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Texans random thought of the day

Of course we have to win our remaining games but the schedule above is favorable for the Texans to have home field advantage throughout the playoffs.
Of the division leaders looks like the Pats have the easiest remaining schedule as the AFC East is now playing easier than the AFC South while the Chiefs would appear to have the toughest schedule.
 
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Texans can beat any team right now. KC without Hunt is one dimensional and their defense is a joke, they allowed the Raiders to hang around Im almost positive RAC could come up with a plan to limit the passing attack even though Kelce on our MLB in pass pro scares me. Chargers would offer a coinflip scenario because they are just as balanced as the Texans and play consistent home or away that win last night was impressive. Must get NE and PITT away from their home fields. Texans can win out, they are better than anyone else they face it will come down to concentration, preparation and execution.
 
I don’t wanna be a Debbie Downer because this team is starting to look really good, BUT..... it won’t win many playoff games scoring one offensive TD and kicking 5 FGs.

But this defense is looking good.

Bright spot.... Kalikimakafairbairkaliki was money!
 
Texans can beat any team right now. KC without Hunt is one dimensional and their defense is a joke, they allowed the Raiders to hang around Im almost positive RAC could come up with a plan to limit the passing attack even though Kelce on our MLB in pass pro scares me. Chargers would offer a coinflip scenario because they are just as balanced as the Texans and play consistent home or away that win last night was impressive. Must get NE and PITT away from their home fields. Texans can win out, they are better than anyone else they face it will come down to concentration, preparation and execution.


This past Sunday the Chiefs rushed for 174 yards. Granted it was against the Raiders but as a committee that was pretty impressive. They have the Ravens this Sunday coming up, so we shall see how that unit performs against a good defense.
 
I don’t wanna be a Debbie Downer because this team is starting to look really good, BUT..... it won’t win many playoff games scoring one offensive TD and kicking 5 FGs.

But this defense is looking good.

Bright spot.... Kalikimakafairbairkaliki was money!


Some games will be like that but we have looked really good in the redzone up until that game.
 
You've got to wonder..............the Texans had 3 INTs...............but didn't have any sacks.............and only 1 QB hit.

Most of that I'd say was probably coverage related. Only rushing 3-4 guys against a top 10 offensive line lots of double teams and chips - max protect. Not sure if you played ball, and if you did if you've ever rushed the passer for consecutive plays, but thats probably the most tiring thing to do on a football field. Max effort trying to move 600 lbs of meat is hard for one snap, do that a few times and you'll be sucking wind and looking at the sidelines for help. Texans for most part rotate a fair amount trying to keep these guys fresh, and Im not sure if CLE was running much hurry up, but I think there were easily explainable reasons as to the shortcomings in sacks, but they did seem to hurry and harass Mayfield plenty. Overall the defensive scheme to invite the pass from the Rookie was smart, and forced some mistakes.
 
Most of that I'd say was probably coverage related. Only rushing 3-4 guys against a top 10 offensive line lots of double teams and chips - max protect. Not sure if you played ball, and if you did if you've ever rushed the passer for consecutive plays, but thats probably the most tiring thing to do on a football field. Max effort trying to move 600 lbs of meat is hard for one snap, do that a few times and you'll be sucking wind and looking at the sidelines for help. Texans for most part rotate a fair amount trying to keep these guys fresh, and Im not sure if CLE was running much hurry up, but I think there were easily explainable reasons as to the shortcomings in sacks, but they did seem to hurry and harass Mayfield plenty. Overall the defensive scheme to invite the pass from the Rookie was smart, and forced some mistakes.
I can see your point but our secondary still allowed Mayfield to complete 67% of his passes for almost 400 yds. The INTs helped to do him in..........a couple of those WTF passes.By the way, I did play football..........scatback/CB/returner, albeit HS............playing these positions, 3-way, I know what sucking wind is .........
 
I can see your point but our secondary still allowed Mayfield to complete 67% of his passes for almost 400 yds. The INTs helped to do him in..........a couple of those WTF passes.By the way, I did play football..........scatback/CB/returner, albeit HS............playing these positions, 3-way, I know what sucking wind is .........

Most of his work came in the 2nd half and if memory serves we were playing almost exclusively 3-4 man rush with lots of cushion. Mayfield deserves credit but it's a misleading stat line...kinda like Mariotas completion %

Let Mayfield dink and dunk himself into 4th down

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I can see your point but our secondary still allowed Mayfield to complete 67% of his passes for almost 400 yds. The INTs helped to do him in..........a couple of those WTF passes.By the way, I did play football..........scatback/CB/returner, albeit HS............playing these positions, 3-way, I know what sucking wind is .........

the final stat line is incredibly misleading in this game. At half time Mayfield barely had over 50 yards passing, with around 50% completion percentage IIRC. 2nd half became shorten the game, and don't let them back in it with stupid plays. We got conservative on both sides of the ball for many reasons
 
This past Sunday the Chiefs rushed for 174 yards. Granted it was against the Raiders but as a committee that was pretty impressive. They have the Ravens this Sunday coming up, so we shall see how that unit performs against a good defense.

