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Scouts Inc Breaks down Jets/Texans matchup

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From ESPN Insider:
http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/scouting?gameId=290913034

After breaking down film of both teams, Scouts Inc. offers 10 things to watch in this week's Jets-Texans matchup.

1. New York will try and establish the run: Being on the road in the opening game of the season, the Jets will likely lean on the running game. Talented Jets ball carrier Thomas Jones led the AFC in rushing and is a key to their offensive success. Houston has a talented defensive front, but New York matches up well in the trenches and will stay with a hard-nosed ground attack to control the tempo of the game.

Pretty good read for 2-10 as well. Not too detailed, but good points all around. Basically states that the Jets are going to try and keep the game slow and in control for their rook QB, while the Texans are going to try and spread the ball around and get it to their playmakers. Makes a good point about the strength of the Jets NT, which they hope will result in flushing Schaub out of the pocket (where he doesn't make great decisions). Seems to like our chances for a big ST play at some point.
Final score prediction is 20-24 Texans
 
Here is the rest of it if you don't have insider:

After breaking down film of both teams, Scouts Inc. offers 10 things to watch in this week's Jets-Texans matchup.

1. New York will try and establish the run: Being on the road in the opening game of the season, the Jets will likely lean on the running game. Talented Jets ball carrier Thomas Jones led the AFC in rushing and is a key to their offensive success. Houston has a talented defensive front, but New York matches up well in the trenches and will stay with a hard-nosed ground attack to control the tempo of the game.

2. Expect high percentage passes from the Jets' rookie signal caller: High profile quarterback Mark Sanchez is very talented but will likely have a game plan that will give him some high-percentage passes in his NFL debut. Houston is a tough place to play (crowd noise, etc.) and getting the ball to his athletic tight end (Dustin Keller), backs and receivers on short and intermediate routes is the offense coordinator Brian Schottenheimer will design for Sanchez.

3. Flush Schaub out of the pocket: Houston quarterback Matt Schaub is an excellent rhythm passer who can exploit a defense when given time in the pocket. Schaub isn't a great improviser out of the pocket, and inside pressure is what defensive coordinator Mike Pettine and head coach Rex Ryan will design for this week's match up. Look for massive nose tackle Kris Jenkins to push the pocket inside as well as linebacker blitzes in the "A" gaps to disrupt the Texans' air assault.

4. Jets will focus on corralling Steve Slaton: The New York defense is missing two of their better players for the opener (Shaun Ellis and Calvin Pace) and will need to keep talented running back Slaton from picking up chunks of yards. Slaton is one of the more explosive young backs in the league, and keeping him hemmed in with proper angles, leveraging the ball and solid open field tackling will be a priority.

5. Matchup to watch (Jets CB Darrelle Revis vs. Texans WR Andre Johnson): Darrelle is considered one of the better young defenders at his position but will have his hands full with one of the most physical and talented wide receivers in the league, Andre Johnson. Revis led the team in interceptions (five) and passes defended (sixteen) in 2008 and is the Jets' best chance of covering Johnson effectively. Look for defensive-minded head coach Ryan to design bracket coverage to help Revis with this matchup.

6. Houston will spread the ball around: The Texans have several talented targets in the passing game who will be tough matchups for the Jets' defense. With Andre Johnson and Kevin Walter on the perimeter, tight end Owen Daniels stretching the seams and Slaton out of the backfield, the Texans offense can set the tempo of the contest if they spread the ball around. It's likely that head coach Gary Kubiak will script the first several plays designed to attack all levels of the field.

7. Expect the Houston defense to mix things up: With a rookie quarterback in hostile territory in the opening game, we should look for Texans defensive coordinator Frank Bush to disguise coverages and mix up pressure packages. It will be important to make Sanchez go through his progression by taking away his first option with different looks in the secondary and utilizing some delayed blitzes.

