But it still comes down to would Obrien
draft Peyton Manning or Ryan Leaf.
I don't know if he can tell the difference.
In reality, nobody can. Nobody knows what these guys are going to do at the next level, that's why so many of them are busts. Weeden and Osweiler were taken before Wilson. Alex Smith taken before Rodgers. And then there's all the 1st round busts, Russell, Quinn, Sanchez, Tebow, Locker, Gabbert, Manuel. These guys weren't taken where they were because all of those GMs and/or HCs don't know what they're doing. They were the best you had to choose from, according to just about anybody in football. Nobody knew Ryan Leaf was going to be the flaming failure he was or he wouldn't have been in the discussion with Manning.
The problem is not getting it right between Manning and Leaf, it's that these top prospects, year in and year out, aren't learning how to play QB in college, at least not learning how to play NFL QB, so your chances of picking a QB that turns out to be a Manning or Rodgers are very slim to begin with.
I'm not putting that on Smith, O'Brien, anybody. That's a crap shoot at best. What I can put on the GM or HC, is that you have zero speed on your team and you went out and drafted zero speed. Your team is riddled with injuries and you go out and draft players who've fallen in the draft because of injuries. Nix, for example. That's all on the GM, HC, whoever it is pulling the trigger.