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Old 04-12-2008   #1
keyser
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Default Who's expected to be availale at 18

(edited to add one more Mock)
I do this just to help myself keep track of things, but figured others might find it interesting. I was interested in figuring out who is certainly gone, likely gone, etc. by pick 18. So, I looked at 6 mock drafts all from April 10 or 11 (Rang and Reuter from nfldraftscout.com, Lance Z. from the Chronicle, nfldraftcoundown.com, and Don Banks from SI, Gosselin from the DMN).

All 6 mocks agreed that the following 13 players would be taken in the first 17 picks:
Jake Long
Glenn Dorsey
Chris Long
Matt Ryan
Vernon Gholston
Darren McFadden
Sedrick Ellis
Leodis McKelvin
Ryan Clady
Derrick Harvey
Devin Thomas
Branden Albert
Rashard Mendenhall

That leaves 4 others who will be gone before the Texans pick. Based on those mocks, the ones who might be gone are:
Keith Rivers (gone in 5 of the 6, and all five had him in top 10)
Jeff Otah (gone in 5 of the 6)
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (gone in 4 of the 6)
Chris Williams (gone in 3 of the 6)
Philip Merling (gone in 2 of the 6)
Jonathan Stewart (gone in 2 of the 6)
Mike Jenkins (gone in 1 of the 6)
Jerod Mayo (gone in 1 of the 6)
Dan Connor (gone in 1 of the 6)

So, Rivers and Otah are likely gone. Unfortunately, DRC and Williams are the next most likely - if either slips a bit, I think they'd be prime candidates for the Texans to consider. If they're both gone, I'd expect the Texans would be trying to decide between Jenkins and Stewart.

Last edited by keyser; 04-12-2008 at 01:54 PM.
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Old 04-12-2008   #2
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Default Re: Who's expected to be availale at 18

you could do a lot worse than having to pick between Jenkins and Stewart at 18.
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Old 04-12-2008   #3
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Default Re: Who's expected to be availale at 18

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Originally Posted by kastofsna View Post
you could do a lot worse than having to pick between Jenkins and Stewart at 18.
your absoultly correct sir, as a matter of fact I expect Jonathan Stewart to have a bigger impact than say someone taken #2 overall back in 05
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Old 04-12-2008   #4
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Default Re: Who's expected to be availale at 18

Quote:
Originally Posted by keyser View Post
I do this just to help myself keep track of things, but figured others might find it interesting. I was interested in figuring out who is certainly gone, likely gone, etc. by pick 18. So, I looked at 5 mock drafts all from April 10 or 11 (Rang and Reuter from nfldraftscout.com, Lance Z. from the Chronicle, nfldraftcoundown.com, and Don Banks from SI).

All 5 mocks agreed that the following 13 players would be taken in the first 17 picks:
Jake Long
Glenn Dorsey
Chris Long
Vernon Gholston
Matt Ryan
Darren McFadden
Sedrick Ellis
Leodis McKelvin
Derrick Harvey
Ryan Clady
Devin Thomas
Branden Albert
Rashard Mendenhall

That leaves 4 others who will be gone before the Texans pick. Based on those mocks, the ones who might be gone are:
Keith Rivers (gone in 4 of the 5, and all four had him in top 10)
Jeff Otah (gone in 4 of the 5)
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (gone in 3 of the 5)
Chris Williams (gone in 3 of the 5)
Philip Merling (gone in 2 of the 5)
Mike Jenkins (gone in 1 of the 5)
Jonathan Stewart (gone in 1 of the 5)
Jerod Mayo (gone in 1 of the 5)
Dan Connor (gone in 1 of the 5)

So, Rivers and Otah are likely gone. Unfortunately, DRC and Williams are the next most likely - if either slips a bit, I think they'd be prime candidates for the Texans to consider. If they're both gone, I'd expect the Texans would be trying to decide between Jenkins and Stewart.
K - Nice work, but remember there are always some guys that the amatuers have going in the 1st that will go in the rds 2-3 and vice versa. I'm really hoping that one of the Lts (Williams or Clady) fall to us.
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Old 04-12-2008   #5
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Default Re: Who's expected to be availale at 18

LZ thinks that player who falls into the Texans lap is DRC & he very possibly could based on his medical condition (one Kidney) light frame, small school background compounded by lack of expereince. That should help Jenkins for a team addressing cb, looks like Stewart is moving back up the boards & one of those tackles should still be there, could be Williams
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