They had almost 500 yards of total offense. It's not like they played ground and pound. Additionally, their QB and WR had the two longest runs of the day and Mahomes led all rushers. Their two RB's had 19 carries for 85 yards.
 
the final stat line is incredibly misleading in this game. At half time Mayfield barely had over 50 yards passing, with around 50% completion percentage IIRC. 2nd half became shorten the game, and don't let them back in it with stupid plays. We got conservative on both sides of the ball for many reasons

Being a survivor of 35-3 it gives me the heebeejeebees when my team plays like that.
 
the final stat line is incredibly misleading in this game. At half time Mayfield barely had over 50 yards passing, with around 50% completion percentage IIRC. 2nd half became shorten the game, and don't let them back in it with stupid plays. We got conservative on both sides of the ball for many reasons

So simple to understand, although I wish BOB wouldn't be so conservative. It will eventually come back to bite him in the butt.
 
So simple to understand, although I wish BOB wouldn't be so conservative. It will eventually come back to bite him in the butt.

I am also starting to think he is getting conservative with the lead to not put as much on tape. Starting to see little wrinkles here and there a little bit at a time. Also doesn't help when 2 of the 7 lineman you brought to the game go out. Plus when you are up 23-0 at the half the only realistic show of the other team coming back is you making mistakes. Think back to our first win, up 18 a Nuk fumble and a Watson INT got them back in the game. Idk hard for me to complain about it while it's working, but hopefully it doesn't carry over against teams who can make us pay for it
 
https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...row-and-we-still-dont-know-how-good-they-are/

After starting the season 0-3, the Houston Texans are riding a nine-game winning streak and writing one of the greatest comeback stories in NFL history. But there’s one question left unanswered by their streak: Are they actually any good?

Since the Super Bowl era began in 1966, 69 teams have won at least nine games in a row, with an average point differential of plus-134 across those teams’ 189 separate combinations of streaks (including overlapping ones). In the Texans’ streak, their point differential of plus-82 is tied for 11th lowest.With the 2006 San Diego Chargers.

And the quality of the opposition has been lackluster: The best team Houston has faced, as measured by Elo ratings, was Dallas at 1525. Only one of the previous streaky teams, the 2013 Chiefs, faced a weaker top team. And that Kansas City team ended up losing six of its next eight games after its 9-0 start, including a 45-44 loss to the Colts in the wild-card game.

Not only have the Texans gotten lucky with the opponents they’ve faced, they’ve arguably been very fortunate to beat them. Houston’s pregame win probability averaged across all nine games of its streak was only 47.5 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s Elo rating simulations. No other team that’s won at least nine games had a win probability under 50 percent.

The Texans might just have the most out-of-nowhere win streak in the Super Bowl era. And yet no one is expecting them to collapse. Their schedule is the gift that keeps on giving: None of the teams they’ll face in their final four regular-season games currently has a winning record.

It’s worth noting that while Houston hasn’t really had a signature win against an elite team,Sorry, Dallas. You aren’t quite there yet.

its average quality of opponent (1476 Elo rating) is on par with the average for all the teams with nine straight wins (1448).

The Texans are certainly a much improved team. They have an excellent chance to break the NFL record for most wins after starting the season 0-3 — held by the 1992 Chargers at 11 wins.The Chargers started the season 0-4.

Houston has gained 185 points in Elo during the streak; only four squads with nine-game streaks have improved more than that: the 1975 Colts, 2013 Chiefs, 2004 Steelers and 2016 Cowboys. Ultimately, however, while all of those teams made the playoffs, none of them got to the Super Bowl.

The key to the Texans’ improvement has been a dramatic transformation in offensive philosophy to protect their franchise quarterback, second-year man Deshaun Watson. In the first six weeks, Watson was hit 69 times, by far the most in football. Watson was so battered that he wasn’t able to fly with the team to Jacksonville in Week 7 because of bruised lungs caused by cracked ribs. He had to take a bus there.

Since then, head coach Bill O’Brien has transformed the entire offensive attack from one that was pass-heavy to one that grounds and pounds. Through Week 6, the Texans threw on 59 percent of their plays — and Watson was sacked on 10.3 percent of them, far above the the NFL averageof 6.8 percent. Since Watson was grounded, Houston’s rate of passing plays has dropped to 43.5 percent, though its sack rate is essentially unchanged (9.9 percent).

Defensively, the Texans win the old-fashioned way by stopping the run. They’re top five in both rushing yards allowed and average gain per opponent rush. And they’ve been aided defensively by facing a bevy of teams in their streak (Dallas, Buffalo, Jacksonville, Miami, Washington, Tennessee) that struggle to pass effectively, according to net yards per pass attempt. In Sunday’s 29-13 win against the Browns, Baker Mayfield threw for nearly 400 yards, but that tally was offset by three picks and a receiver’s goal-line fumble. The Texans, for the fifth time during their streak, were turnover-free.

