Line movement: The Super Bowl point spread opened at 4.5 or 5 at most Las Vegas sports books on Championship Sunday two weeks ago, but the line was bet down to 4 by later that evening. Most of those 4s became 3.5s after a few day of wagering, but 4s started popping back up this week and again became the most popular number around town. As of this Thursday afternoon posting, just two major Vegas shops -- the LVH SuperBook and the MGM have 3.5 posted, and the MGM has -120 juice attached to the 49ers.
The total opened as low as 49 as high as 51, but has been bet UNDER ever since. It sat at 48 at most shoos for much of the two weeks, but 47.5 has become the number throughout Las Vegas.
Recent meetings:
11/3/11 Ravens 16-6 (-3.5) at Baltimore
Trends to know:
--- The NFC is 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU in the last five Super Bowls.
--- San Francisco is 25-11-1 ATS under Jim Harbaugh.
--- San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. winning teams.
--- Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last five games vs. winning teams.
--- Baltimore is 4-0 ATS in its last four playoff games.
--- Over is 6-0 in San Francisco’s last six games.
--- Under is 4-1 in Baltimore’s last five games.
--- Over is 5-0 in San Francisco’s last five games vs. winning teams.
--- Under is 4-0 in Baltimore’s last four games on Fieldturf.
