Little early for this, but what the heck. Each year so far, Carr has performed better (at least stats wise) in the 1st half of the season than the 2nd half. Each year, my expectation (standard for judging his progress) is for him to beat not his annual performance from the last season, but his performance in the 1st 8 games. Prior years (parentheticals give the projection over a full year): 2002 1st 8 games: 51.7 comp. %, 1387(2774) yds, 173.4 ypg, 6.7 ypa 7(14) TD's 8(16) Int's 68.2 QBR Year: 52.4 comp. %, 2592 yds, 162 ypg, 5.8 ypa, 9 TD's, 15 INT's, 62.8 QBR 2003 1st 8 games: 59.8 comp. %, 1483(2966) yds, 211.9 ypg, 7.3 ypa, 6(12) TD's, 8(16) Int's, 75.7 QBR Year: 56.6 comp. %, 2013 (injury) yds, 167.8 ypg, 6.8 ypa, 9 TD's, 13 Int's, 69.5 QBR 2004 1st 8 games: 64 comp. %, 2162(4324) yds, 270.3 ypg, 8.6 ypa, 9(18) TD's, 5(10) Int's, 95.1 QBR Year: 61.2 comp. %, 3531 yds, 220.7 ypg, 7.6 ypa, 16 TD's, 14 Int's, 83.5 QBR. There are some minor exceptions, but generally Carr has over a subsequent season exceeded his performance in the prior season's 1st 8 games. With that in mind, seems the bar for improvement this year should be set at Carr ending the year with numbers resembling or exceeding those from the 1st 8 games last year: 1st 8 games: 64 comp. %, 2162(4324) yds, 270.3 ypg, 8.6 ypa, 9(18) TD's, 5(10) Int's, 95.1 QBR My guess is the completion % may go up 1-3 points, the yards will most likely come down some, hopefully the ypa remains the same or improves slightly and the TD's go up some with QBR staying about the same (less yards but more TD's). Now to make this post irrelevant, those stats would match up favorably with playoff QB's from last year, but of course don't tell the story of the intangibles of when he made the smart decision, whether the TD or the INT was what really counted and how the rest of the team played. Nonetheless, that's the hurdle for him to cross IMO.