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Old 10-13-2004   #1
Vinny
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Arrow Aikman Efficiency Rating

Here is an efficiency rating that was devised by Troy Aikman. Pretty interesting. The Texans are 13th in the NFL in terms of offense and dead last on the defensive side of the ball. Rankings at Foxsports.com

Aikman's letter to the competition committee
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The Aikman Efficiency Ratings measure offensive and defensive performance using a combination of seven key statistics identified by Troy Aikman, and then measured against league norms (and extremes) established over the last 10 years. An offense or defense performing exactly at league norms in all categories will achieve a score of 75.

It will take a truly exceptional unit to score more than 90 during an entire season on either the offensive or defensive scale. In 2003, AER scores ranged on offense from 93.95 (Kansas City) to 63.55 (New York Giants) and on defense from 86.87 (New England) to 62.60 (San Diego).

The seven categories measured are:

# Adjusted Points (20 percent): Total Points Scored or Allowed minus Points on Returns and Safeties.
# Turnovers (20 percent).
# Red Zone Efficiency (20 percent): Measured by Percent of Possible Points (figured by taking the number of Red Zone Chances times 7, then dividing it by the number of Points Actually Scored (defined as TDs times 7 plus FGs times 3).
# Yards Per Play: Divided into Yards Per Rush (10 percent of total) and Yards Per Pass Play (10 percent of total). Yards Per Pass Play includes yards on plays involving sacks.
# First Down Achievement: Divided into Total First Downs (10 percent of total) and 3rd Down Conversion Percentage (10 percent of total).
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Old 10-13-2004   #2
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Looking at that, and if it is to be believed as a good model, it shows why we were beat by SD and the Vikes. They have shown to be signifigantly more efficiant than we are. However, not sure how the turn over thing inters into the stat side of things. Certainly didn't help us in the first two games.
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Old 10-13-2004   #3
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I hate Aikman.
Hey edo! I'll be staying in Ft. Collins for the Broncos game! Is the Hunt Club still there?-lol!
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Old 11-11-2004   #4
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Default Aikman Efficiency Ratings .....

Over at NFL.com has the Colts and Texans defenses ranked 24 and 25. I like the way he rates each aspect of the D to come up with a ranking rather than focus on total yards. I believe it gives a better understanding of how good, or bad, a team is. Although, neither one of these rankings is "good" they seem to be pretty evenly matched D to D. Here's a link http://www.nfl.com/news/story/7871527

With the Packers, Titans, Cheifs and Vikings D all ranked in the middle 20's I can see the Colts putting up 30+ this week. Then, when I look at our common opponents, The Colts have consistantly outscored the Texans against each and every one. Below I have listed our common opponents followed by the Colts score, then the Texans score:

Jaguars 24 - 20
Titans 31 - 20
Chiefs 35 - 24
Vikings 31 - 28
Oakland 35 - 30

The question for you is: Can the Texans score more than 30?

What does any of this mean? I don't know, just something to chew on. Hope some of you can make it to the game.

Richard

Last edited by Twelfth Man; 11-11-2004 at 07:37 AM.
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Old 11-11-2004   #5
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Well that was a good post, the texans are not really a high scoring offense, but when its a must do situation they have seemed to pull through for us this year ! This game will be won by whoevers D can stop the other team once our twice !
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Old 11-11-2004   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Twelfth Man
Jaguars 24 - 20
Titans 31 - 20
Chiefs 35 - 24
Vikings 31 - 28
Oakland 35 - 30

The question for you is: Can the Texans score more than 30?

What does any of this mean? I don't know, just something to chew on. Hope some of you can make it to the game.

Richard
Well that also shows me that if our defense plays like it can, The Colts can be stopped and we can win this game. I would say that all of those teams have a worse defense than ours except for Jville and Jville pulled out a win in Indy. We just have to get after it defensively and not turn the ball over.
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Old 11-11-2004   #7
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And heres how much the Colts/Texans defense gave up against those teams.

Jaguars 17/27 - 6
Titans 17 - 10
Chiefs 45 - 21
Vikings 28 - 34 (OT)
Oakland 14 - 17
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Old 11-11-2004   #8
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Most importantly, what was each team's record against those teams?

Indy 4-2
Houston 4-1

Pretty even if you ask me.
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