NFL Playoff Picture

[brakos82]

AFC Current standings: (Controls #1) (Controls 1st Round Bye) (Controls Division) (Controls Wild Card)

Ravens (7-3) - #1 seed - next week vs SF
Texans (7-3) - #2 seed - next week at JAX
Patriots (6-3) - #3 seed - tonight vs KC - next week at PHI
Raiders (6-4) - #4 seed - next week vs CHI

Wild Card Race:

Steelers (7-3) - even with BAL - next week at KC
Bengals (6-4) - 1GB from BAL - next week vs CLE
Broncos (5-5) - 1GB from OAK - next week at SD
Jets (5-5) - 1.5GB from NE - next week vs BUF
Titans (5-5) - 2GB from HOU - next week vs TB
Bills (5-5) - 1.5GB from NE - next week at NYJ
Chiefs (4-5) - 1.5GB from OAK - tonight at NE - next week vs PIT


NFC Current Standings: (Controls #1) (Controls 1st Round Bye) (Controls Division) (Controls Wild Card)

Packers (10-0) - #1 seed - next week at DET - can clinch playoff spot next week with win, NYG or DAL loss
49ers (9-1) - #2 seed - next week at BAL - can clinch division with win and SEA loss
Saints (7-3) - #3 seed - next week vs NYG
Cowboys (6-4) - #4 seed - next week vs MIA

Wild Card Race:

Bears (7-3) - 3GB from GB - next week at OAK
Lions (7-3) - 3GB from GB - next week vs GB
Falcons (6-4) - 1GB from NO - next week vs MIN
Giants (6-4) - even with DAL - next week at NO

[Playoffs]

So easy even I can understand it.

Must spread Rep.

[MojoMan]

Except now after last night's game the Patriots are the #1 seed, The Ravens #2 and the Texans #3.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/standings/_/type/playoffs

[PsychoLove]

Nice work!

[badboy]

Appreciate the work Brakos. We know it is fluid and will change by game but it does give a snapshot. If you choose to do the work after each future game, I for one would definitely review it.
Steve

[Dutchrudder]

It's interesting how both North divisions control 3 playoff spots in each conference. They still have quite a few divisional games left to play.

[Norg]

badda BOOM

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

[HJam72]

Originally Posted by Norg

badda BOOM

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Very impressive effort, Norg.

[paycheck71]

Originally Posted by Norg

badda BOOM

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

I've entered my picks for all the remaining games winners/losers, and I'm having a hard time coming up with a realistic scenario where the Texans have a seed above 3. I'll still take it.

[HJam72]

If we beat either Atlanta or Cincinatti, we can get #2. Problem is we gotta do it without Schaub. If we can't, we're not going anywhere in the playoffs anyway.

[paycheck71]

Originally Posted by HJam72

If we beat either Atlanta or Cincinatti, we can get #2. Problem is we gotta do it without Schaub. If we can't, we're not going anywhere in the playoffs anyway.

In my scenario we beat ATL and lose @CIN, finish 12-4 (which I think is the best case scenario for the Texans), and are in a 4 way tie with NE, PIT, and BAL. NE and BAL would get #1 and #2 seeds then. We need BAL to stumble a couple of times, starting with this Thursday, but I have a feeling they'll win the "Harbowl"

[thunderkyss]

Originally Posted by Dutchrudder

It's interesting how both North divisions control 3 playoff spots in each conference. They still have quite a few divisional games left to play.

AFC North Plays the AFC South & the NFC West...... two of the weakest divisions in the league this year.