8. Look for Slaton to get the ball in space: Second-year running back Slaton is most effective on the perimeter and in space. He can pick up chunks of yards when he hits a crease, averaging almost five yards per carry in 2008. Slaton has good hands and can be dangerous on screens and option routes. Look for Kubiak to design plays specifically to get his talented running back in space, as he is much less effective in a confined area.

9. Look for the Texans to make a big play in the kicking game: Houston has two very talented return specialists in Jacoby Jones and Andre Davis. Both players have excellent speed and instincts to hit a crease and make a big play, but the Jets have been very solid with their coverage units. Look for a wrinkle or two (a reverse or throwback) in this contest to spring either Jones or Davis.

10. Matchup to watch (Texans RDE Mario Williams vs. Jets LOT D'Brickashaw Ferguson): This should be an excellent battle between two high-profile first-round players. Both lineman were considered to be the best at their respective positions in the 2006 draft and have played at a high level during their four-year careers. Williams has developed powerful counters to collapse the pocket off of his initial speed rush move. Ferguson wins with his length and athleticism to keep defenders at bay but may have a tough time anchoring effectively against the explosive power of Williams.

Prediction
New York 20
Houston 24
 
Is it sad that I dread rookies and terrible QB's? They shred us almost as bad as Manning does on his annual visit.
 
Look for massive nose tackle Kris Jenkins to push the pocket inside as well as linebacker blitzes in the "A" gaps to disrupt the Texans' air assault.

This part of the story really scares me. Myers can look like he's on roller skates if he's against a dominant defensive tackle. Vonta will have his hands full as the cleanup man this weekend.
 
Kris Jenkins? The same Jenkins from the Panthers that we beat two years ago? If so, then I think we won't have a problem...

No not the same Kris Jenkins, then he was unmotivated and fat. When he got traded to the Jets he was revived, he lost a bunch of weight and was motivated again.
He has been nothing short of dominant as a NYJ. He demands triple/double teams all game, if you single man him your QB will get hit. He'll toss any linemen 1 on 1 like a rag doll.....

He was getting mentions for DPOY last season until he got injured late against the Titans.
 
No not the same Kris Jenkins, then he was unmotivated and fat. When he got traded to the Jets he was revived, he lost a bunch of weight and was motivated again.
He has been nothing short of dominant as a NYJ. He demands triple/double teams all game, if you single man him your QB will get hit. He'll toss any linemen 1 on 1 like a rag doll.....

He was getting mentions for DPOY last season until he got injured late against the Titans.

um, Kris is a 3 time All-Pro and has been to 4 Pro Bowls in 7 seasons. He had a shoulder injury in 2004 and went on injured reserve and then he tore his ACL in 2005. You guys should not make stuff up around people who know the league well. You end up losing credibility.
 
No not the same Kris Jenkins, then he was unmotivated and fat. When he got traded to the Jets he was revived, he lost a bunch of weight and was motivated again.
He has been nothing short of dominant as a NYJ. He demands triple/double teams all game, if you single man him your QB will get hit. He'll toss any linemen 1 on 1 like a rag doll.....

He was getting mentions for DPOY last season until he got injured late against the Titans.

He had a couple excellent seasons in Carolina then he got lazy. He's had injuries and was especially poor his last season or two in Carolina. Last season, he played really well sometimes and would sometimes inexplicably disappear. That's what I saw from him.

As a Texan fan, I'm very worried about the guy blowing our line up all game line. However, I'm hopeful he'll sleepwalk through it.
 
um, Kris is a 3 time All-Pro and has been to 4 Pro Bowls in 7 seasons. He had a shoulder injury in 2004 and went on injured reserve and then he tore his ACL in 2005. You guys should not make stuff up around people who know the league well. You end up losing credibility.

I wasn't making stuff up? His last years with the Panthers he got very unhappy and wasn't playing like hes capable of playing. Back in the years of like 2003 he was considered the best DT in football.
When he came to the Jets he got motivated again, he hated Carolina for some reason. Loves NY. He was over 400 pounds his last years there, now weighs 360 pounds. Sounds like a lot but he looks good for 360 pounds, he moves around very well as he can pass rush and play the run at a elite level. I'm interested to see his impact this year, last year he played in a new system to him. He was at NT and was not moved around. This year hes in a 1 gap system something hes used to, also Rex wants to move him around like throwing him at DE some times, or moving him to LB on some plays.
 
