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Super Mario's First Round Prediction

Blake

MMQB
Here is how I see the first round shaking out.

1. Carolina Panthers-Marcel Dareus

2. Denver Broncos-Patrick Peterson

3. Buffalo Bills-Cam Newton

4. Cincinnati Bengals-A.J. Green

5. Arizona Cardinals-Blaine Gabbert

6. Cleveland Browns-Von Miller

7. San Francisco 49ers-Robert Quinn

8. Tennessee Titans-Nick Fairley

9. Dallas Cowboys-Tyron Smith

10. Washington Redskins-Prince Amukamara

11. Houston Texans-Aldon Smith

12. Minnesota Vikings-Jake Locker

13. Detroit Lions-Da’Quan Bowers

14. St. Louis Rams-Julio Jones

15. Miami Dolphins-Ryan Mallett

16. Jacksonville Jags-Ryan Kerrigan

17. New England Patriots-Cameron Jordan

18. San Diego Chargers-J.J. Watt

19. New York Giants-Corey Liuget

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Akeem Ayers

21. Kansas City Chiefs-Nate Solder

22. Indianapolis Colts-Anthony Castonzo

23. Philadelphia Eagles-Gabe Carimi

24. New Orleans Saints-Mark Ingram

25. Seattle Seahawks-Jimmy Smith

26. Baltimore Ravens-Cameron Heyward

27. Atlanta Falcons-Muhammad Wilkerson

28. New England Patriots-Aaron Williams

29. Chicago Bears-Mike Pouncey

30. New York Jets-Martez Wilson

31. Pittsburgh Steelers-Rodney Hudson

32. Green Bay Packers-Brandon Harris
 
Why do you think the Texans would take Smith in the first round as opposed to Bowers, Jordan or Watt?
 
Why do you think the Texans would take Smith in the first round as opposed to Bowers, Jordan or Watt?

Bowers looks like a 4-3 DE to me. I think the others all rate out at about the same area. 15 or so. Even though 5 techs are coveted for the 3-4 defense, pass rushers are more valuable. Especially to a team that has Mario Williams, Antonio Smith and a couple others that might be able to play DE. I am assuming they will put Aldon at pass rush OLB.

I would rather have Quinn but I think he will go higher than 11.
 
If three are selected before Texans two of those will under achieve expectations. Not based just off sheer talent but fit & complimentry pieces around them.
 
Probably right:toropalm:

The guy is a clone of Aaron "Still no sacks" Maybin

:rolleyes:

quite different actually. maybin was/is an undersized 4-3 de that relies nearly totally on his speed and was a 20 yr old, 1 season wonder who turned that in a top 15 pick.

smith is a prototypically sized 3-4 olb. he's the same size as demarcus ware & is a very good athlete also who had quite a bit of success rushing from inside also (where hand speed & violence are needed more)

in fact, if your looking for a player w/ some similarities to maybin, von miller would be alot closer

No offense intended but I sure hope your wrong. Smith is a great athlete but he's 2 yrs. away from being a good/great 3-4 DE, he is not a 3-4 OLB.

how'd you figure that? as above, hes a perfect sized 3-4 olb


my hope for the #11 pick is that we will get robert quinn but im gonna be good if its aldon smith also. its a pretty logical pick tahts quite likely to happen so prepare yourselves for it
 
:rolleyes:

quite different actually. maybin was/is an undersized 4-3 de that relies nearly totally on his speed and was a 20 yr old, 1 season wonder who turned that in a top 15 pick.

smith is a prototypically sized 3-4 olb. he's the same size as demarcus ware & is a very good athlete also who had quite a bit of success rushing from inside also (where hand speed & violence are needed more)

in fact, if your looking for a player w/ some similarities to maybin, von miller would be alot closer



how'd you figure that? as above, hes a perfect sized 3-4 olb


my hope for the #11 pick is that we will get robert quinn but im gonna be good if its aldon smith also. its a pretty logical pick tahts quite likely to happen so prepare yourselves for it


Look, I'm not a big Von Miller fan like everyone else. He's good enough, but not top 3 talent. However, he produced multiple years in a row and played with his hand off the ground. That isn't Maybin at all. I don't think Smith will be quite as much of a bust as Everett Brown and Maybin (and God did I hate those picks in their draft classes) but I think he'll be in the Jason Babin group. He's got NFL size unlike the other two guys everyone on this board loved. He isn't a DeMarcus Ware talent. Not even close. I've been able to see a lot of his games/reviews due to my location. He's not a football player. I don't think Cam Jordan is going to be anything special at all, and I'd reach for him (IMO) at #11 before I even thought about taking Smith.
 
Cam 1st to Carolina(yuck)

Gabbert to Buffalo

Locker to Tenn.

I wouldn't do these, but I think it will happen. Mallet to Minnesota. Or swap Mallet with Locker.

I am thinking we are a good trade up partner for anyone who wants Locker or Mallet ahead of Minnesota. If either are left.
 
Here is how I see the first round shaking out.

