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Chances the Texans get the #1 seed

Lurvinator11

Lurvinator11

Veteran
I almost made this thread last week, however I didn't want to jinx the team and then everyone blame me for a historic collapse.

Now that they have clinched a spot, we can discuss this.

I've been playing on the old playoff machine over on ESPN.com

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine (For those who want to make their own scenario)

Now, we can lose to NE next week, and still get the #1 seed, as long as we beat Indy twice and the Vikings. That would put our record at 14-2.

Of course, if we beat NE next week, and then beat Indy the week after, we will clinch the #1 seed. Believe it or not, we could still go in as a WC team. Since Indy just won their game, if we were to beat NE and then lose our last three games, two of which are against Indy, we would finish with a record of 12-4. Indy would not only have the same record, but they would also have the tie-breaker over us.

If we beat NE and Minnesota, then we will clinch.

We can lose to NE, but still clinch a bye if we beat Indy once and meat Minnesota.

So for all of those thinking we would rest our players in the last week, doesn't look like that. Depending on how this Patriots game turns out, that last game would be very important for us.

What do y'all think our chances for the #1 seed are?

Indy is pesky. Minnesota could play a trap. and New England is always good this time of year.

These last 4 games could either put us in the drivers seat, or make us road warriors for the playoffs.
 
We could also end up with the 4th seed if we drop games to NE and a couple of those last 2 and end up playing...


Indy in the Wildcard round. We could play them 3 out of 4 weeks.

There really needs to be a better person(computer) in charge of scheduling. Division rivals shouldn't be playing each other twice in the final three weeks. At least one game should be earlier in the season.

I think we end up with the 1st. I think we win the first 2 over Min and Ind and then lose to Ind on the road after we've already clinched it.
 
TexanBacker93 said:
We could also end up with the 4th seed if we drop games to NE and a couple of those last 2 and end up playing...


Indy in the Wildcard round. We could play them 3 out of 4 weeks.

There really needs to be a better person(computer) in charge of scheduling. Division rivals shouldn't be playing each other twice in the final three weeks. At least one game should be earlier in the season.

I think we end up with the 1st. I think we win the first 2 over Min and Ind and then lose to Ind on the road after we've already clinched it.
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In order for us to clinch under that scenario we would need to beat NE.

The best we can do with beating Indy and Minny, is getting a bye.
 
The Colts are the team I want to avoid most right now and they're the one that's filling up half of our remaining schedule. Anyone who thinks that those Colts games will be easy is fooling themselves. They're playing way high right now and they are believers.

This is going to be the roughest 4 game stretch of our season right here and it's for all the marbles as far as the post-season positioning is concerned.
 
I think Denver beats Baltimore, and SF beats New England, so we should be sitting pretty even if we go 2-2 down the stretch.
 
Hervoyel said:
The Colts are the team I want to avoid most right now and they're the one that's filling up half of our remaining schedule. Anyone who thinks that those Colts games will be easy is fooling themselves. They're playing way high right now and they are believers.

This is going to be the roughest 4 game stretch of our season right here and it's for all the marbles as far as the post-season positioning is concerned.
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Dead right.
 
Allstar said:
I think Denver beats Baltimore, and SF beats New England, so we should be sitting pretty even if we go 2-2 down the stretch.
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That's the scenario I think happens. Even if we lose to NE if they lose the next week to SF and Den beats Baltimore we would clinch the #1 seed with wins over Min and Ind.

The best NE could do would be 12-4 (with that loss to SF or us).

Baltimore could be 13-3 (if they lose to Den), but even if we lose to NE and the last game to Ind we have the tiebreaker.

Denver could finish 13-3 if they win out and we still have to lose 3 more times over the last 4 for them to get a seed above us.

The best thing to do is beat NE and everything is moot. We'd be up 2 over Baltimore with 3 to play. Up 4 on NE and Den with 3 to play. We basically clinch the #1 with a win against NE.
 
I can't believe Indy has done so well this year, before the season started I thought we would breeze through them but not anymore. Our last 4 games are all tough opponents
 
Hervoyel said:
The Colts are the team I want to avoid most right now and they're the one that's filling up half of our remaining schedule. Anyone who thinks that those Colts games will be easy is fooling themselves. They're playing way high right now and they are believers.

This is going to be the roughest 4 game stretch of our season right here and it's for all the marbles as far as the post-season positioning is concerned.
Click to expand...

I don't think they'll be easy by any stretch. That's why I don't want it to come down to week 17 to decide things.
 
pirbroke said:
I can't believe Indy has done so well this year, before the season started I thought we would breeze through them but not anymore. Our last 4 games are all tough opponents
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Luck is good, but this season makes me think that some point in the 2011 season, the Colts decided to cash it in and coast for draft position.
 
pirbroke said:
I can't believe Indy has done so well this year, before the season started I thought we would breeze through them but not anymore. Our last 4 games are all tough opponents
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when your coach has cancer,,and the cheerleaders are shaving there head they are playing for more then just playoffs. they are playing with passion i dont beleive colts will go all the way under a rookie qb but future looks promising.
 
Hervoyel said:
The Colts are the team I want to avoid most right now and they're the one that's filling up half of our remaining schedule. Anyone who thinks that those Colts games will be easy is fooling themselves. They're playing way high right now and they are believers.

This is going to be the roughest 4 game stretch of our season right here and it's for all the marbles as far as the post-season positioning is concerned.
Click to expand...

I have watched the colts play and i may have a different opinion here than most. I dont think they are very good and i dont think they match up very well with us. I think we beat them at home and i think that we will still be fighting for the #1 seed when we play them for the final game so i dont think they will be playing our back-ups. I see us going 3-1 in these last 4 games and knocking the colts out of the wild card.
 
