Eyeguy
Waterboy
Since realignment in 2002 36 teams have made the playoffs. Of those 36 teams 18 did not make the playoffs the year before. (50%)
10 of those 18 teams were from the AFC. (55%)
Of the AFC teams, the average # of wins the previous year before making the playoffs was 6.8.
These teams won an average of 4.2 more game the year they made the playoffs from the previous year.
2002
colts 10-6 + 4 wins
titians 11-5 + 4 wins
Browns 9-7 + 2 wins
2003
Pats 14-2 +5 wins
Ravens 10-6 +3 wins
Cheifs 13-3 + 5 wins
Broncos 10-6 + 1 win
2004
Jets 10-6 +4 wins
squeelers 15-1 +9 wins
Chargers 12-4 +8 wins
A common thread with many of these teams was a breakout year for a young Quaterback. Many belive that this will be David Carrs year.
It is not reaching too far to predict for a 7-9 team to go 11-5 and make the playoffs. The key seems to be if a teams get hot early and is underestimated early in the season. Like any NFL team the health of key players is critical as well.
My prediction:
TEXANS 5-3 first half of season
6-2 second half of season
11-5 make playoffs
10 of those 18 teams were from the AFC. (55%)
Of the AFC teams, the average # of wins the previous year before making the playoffs was 6.8.
These teams won an average of 4.2 more game the year they made the playoffs from the previous year.
2002
colts 10-6 + 4 wins
titians 11-5 + 4 wins
Browns 9-7 + 2 wins
2003
Pats 14-2 +5 wins
Ravens 10-6 +3 wins
Cheifs 13-3 + 5 wins
Broncos 10-6 + 1 win
2004
Jets 10-6 +4 wins
squeelers 15-1 +9 wins
Chargers 12-4 +8 wins
A common thread with many of these teams was a breakout year for a young Quaterback. Many belive that this will be David Carrs year.
It is not reaching too far to predict for a 7-9 team to go 11-5 and make the playoffs. The key seems to be if a teams get hot early and is underestimated early in the season. Like any NFL team the health of key players is critical as well.
My prediction:
TEXANS 5-3 first half of season
6-2 second half of season
11-5 make playoffs