1. Carolina Panthers-Marcel Dareus Cam Newton

2. Denver Broncos-Patrick Peterson Nick Fairley

3. Buffalo Bills-Cam Newton Marcel Dareus

4. Cincinnati Bengals-A.J. Green AJ Green

5. Arizona Cardinals-Blaine Gabbert Von Miller

6. Cleveland Browns-Von Miller Robert Quinn

7. San Francisco 49ers-Robert Quinn Patrick Peterson

8. Tennessee Titans-Nick Fairley Da'Quan Bowers

9. Dallas Cowboys-Tyron Smith Prince Amukamara

10. Washington Redskins-Prince Amukamara Julio Jones

11. Houston Texans-Aldon Smith

12. Minnesota Vikings-Jake Locker Blaine Gabbert

13. Detroit Lions-Da’Quan Bowers Tyron Smith

14. St. Louis Rams-Julio Jones Ryan Kerrigan

15. Miami Dolphins-Ryan Mallett Mark Ingram

16. Jacksonville Jags-Ryan Kerrigan Cameron Jordan

17. New England Patriots-Cameron Jordan Cory Luiget

18. San Diego Chargers-J.J. Watt Anthony Castonzo

19. New York Giants-Corey Liuget Mike Pouncey

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Akeem Ayers Adrian Clayborn

21. Kansas City Chiefs-Nate Solder Justin Houston

22. Indianapolis Colts-Anthony Castonzo Brandon Harris

23. Philadelphia Eagles-Gabe Carimi

24. New Orleans Saints-Mark Ingram Muhammed Wilkerson

25. Seattle Seahawks-Jimmy Smith Ryan Mallet

26. Baltimore Ravens-Cameron Heyward Tory Smith

27. Atlanta Falcons-Muhammad Wilkerson Jimmy Smith

28. New England Patriots-Aaron Williams Nate Solder

29. Chicago Bears-Mike Pouncey Jason Pinkston

30. New York Jets-Martez Wilson Rahim Moore

31. Pittsburgh Steelers-Rodney Hudson Derek Sherrod

32. Green Bay Packers-Brandon Harris JJ Watt

We had the same pick for two out of the 32. Ironically Houston who I had taking Aldon Smith and Philadelphia who I had taking Carimi also.
 
HAPPY DRAFT DAY!!!

I still hear the rumors of Newton #1 to the Panthers but I will believe it when I see it.

#1 They drafted Jimmy Claussen last year with a 2nd round pick.
#2 They dont have a 2nd round pick this year meaning this pick must contribute immediately. They cant just sit on the bench learning for 2 years.
#3 The owner is frugal, and wont want to spend #1 QB money. Especially on a project QB.
#4 Steve Smith isnt happy in Carolina, and is a liability to assume will be there next year.
#5 Gave up over 123 rushing yards per game. Good for 22nd.

If the Panthers cant trade out of the #1 spot they will take Marcell Dareus or A.J. Green.

That being said, I know this is a QB driven league, and certain teams can become drunk on a players physical talents, it is at least possible that the Panthers take Newton and tell their fans not to expect playoffs for at least 3 years as they rebuild around Newton.
 
HAPPY DRAFT DAY!!!

I still hear the rumors of Newton #1 to the Panthers but I will believe it when I see it.

#1 They drafted Jimmy Claussen last year with a 2nd round pick.
#2 They dont have a 2nd round pick this year meaning this pick must contribute immediately. They cant just sit on the bench learning for 2 years.
#3 The owner is frugal, and wont want to spend #1 QB money. Especially on a project QB.
#4 Steve Smith isnt happy in Carolina, and is a liability to assume will be there next year.
#5 Gave up over 123 rushing yards per game. Good for 22nd.

If the Panthers cant trade out of the #1 spot they will take Marcell Dareus or A.J. Green.

That being said, I know this is a QB driven league, and certain teams can become drunk on a players physical talents, it is at least possible that the Panthers take Newton and tell their fans not to expect playoffs for at least 3 years as they rebuild around Newton.

Newton, Dareus, Peterson and Green are said to be in the mix but Newton is the favourite from what I have read/listened to.

I still think Dareus is the smart move.
 
HAPPY DRAFT DAY!!!

I still hear the rumors of Newton #1 to the Panthers but I will believe it when I see it.

#1 They drafted Jimmy Claussen last year with a 2nd round pick.
#2 They dont have a 2nd round pick this year meaning this pick must contribute immediately. They cant just sit on the bench learning for 2 years.
#3 The owner is frugal, and wont want to spend #1 QB money. Especially on a project QB.
#4 Steve Smith isnt happy in Carolina, and is a liability to assume will be there next year.
#5 Gave up over 123 rushing yards per game. Good for 22nd.

If the Panthers cant trade out of the #1 spot they will take Marcell Dareus or A.J. Green.

That being said, I know this is a QB driven league, and certain teams can become drunk on a players physical talents, it is at least possible that the Panthers take Newton and tell their fans not to expect playoffs for at least 3 years as they rebuild around Newton.

If they had the same coach that picked Clausen, I would agree, but Rivera wants to make this his team.
 
If they had the same coach that picked Clausen, I would agree, but Rivera wants to make this his team.

And they will be his team when he puts his stamp on their defense. Spags is a recent example of a defensive minded coach skipping the QB's in 2008 and 2009, getting a tackle and D end. In 2010, 2 years into his HC job he got his franchise QB from Oklahoma.
 
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