This is a look at the first round drafts from 1996 to 2003 concerning drafted OTs and drafted RBs. Why did I choose this sample size? I consider 03 to be a good stopping point in terms of fair evaluations, and 96 seems to be a good starter. Feel free to critique whether my hit/miss is accurate. Some people I label as hits, could be considered a mediocre player fortunate enough to never be challenged [Harris, Petitgout]. Some people labeled as whiffs, could be considered hits, but I'm at odds [mainly, Turley and Thomas Jones]. In that sense, the numbers I put out for overall first round picks is subject to chance, and I'll probably go with your word if you say, "Player X definitely is a Hit/Player Z definitely is a Whiff." When it comes to my hit/miss ratios for Top 10 picks, that's a different story. I'm pretty certain that I got them right. [Unless people argue that Turley is a hit] Is this an addenum to the Bush/OT debate? You bet your horses it is. Does history repeat itself? Lightning never strikes twice? You make the call. 1996 OT Jonathan Ogden - Hit Willie Anderson - Hit John Michels - Whiff Jamain Stephens - Whiff Andre Johnson - Whiff RB Lawrence Phillips - Whiff Tim Biakabatuka - Whiff Eddie George - Hit 1997 OT Orlando Pace - Hit Walter Jones - Hit Tarik Glenn - Hit Ross Verba - Hold RB Warrick Dunn - Hit Antowain Smith - Whiff 1998 OT Kyle Turley - Whiff Tra Thomas - Hit Victor Riley - Whiff RB Curtis Enis - Whiff Fred Taylor - Hit Robert Edwards - Whiff John Avery - Whiff 1999 OT John Tait - Hit Luke Petitgout - Hit L.J. Shelton - Hit Aaron Gibson - Whiff RB Edgerrin James - Hit Ricky Williams - Puff 2000 OT Chris Samuels - Hit Stockar McDougle - Whiff Chris McIntosh - Whiff RB Jamal Lewis - Hit Thomas Jones - Whiff Ron Dayne - Whiff Shaun Alexander - Hit Trung Candidate - Whiff 2001 OT Leonard Davis - Hit Kenyatta Walker - Whiff Jeff Backus - Hit RB LaDanian Tomlinson - Hit Deuce McAlister - Hit Michael Bennett - Whiff 2002 OT Mike Williams - Whiff Bryant McKinnie - Hit Levi Jones - Hit Marc Colombo - Whiff Kendall Simmons - Hit RB William Green - Whiff T.J. Duckett - Hit 2003 OT Jordan Gross - Hit George Foster - Hit Kwame Harris - Hit RB Willis McGahee - Hit Larry Johnson - Hit TOTAL: OT Top Ten - 8/10 = 80% Overall - 18/30 = 60% RB Top Ten - 3/6 = 50% Overall - 11/23 = 44% Conclusion: History shows that drafting OTs yields a higher probability of draft success over drafting RBs. When it comes to Top Ten drafting, success in OT drafting is significantly higher than RB drafting. What does this mean? 1) Drafting Ferguson/Winston is the safe choice, FREENEY WHO? 2) History means nothing! Draft Bush, MOVE OVER COLTS.