fresh and on the field.
     

Share This Page