He had a couple excellent seasons in Carolina then he got lazy. He's had injuries and was especially poor his last season or two in Carolina. Last season, he played really well sometimes and would sometimes inexplicably disappear. That's what I saw from him.

As a Texan fan, I'm very worried about the guy blowing our line up all game line. However, I'm hopeful he'll sleepwalk through it.

He disappeared after the Titans game last season, he injured his back or something. He said that it was because he was using new muscle groups at NT something he never did before. He loves the new defense and feels hes got another 6 years left in him. He was as good as any interior DL in football last year, for a Jets fan who had to put up with Dewayne Robertson in the middle it was a god send to have Kris Jenkins. We really got a steal with that trade. I'm hoping we get a similar steal with Lito Sheppard.
 
No not the same Kris Jenkins, then he was unmotivated and fat. When he got traded to the Jets he was revived, he lost a bunch of weight and was motivated again.
He has been nothing short of dominant as a NYJ. He demands triple/double teams all game, if you single man him your QB will get hit. He'll toss any linemen 1 on 1 like a rag doll.....

He was getting mentions for DPOY last season until he got injured late against the Titans.

um, Kris is a 3 time All-Pro and has been to 4 Pro Bowls in 7 seasons. He had a shoulder injury in 2004 and went on injured reserve and then he tore his ACL in 2005. You guys should not make stuff up around people who know the league well. You end up losing credibility.

I wasn't making stuff up? His last years with the Panthers he got very unhappy and wasn't playing like hes capable of playing. Back in the years of like 2003 he was considered the best DT in football.
When he came to the Jets he got motivated again, he hated Carolina for some reason. Loves NY. He was over 400 pounds his last years there, now weighs 360 pounds. Sounds like a lot but he looks good for 360 pounds, he moves around very well as he can pass rush and play the run at a elite level. I'm interested to see his impact this year, last year he played in a new system to him. He was at NT and was not moved around. This year hes in a 1 gap system something hes used to, also Rex wants to move him around like throwing him at DE some times, or moving him to LB on some plays.

tearing your ACL and having surgery on your shoulder and going on IR two years in a row are legit reasons Kris didn't have 6 Pro Bowls in 7 seasons instead of "only" 4. You made it sound like he wasn't much of a player till he became a Jet, and that just isn't accurate.
 
tearing your ACL and having surgery on your shoulder and going on IR two years in a row are legit reasons Kris didn't have 6 Pro Bowls in 7 seasons instead of "only" 4. You made it sound like he wasn't much of a player till he became a Jet, and that just isn't accurate.

What I said was his last years with the Panthers wasn't good, he said how he hated it there and felt like just retiring. I wasn't making it seem like he did nothing with the Panthers, I was stating that last year he wasn't the same as the time you guys played him when he was fat and out of shape and didn't care anymore. Its a fact that when he came to the Jets he lost a bunch of weight and got remotivated into the game. He wasn't playing to his capability during his final year in Carolina.
And it wasn't just injuries, he was going through some problems then. But hes happy now, got married and is focused to football again. He plays with a lot of pride, he plays for his family now.
 
The Jest have been running the 3-4 for three years. Mangini, like every other leaf from the Parcells/Belicheat tree, immediately installed the 3-4 upon his hire in 2006 and traded away guys like DE John Abraham (and later, Vilma) who didn't fit the new scheme.

Jenkins was an excellent 4-3 DT until he and the Panthers grew out of love with each other. The Jets believed he could convert to a 3-4 NT (hence the trade), but I think even they were surprised at how well he played until he got hurt late in the year. In my opinion, Jenkins had far more to do with the Jets' great start last year than their other, far-more-hyped 2008 acquisition.
 
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