NFC North plays the NFC South & the AFC West.... a total of 3 teams currently over .500, 5 teams at or below .500

[ObsiWan]

Originally Posted by brakos82

AFC Current standings: (Controls #1) (Controls 1st Round Bye) (Controls Division) (Controls Wild Card)

Ravens (7-3) - #1 seed - next week vs SF
Texans (7-3) - #2 seed - next week at JAX
Patriots (7-3) - #3 seed - next week at PHI
Raiders (6-4) - #4 seed - next week vs CHI

Wild Card Race:

Steelers (7-3) - even with BAL - next week at KC
Bengals (6-4) - 1GB from BAL - next week vs CLE
Broncos (5-5) - 1GB from OAK - next week at SD
Jets (5-5) - 1.5GB from NE - next week vs BUF
Titans (5-5) - 2GB from HOU - next week vs TB
Bills (5-5) - 1.5GB from NE - next week at NYJ
Chiefs (4-5) - 1.5GB from OAK - tonight at NE - next week vs PIT


NFC Current Standings: (Controls #1) (Controls 1st Round Bye) (Controls Division) (Controls Wild Card)

Packers (10-0) - #1 seed - next week at DET - can clinch playoff spot next week with win, NYG or DAL loss
49ers (9-1) - #2 seed - next week at BAL - can clinch division with win and SEA loss
Saints (7-3) - #3 seed - next week vs NYG
Cowboys (6-4) - #4 seed - next week vs MIA

Wild Card Race:

Bears (7-3) - 3GB from GB - next week at OAK
Lions (7-3) - 3GB from GB - next week vs GB
Falcons (6-4) - 1GB from NO - next week vs MIN
Giants (6-4) - even with DAL - next week at NO

Nice work.
repped.
You gonna keep this up to date?

[brakos82]

For whatever reason I can't edit my original post, so I'll just add on as we go. Also tweaked the colors because colorblind me can't see the difference between the old red and green.

AFC Current standings: (Controls #1) (Controls 1st Round Bye) (Controls Division) (Controls Wild Card)

Patriots (7-3) - #1 seed - next week at PHI
Ravens (7-3) - #2 seed - next week vs SF
Texans (7-3) - #3 seed - next week at JAX
Raiders (6-4) - #4 seed - next week vs CHI

Wild Card Race:

Steelers (7-3) - even with BAL - next week at KC
Bengals (6-4) - 1GB from BAL - next week vs CLE
Broncos (5-5) - 1GB from OAK - next week at SD
Jets (5-5) - 2GB from NE - next week vs BUF
Titans (5-5) - 2GB from HOU - next week vs TB
Bills (5-5) - 2GB from NE - next week at NYJ

NFC remains same as last post.

[The Pencil Neck]

So, in summary, we need the Texans to keep winning and we need the Patriots and Ravens to lose at least one.... and then we'll be the #1 seed.

[brakos82]

Originally Posted by The Pencil Neck

So, in summary, we need the Texans to keep winning and we need the Patriots and Ravens to lose at least one.... and then we'll be the #1 seed.

Pretty much.

[HJam72]

Originally Posted by The Pencil Neck

So, in summary, we need the Texans to keep winning and we need the Patriots and Ravens to lose at least one.... and then we'll be the #1 seed.

I believe I had the Ravens losing one on the road and that's why I had us as a possible 2.

[MistaRed]

Originally Posted by HJam72

I believe I had the Ravens losing one on the road and that's why I had us as a possible 2.

Ravens have 2 games I could see them losing(49ers and @Bengals in Week 17)
The Pats could very well lose to the Eagles this week.

Texans just have to take care of business.

[brakos82]

Not much change with the Turkey day games, other than DET falling back a step in the wild-card hunt. SF still has control of #2 after loss. Full post after Sunday's games.

[brakos82]

What to watch Sunday for the Texans:

If Houston wins:
New England loss to Philadelphia would give Houston control of #2 seed.
Raiders loss to Chicago would improve odds of higher playoff seed.
Titans loss to Tampa would all but eliminate them from the division title race.

With a Houston loss, they would only control the #4 seed.

- If Houston wins out (13-3), they have a 68% chance of taking the #1 seed, and are almost guaranteed (98%) a first-round bye.
- If Houston loses only 1 more game (12-4), they have a 1 in 4 change to get the #1 seed, and a 3 in 4 chance at a first-round bye.
- An 11-5 record will only give Houston a 1 in 3 chance of a first-round bye.