EllisUnit said:
I have watched the colts play and i may have a different opinion here than most. I dont think they are very good and i dont think they match up very well with us. I think we beat them at home and i think that we will still be fighting for the #1 seed when we play them for the final game so i dont think they will be playing our back-ups. I see us going 3-1 in these last 4 games and knocking the colts out of the wild card.
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After today they might have a wild card spot almost locked down. It depends on how Cin and Pit do today, but since they still play each other and there aren't a lot of viable options in the AFC still sniffing the playoffs.
 
If we can get a win next week, it should be easy crusin from there!

Just get a win over Minnesota, and we will be good.

These next 4 games will tell us what kind of team we have.
 
Ho hum about it. Seems like the Texans play better overall on the road. Especially in tough games.
 
stingray said:
Ho hum about it. Seems like the Texans play better overall on the road. Especially in tough games.
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We will see how that goes for us next week.

This season has been going so well, it is hard to believe.

What if we went 15-1?

I wouldn't believe it.
 
ziggy29 said:
Luck is good, but this season makes me think that some point in the 2011 season, the Colts decided to cash it in and coast for draft position.
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Some people are saying Babin was cut because he quit.

I don't know if the Colts organization was in on it, but we're talking about keeping 50 some guys on page for 17 greuling weeks.


I think there was a point in the season where a few guys said F@$-it, we're not going to win. Then the next week it was a couple of other guys. The week after another bunch.

That's why they had to get rid of the coaching staff, he couldn't keep that under control.
 
I just want the #1 seed.

All I want, so we can get to the super bowl.

I don't want to play in Foxboro for the AFC Championship.
 
This may be the first time (other than against Bud's Duds) that I'm glad Pittsburgh won....







L25jV.gif
 
TexansFanatic said:
Ha! I'm sure in your excitement, you got mixed up. Steelers win. Texans now have a 2 game lead for AFC title with 4 games to go.

Stakes getting even higher with such success.
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Actually we have a 3 game lead over Denver and Baltimore. They both have to have a better record than us because of the head to head factor.

With the one exception of a 3 or 4 way tie at 13-3 which if we've lost to New England would mean we would go to the next tie-breaker.
 
TexanBacker93 said:
Actually we have a 3 game lead over Denver and Baltimore. They both have to have a better record than us because of the head to head factor.

With the one exception of a 3 or 4 way tie at 13-3 which if we've lost to New England would mean we would go to the next tie-breaker.
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So basically we beat NE and have clinched the AFC 3 weeks before the season ends, right?
 
LikeMike said:
So basically we beat NE and have clinched the AFC 3 weeks before the season ends, right?
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No, if we lost out after that game and any of the others won out then they would leap frog us by virtue of overall record

We need them to lose one more each OR, beat Pat and win one more
 
LikeMike said:
So basically we beat NE and have clinched the AFC 3 weeks before the season ends, right?
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Well, if we beat New England the best they could do would be 12-4 so even if we lost out we'd have beaten them so we own the tie-breaker.

Denver and Baltimore play each other in 2 weeks so one of those teams will have another loss and could at best be 12-4 with a loss to us so we own the tie-breaker on that team.

If the other team out of Denver or Baltimore wins out and we lose our last 3 after beating New England than we would end up with the 2nd seed.

We still would need 1 more win.
 
amazing80 said:
No, if we lost out after that game and any of the others won out then they would leap frog us by virtue of overall record

We need them to lose one more each OR, beat Pat and win one more
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Yeah, if we win our next 2 we'll clinch because of head to head and conference record.
 
My prediction:

New England has Houston, San Fran, @ Jacksonville, Miami. They win out and go 13-3.

Denver has @ Oakland, @ Baltimore, Cleveland Kansas City. They lose at Baltimore and go 12-4.

Baltimore has @ Washington, Denver, New York Giants, @ Cincincinti. They should win out and be 13-3.

Houston loses @ New England then wins out going 14-2 and gets home field advantage.
 
Thorn said:
My prediction:

New England has Houston, San Fran, @ Jacksonville, Miami. They win out and go 13-3.

Denver has @ Oakland, @ Baltimore, Cleveland Kansas City. They lose at Baltimore and go 12-4.

Baltimore has @ Washington, Denver, New York Giants, @ Cincincinti. They should win out and be 13-3.

Houston loses @ New England then wins out going 14-2 and gets home field advantage.
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Have you seen Baltimore lately?
 
Since Baltimore lost, that changes things and makes things easier for us to at least get a bye.

Still want the #1 seed though. This is going to be the longest week ever.....
 
I don't know why, but I don't feel great going in with a record of 14-2.

I just feel like we would be the team to lose in the playoffs.

This season is just getting to the point,, where you don't know if this is real. I simply cannot believe what this team has done.

Getting the Lombardi would be the greatest. I would cry tears of joy. Joy I tell ya!
 
Lurvinator11 said:
I don't know why, but I don't feel great going in with a record of 14-2.

I just feel like we would be the team to lose in the playoffs.

This season is just getting to the point,, where you don't know if this is real. I simply cannot believe what this team has done.

Getting the Lombardi would be the greatest. I would cry tears of joy. Joy I tell ya!
Click to expand...

I've been pinching myself since we rolled over Baltimore.
 
Lurvinator11 said:
I don't know why, but I don't feel great going in with a record of 14-2.

I just feel like we would be the team to lose in the playoffs.

This season is just getting to the point,, where you don't know if this is real. I simply cannot believe what this team has done.

Getting the Lombardi would be the greatest. I would cry tears of joy. Joy I tell ya!
Click to expand...

And you don't even suffer from the Oiler days knowing going in that the other shoe would certainly drop. :winky:
 
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