DPAR ratings: DD 26th best back

Discussion in 'Texans Talk' started by Wolf, Jan 22, 2006.

  1. Wolf

    Wolf 100% Texan

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    http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/rb.php


    :stirpot:

    DD was ranked 26th and Wells was ranked 28th
     
  2. infantrycak

    infantrycak Mod. Staff Member

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    I would have serious doubts about any system that results in Steven Jackson being ranked below DD and Jonathan Wells.
     
  3. bigTEXan8

    bigTEXan8 All Pro

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    Wasn't S. Jackson hurt for most of the year?
     
  4. PapaL

    PapaL Loose Screw

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    Does this mean that DD is likely to get -6.1% then another player or do I have it backwards?
     
  5. run-david-run

    run-david-run Hall of Fame

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    Any time you go 2-14, you are going to have some out of whack stats, DD is not anywhere near the 26th best back in the NFL. In the right system, hopefully Kubiak's, DD could be a top 10 back...
     
  6. PapaL

    PapaL Loose Screw

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    So your saying that when he goes from a run oriented zone block offense to a run oriented zone block offense he's going to improve 16 slots?
     
  7. Jack Bauer

    Jack Bauer All Pro

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    Sarcasm noted, but honestly, Kubiak's run-oriented zone block offenseis a much different run-oriented zone block offense. He understands how it is supposed to work.
     
  8. PapaL

    PapaL Loose Screw

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    Please explain....My understanding of running behind a zone blocking line is one cut and go. No room for dancing, no room for mulitple cuts at the LOS. Is HOU doing it different then DEN?
     


  9. Wolf

    Wolf 100% Texan

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    Davis Voa-29th

    he get the yards needed but doesn't get much more

    Wells is 18th

    hmm based on down and distance.. Wells stats get inflated (like all other stats) because if I recall Wells was in on shortyardage.




    well scroll down and you see some value for davis .. receiving he is 8th with 83% catch rate.
     
  10. texman8

    texman8 Veteran

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    Everyone knows Texans had a lousy offense this season. It would be interesting what the rankings were last season when Texans had a pretty decent offense and record. Can someone help?
     
  11. Caz

    Caz Rookie

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    Either way the guys that Denver had did a much better job of Zone Blocking. Am I to beleive that Mike ANderson and Tatum Bell are better than DD? Does that also make me beleive that Reggie Bush is going to be any better behind that BS line the Texans have? Come on man he is Reggie Bush not God. With Reggie Bush your looking at maybe 2 -3 win improvement at best. Trade down and fill your holes you have on your team and DD is good enough to get you 10 wins with some help. You have a gift with that pick. You guys would be set for years in the draft if you trade it.

    Keep in mind, Hershel Walker was the only player the cowboys had. The Vikings sold their soul for him. What happen there? Cowboys three superbowl wins and the Vikes are still looking to get there. Imagine what the texans could do if they traded this pick. They already have their tripplets with Carr, DD, and Johnson. Build your team around them and you might compete sooner than later.
     
  12. Texans Horror

    Texans Horror Hall of Fame

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    ESPN's stats rank DD slightly higher, but he is still considered an average back.
     
  13. Vinny

    Vinny shiny happy fan Staff Member

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    This is about the right rank for Davis. He couldn't displace the starter in at least 2/3rds of the league.
     
  14. eriadoc

    eriadoc Texan-American

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    Go look up where Davis ranked last season, to give us a wider view of how much was Davis and how much was the team.

    Davis could easily displace 1/2 of the NFL starting RBs, Vinny. I've given the numbers before; check my post history. He's in the top half and could be argued for top fifteen. This year's numbers aren't good, but no one onthe team did well.
     
  15. Let's look at the bottom 2/3rds of the league:

    19 Tatum Bell DEN 921 173 5.3 8 68
    20 Ronnie Brown MIA 907 207 4.4 4 65
    21 Jamal Lewis BAL 906 269 3.4 3 25
    22 DeShaun Foster CAR 879 205 4.3 2 70
    23 Chris Brown TEN 851 224 3.8 5 38
    24 Fred Taylor JAC 787 194 4.1 3 71
    25 Ricky Williams MIA 743 168 4.4 6 35
    26 Curtis Martin NYJ 735 220 3.3 5 49
    27 Corey Dillon NE 733 209 3.5 12 29
    28 Kevin Jones DET 664 186 3.6 5 40
    29 Mewelde Moore MIN 662 155 4.3 1 33
    30 Antowain Smith NO 659 166 4.0 3 42


    I can see only a couple of guys that DD would be absolutely better at, the rest he'd have a hard time unseating.
     
