Las Vegas is Betting On Us

Discussion in 'Texans Talk' started by CloakNNNdagger, May 11, 2012.

  1. CloakNNNdagger

    CloakNNNdagger Site Contributor

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    Weekly predictions:

    Miami Dolphins (+6) at Houston Texans
    Houston Texans (-5.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
    Houston Texans (PICK) at Denver Broncos
    Tennessee Titans (+7.5) at Houston Texans
    Houston Texans (PICK) at New York Jets
    Green Bay Packers (-1.5) at Houston Texans
    Baltimore Ravens (+3) at Houston Texans
    Buffalo Bills (+7) at Houston Texans
    Houston Texans (+1) at Chicago Bears
    Jacksonville Jaguars (+10.5) at Houston Texans
    Houston Texans (+2.5) at Detroit Lions
    Houston Texans (-3) at Tennessee Titans
    Houston Texans (+6.5) at New England Patriots
    Indianapolis Colts (+10.5) at Houston Texans
    Minnesota Vikings (+10) at Houston Texans
    Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

    LINK
     
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  2. Rey

    Rey Guest

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    WoW...
     
  3. TexansBlood

    TexansBlood The CUSH!

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    That's what im talking about
     
  4. 2012Champs

    2012Champs Hall of Fame

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    this earlier on full lines dont really mean much
     
  5. Premier

    Premier All Pro

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    im not a gambler, never understood these things, could someone care to explain..
     
  6. 76Texan

    76Texan Hall of Fame

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    It's just another "financial" instrument/product they put out (the last 4 years, from reading it) to bring in more revenues to the house (or to make up for loss of revenues in other areas.

    But they do put in a lot of work (including watching films).

    My brother in law followed a series called "The line-makers" or "Oddsmakers" something like that, and he told me it was a whole more than interesting.

    We think that it's both an "art" and a "science" how they set up these odds.
    Overall, they come pretty close to the middle such that the house "earns" the commission as a go-between that processes the bet.

    No matter who wins, the house "earns" the commission - conspiracy theory aside.
     
  7. 2012Champs

    2012Champs Hall of Fame

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    If your team is - points you are favored by that amount and if your team is + points you are the dog.


    If your team is -3 and you bet on your team your team must win by more than 3 for you to win, if they win by only 3 you push and it they win by 2 or less or lose you lose.


    If your team is +3 your team has to lose by less than 3 or win the game to win. If they lose by 3 you push and if the lose by more than 3 you lose
     
  8. bigbrewster2000

    bigbrewster2000 4th Infantry

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    And to add to that just to explain the OP, the points are all based on the visiting team(first team in the row)
    So it shows the Dolphins as a 6 point dog in the first line
     
  9. paycheck71

    paycheck71 Hall of Fame

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    One thing to always keep in mind when looking at betting lines is that it is mostly based on how Vegas thinks people will bet, not what they think the outcome of the game will be. As someone already pointed out, they try to set the line to get the same amount of money on either side of the line.
     
  10. The Pencil Neck

    The Pencil Neck Hall of Fame

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    To put it simply, Vegas expects us to win 10-13 games. 10 games outright, 2 games could go either way, and they're not putting odds on the last game of the season cause they don't expect it to matter.

    They expect us to lose to: The Packers, The Lions, and The Patriots. Possible losses to the Broncos and the Jets.

    EDIT: Miscounted. I didn't see we were 1 point dogs to the Bears. So that's 9-12 games, not 10-13.
     
    Last edited: May 11, 2012
  11. alphajoker

    alphajoker Hall of Fame

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    It'll be interesting watching these odds change throughout the season. Some of the projected losses that are
    close games may flip in our favor.
     
  12. KA4Texan

    KA4Texan C27A

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    As much as I love my team, I have to say Hou. @ Ind.

    I don't care what odds say, I would have to bet against my team if I were putting money on that one (You all know why, besides I either see history repeat itself and make some on the side, OR we finally get over one more hump, either way..... makes for a silver lining)
     
  13. thunderkyss

    thunderkyss Salem Poor

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    I understand this is the weakest S.O.S. we've played since the Kubiak era began. But this looks "interesting" to me. Interesting as in strange.

    We're a wash with Denver & the Jets, 1 point Dogs to Chicago & Greenbay.
     
  14. The Pencil Neck

    The Pencil Neck Hall of Fame

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    Oops, I miscounted in my previous post.
     
  15. badboy

    badboy Site Contributor

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    If AJ & Schaub remain healthy and we don't lose DB or Foster we could win all 16. Packers & Pats are only questions to me.
     
  16. 76Texan

    76Texan Hall of Fame

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    How is this SOS weak?

    That comment seems pretty interesting and strange to me, TK!
     
  17. Texn4life

    Texn4life Hall of Fame

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    You have to remember that Vegas usually gives a 3 point edge to the home team meaning that 2 even teams meeting will see the home team as -3 favorite. In the NFL that happens quite a bit.

    So considering the Jets and Broncos games are pick em' games then Vegas sees us as the better team.
     
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  18. ObsiWan

    ObsiWan Site Contributor

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    hmmm... one point dogs to the Bears and the Pack. Both games at their place. Does that mean Vegas thinks the Pack and Bears are on equal ground? Interesting.....
     
  19. thunderkyss

    thunderkyss Salem Poor

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    This is the first time since Kubiak has been here, that we'll start the season with a S.O.S. below .500

    I know looking at the Bears, the Jets, don't "look" like an easy schedule, but they were both 8-8 last season. Then Peyton Manning makes the Division leading Broncos a better team, but they won their division @ 8-8 as well.

    On paper, just looking at last season's W-L, it's the easiest schedule we've had in the last 6 years.

    I know it doesn't mean a lot to some, but it's what I base the progress of the team on. All those teams on our schedule made moves during the offseason to make them better. So did we. Our W-L at the end of the 2012 season will tell us how much better we made our team relative to the teams on our schedule.

    We were a winning organization at the end of the 2011 season. Most of the teams on our schedule were not. We go into the season with a bit of an advantage, something this organization has never done. It's going to be interesting to see how they (we) do.

    Many teams have been in this situation before, only to go backwards, then spiral off into obscurity. The Buffalo Bills are also in a similar situation. They also have a similar S.O.S. they were not winners last season, but they showed a lil bit of somethinsomethin. I'm going to be watching these two teams as the season goes on.

    I don't know about you guys, but I thought it was funny when they fired Jauron & had to "settle" for Chan Gailey. I thought Gailey was done as a head coach, like Capers (who also came from the Cowher tree).

    So, I'm curious to see how things go for Buffalo.

    .
     
  20. Playoffs

    Playoffs Subscribed Contributor

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    Adam Schefter
    RT @HensDaddy7: Who are your Superbowl Favorites? ... Not ready to pick yet. But like Texans, Pats, Pack, Eagles, Cowboys to name some.
     

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