Houston also has two superstar pass rushers in former No. 1 overall pick and two-time Pro Bowler Jadeveon Clowney and three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year J.J. Watt. This is the first time the Texans have managed to keep both Clowney and Watt mostly healthy over the course of a season.Clowney missed the second game of the season.

The Texans are suddenly reminiscent of a team out of another era of football — more similar to the most famous squad with a long in-season winning streak, the undefeated 1972 Dolphins, than the pass-happy clubs of today. Like Houston, those Dolphins were knocked for not beating quality teams — and only the 1999 Jaguars and 1975 Vikings had easier schedules during their nine-game streaks, according to Elo. Despite the Dolphins’ undefeated season, their Super Bowl against Washington was essentially a pick ’em. But the Dolphins held the opposing offense scoreless, showing that you can still be a champion even without facing quality opponents in the regular season. That’s a trait the Texans will also need to replicate if they want to continue winning come January.
 
They had almost 500 yards of total offense. It's not like they played ground and pound. Additionally, their QB and WR had the two longest runs of the day and Mahomes led all rushers. Their two RB's had 19 carries for 85 yards.


My point was they didn't miss a beat without Hunt.
 
That may be for that game, but keep in mind that there were only 21 RB running plays. Four RBs were utilized. Mahomes was on point all game. Out of the 40 KC points only 1 TD was scored by an RB.


I watched some of that game. My thing is they still looked the same. Dominant. No team has been able to stop this explosive offense.
 
I watched some of that game. My thing is they still looked the same. Dominant. No team has been able to stop this explosive offense.

Their next 3 games will be a test. Well maybe the 2 after the Ravens, I'm still not sold on the Ravens yet(been to inconsistent all year). But then they have a tough in division game against the Chargers, and then go on the road to Seattle who is getting hot at the right time.
 
The biggest play in this format....can the Steelers hold off the Ravens and if not can the Titans or Colts make a move to be the final Wild Card team?
The AFC West race has a big impact on the Texans chances at the #1 seed. The Texans lose a 3 way tiebreak between the Pats and the Chiefs. But, if the Chargers win the AFC West, the Texans win the 3 way tiebreak between the Chargers and the Pats. The Chargers at Chiefs game in Week 15 will be huge.

The AFC North champ is a lock for the #4 seed. Both the Steelers and Ravens schedules are tough, and both have lost too many games to move up in the seedings. I can see the Ravens taking that division now, with the Steelers ending up the #6 seed.
 
So simple to understand, although I wish BOB wouldn't be so conservative. It will eventually come back to bite him in the butt.
Is he only showing enough to win?
I hope so.
After witnessing the fireworks we saw last year with DW4, the odds are he may be keeping a few things up his sleeve - especially when you consider he has had another year to dream up stuff he can do with him.
 
Is Justin Reid in line for DROTY?
Who else is in the running?
If he keeps performing like he is, he must be considered.

I think he's in the conversation, but Derwin James of the Chargers may be the front runner at this point
 
Is Justin Reid in line for DROTY?
Who else is in the running?
If he keeps performing like he is, he must be considered.
There are several guys that should be up for the award.

Darius Leonard - Colts
Leighton Vander Esch - Cowboys
Roquan Smith - Bears
Derwin James - Chargers
Bradley Chubb - Broncos

But Reid has to be right up there, as well. Great defensive crop of rookies.
 
There are several guys that should be up for the award.

Darius Leonard - Colts
Leighton Vander Esch - Cowboys
Roquan Smith - Bears
Derwin James - Chargers
Bradley Chubb - Broncos

But Reid has to be right up there, as well. Great defensive crop of rookies.
Yeah Vander Esch is certainly impressive - Cowboys got a good one there.
Reid is the lowest one taken in the draft in that group?
 
Of the division leaders looks like the Pats have the easiest remaining schedule as the AFC East is now playing easier than the AFC South while the Chiefs would appear to have the toughest schedule.

I disagree. The Pats have the Steelers yet and that could be a loss for them. I think the Texans have the easiest. This weeks game is the hardest. Winning out is a possibility.
 
So simple to understand, although I wish BOB wouldn't be so conservative. It will eventually come back to bite him in the butt.

If not this Sunday, then maybe next Sunday, or the Sunday after but one thing is assured......history has proven that HC's who play the game of football not to lose, will eventually succumb to this philosophy.
 
i've spent the last several weeks calling every upcoming next game a 'trap game' ...

i can't help but feel the same way again.
 
https://twitter.com/emcphil/status/1070039878912626690

Evan McPhillips‏@emcphil
#Texans rookie Justin Reid continued his sensational season vs CLE, earning his second elite @PFF grade this season (90.7) His stats and rank among safeties in Week 13: -90.7 overall (2nd) -89.6 coverage grade (3rd) -2 PBUs (1st) -Forced one impressive touchdown-saving fumble
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11:39 AM - 4 Dec 2018



Reid doesnt seem to be getting much pub when it comes to his play this year with some people not even listing him in top 10 of defensive rookies .. dang shame he's been balling and should get some recognition.
 
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