  16. TheOgre

    TheOgre Hall of Fame

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    While I don't agree with it 100%, I think it is overall pretty accurate. I'm glad to see some stats that support what I have been saying for a while. DD was a nice find for a 4th round selection, but he is merely a functional starting back.
     
  17. Vinny

    Vinny shiny happy fan Staff Member

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    I know your post history and I don't think like you when it comes to evaluating football players. We don't agree on much from what I gather. You tend to be more of a homer when it comes to our players imo.

    teams Dom might start for in bold, otherwise you could make a case or two from the rest, but Dom is clearly not in the top half of the NFL. 25th or 26th is about where I have him myself.

    NFC West:
    Seattle - Shaun Alexander
    St. Louis - Steven Jackson
    Arizona - Marcel Shipp
    San Francisco - Kevan Barlow


    NFC South:
    Atlanta - Warrick Dunn
    Carolina - DeShaun Foster/Stephen Davis
    Tampa - Carnell Williams
    New Orleans - Duece McAllister

    NFC North:
    Minnesota - Mewelde Moore
    Green Bay - Ahman Green
    Detroit - Kevin Jones
    Chicago - Thomas Jones/Ced Benson

    NFC East:
    Dallas - Julius Jones
    New York - Tiki Barber
    Philly - Michael Westbrook
    Washington - Clinton Portis

    AFC West:
    San Diego - Ladanian Tomlinson
    Kansas City - Larry Johnson/Priest Holmes
    Oakland - Lamont Jordan
    Denver - Mike Anderson/Tatum Bell

    AFC South:
    Indianapolis - Edgerrin James
    Jacksonville - Fred Taylor
    Tennessee - Chris Brown/Travis Henry

    AFC North:
    Pittsburgh - Bettis/Parker/Staley
    Cincinatti - Rudi Johnson
    Baltimore - Jamal Lewis
    Cleveland - Reuben Droughns

    AFC East:
    Buffalo - Willis McGahee
    New York - Curtis Martin only because of age
    Miami - Ronnie Brown
    New England - Corey Dillon
     
  18. eriadoc

    eriadoc Texan-American

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    Davis put up 3158 total yards and 22 TDs in his first two years. There aren't many on your list above that did that. In this off year, in which everyone on the team underperformed, he still posted 6 TDs.

    Call me a homer; that's fine. All I really care about is production. I'll agree with the sentiment that Davis doesn't have the measurables people look for. And I think a lot of people don't see the "pop" in Davis' play. It doesn't matter, though. You can take the running backs with all the flash and talent in the world (Julius Jones, Kevin Jones, Foster, Chris Brown, Rudi Johgnson, etc.), but at the end of the day, Davis has outperformed those backs. They might end up with better career stats - who knows? But as of now, Davis has outperformed many of the backs on your list. You can speculate on talent and numbers, but compare Davis' first two season with any of those on your list and you'll see, he compares favorably. I know everyone wants that back that can run for 1800 yards - heck, I do too. But we have what we have and when we play to his strengths, he's very, very good. If I could trade DD for another back in the NFL, I would go with the guy that can put up 1800 yards rushing and pound it in there. Davis is just a different type of back - not better, not worse, just different.
     
  19. Grid

    Grid Hall of Fame

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    No one has mentioned (at least at first glance) that DD is 8th in receiving.. with more TDs than anyone but K. Johnson (with 5) and Westbrook (tied at 4).

    That may not put him in the top 10... but that has to count towards something in regards to his worth.

    As for people saying he will perform better in a scheme the same as the one he is in.... when our offense sucks in pretty much every way.. you cant blame it all on Davis. He will perform better in an offense that can move the ball in other ways besides handing it off/passing it to him.

    I think Davis is an above average back.. but not elite.. and I doubt he ever will be.. but with some help from the rest of the offense, I could see him putting up good numbers.. maybe even ranking in the 7-10 area among backs in the NFL.
     
  20. Wolf

    Wolf 100% Texan

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    I agree with Vinny on this one. DD is solid but not spectacular..I am not saying get Bush because this team has weaknesses more than Rb.. and if we get Bush fine, if we dont' fine

    If I read the rating right.. they compare to all sttuations ..down and distance that all Rb's do .. higher the rating on (if I remember correctly) voa..means he gets his yard but not much else.. That is true on DD and wells ..the moon and stars have to allign just right for him to break it..
     

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