Discussion in 'Texans Talk' started by SheTitan, Jun 21, 2007.
How will Schaub and the O-Line do?
Less than VY interceptions.
They won't be setting any new sack records, if that's what you're asking.
Better question which will be lower vy passing % or Texans sack total.
I may be a Titans fan, but I was just curious to see how much better you guys think this stat will be. It wasn't meant to be smack
A link to last year's stats http://www.nfl.com/stats/playersort/NFL/QB-PASSING/2006/regular?&_1:col_1=13&start_row=1
It's okay buddy...i wouldn't be sure either. It's a hard thing to have to decide....do you really want to go to a stadium that has "make it rain" promotions?
I can't even remember what's average anymore.
I said the OL got 25% better the day they cut Carr .
wow some optimism (im being nice) so far.. i voted 30-40 because i dont think our line is that great... a pro is that schaub will make them better because he gets rid of the ball quickly, a con will be that we'll actually operate a proper nfl passing game this yr with 5 step drops etc so i expect the number to be similiar to last year
For reference from '06 season:
The average sacks allowed per team = 36, the median = 34.5
Highest number of sacks allowed - Raiders (72), lowest - Colts (15)
Texans sacks allowed = 43 (9th highest total)
Average passing attempts per sack = 14.2
Texans passing attempts per sack = 11.2
Matt Schaub career passing attempts per sack = 13.4
All good, I just get used to sticking my nose in the smack talking forum and see a titans fans and intially want to be a smartass.
I said to someone that the Texans that I know of 12 sacks caused by the qb position alone last year, and that is without reviewing any tape. So I say that plus a few more less sacks would be about right.
I'd figure it would be about equal with last year. The O-Line is still in flux, and Schaub ain't as mobile as Carr, even if he can actually find the number 2 WR.
How do ya figure??? Carr had zero pocket presence which caused a lot of his sacks. He probably has better straight line speed and is slightly more agile in the open field, but in the pocket he might as well be a statue. Between the tackles it would be hard to find a QB less mobile than Carr.
A great example of a slow mobile would be Dan Marino. He was a slow runner but very illusive in the pocket. We saw another example of this with Sage in the Tennessee game last year. No way Sage beats Carr in a foot race, but I would consider him a much more mobile QB based on his pocket and field presense.
OK. Now I need to see the average yards (or steps) in the QBs drop per sack. ICAK?
That one is too esoteric for me, plus the only data source I know is rewatching last year's games and I ain't watching HWWNBN except on a sideline at this point.
There are a lot of very optimistic voters out there.
I'm expecting us to be about average: 33-36.
Well, I can tell you that the Texans lost an average of -5.9 yards/sack. Which is a similar ratio to other teams that deploy a lot of 3-step drops, such as the Jets and the Broncos. The Texans still run the WCO, so I don't think 3-step drop routes are going away.
What I would like to see is the Texans passing more out of the shotgun on passing downs. Kubiak had his reasons last year for not going with the shotgun (other than screens and draws), but I think Schaub deserves the chance to try it. The shotgun really helps guys like Manning & Brady get a little more time to look downfield and make a play.
I may just be a fat guy in the Bull Pen, but I have never understood why we didn't use the shotgun more. It seems to me that if you are getting too much of a pass rush you would want your QB to be a little further from the line.
With an improved running game, the sack total should go down some. But the Texans will still be close to the bottom of the league in sacks allowed.
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