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Old 09-23-2004   #1
Mistril48
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Default David Carr is the best in the NFL ...

After week 2, David Carr is the best in the NFL ... in average yards / passing attempt at 9.19 yards. It makes you wonder why people are complaining about the Texans getting the ball down the field. Carr also has the 2nd highest completion % in the AFC and the 4th highest overall quarterback ranking in the AFC. For those who prefer to focus on the negative, Carr has 3 interceptions, the same as Brady, Testaverde and Delhomme.

In the AFC, the Texan are ranked 5th in total offense, 6th in total defense and are 1 of only 2 teams to be ranked in the top 6 (six AFC teams go to the playoffs) in both offense and defense (the Broncos are the other).

Maybe there is reason to believe that the Texans can win some games, once they reduce turnovers, penalties and special teams breakdowns.

The seven 0-2 teams have the following schedule. Who, other that the Bills, will still be looking for their first win after week 3?

Buffalo (0-2) bye

San Francisco (0-2) @ Seattle (2-0)
Arizona (0-2) @ Atlanta (2-0)
Tampa (0-2) @Oakland (1-1)
Houston (0-2) @ Kansas City (0-2)

Miami (0-2) host Pittsburgh (1-1)
Kansas City (0-2) host Houston (0-2)

My guess is the 49ers, Cards, Bucs, Chiefs and Phins
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Old 09-23-2004   #2
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It makes you wonder why people are complaining about the Texans getting the ball down the field.
The one thing I complain about is the offense stalling out near the red zone or turning the ball over near the red zone. Turnovers are the one reason IMO that we are 0-2 instead of 2-0, which we should be. David Carr and the offense look better this year than ever. If we can cut down on turnovers and penalties, we'll be alright.
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Old 09-23-2004   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mistril48
After week 2, David Carr is the best in the NFL ... in average yards / passing attempt at 9.19 yards. It makes you wonder why people are complaining about the Texans getting the ball down the field. Carr also has the 2nd highest completion % in the AFC and the 4th highest overall quarterback ranking in the AFC. For those who prefer to focus on the negative, Carr has 3 interceptions, the same as Brady, Testaverde and Delhomme.

In the AFC, the Texan are ranked 5th in total offense, 6th in total defense and are 1 of only 2 teams to be ranked in the top 6 (six AFC teams go to the playoffs) in both offense and defense (the Broncos are the other).

Maybe there is reason to believe that the Texans can win some games, once they reduce turnovers, penalties and special teams breakdowns.

The seven 0-2 teams have the following schedule. Who, other that the Bills, will still be looking for their first win after week 3?

Buffalo (0-2) bye

San Francisco (0-2) @ Seattle (2-0)
Arizona (0-2) @ Atlanta (2-0)
Tampa (0-2) @Oakland (1-1)
Houston (0-2) @ Kansas City (0-2)

Miami (0-2) host Pittsburgh (1-1)
Kansas City (0-2) host Houston (0-2)

My guess is the 49ers, Cards, Bucs, Chiefs and Phins
I guess this is a prime example of what Mr. Lombardi meant!
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Old 09-23-2004   #4
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Originally Posted by Bill's/TexanFan
I guess this is a prime example of what Mr. Lombardi meant!
I'm sure you're right Bill's/Texan Fan, but I couldn't find the 'words of wisdom from Bill's/Texan Fan' Tab at the NFL.com site, so I just went to the stats tab.
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Old 09-23-2004   #5
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also, of the 3 interceptions carr has thrown, 1 was not is fault, that ball was up in the air for 10 minutes, another was at the end of a half, and the last one was the only one that hurt. carr has been steady, and without the turnovers or the defense causing more turnovers, we'd be 2-0. unfortunately turnovers are the biggest killers of teams besides just having a lousy team. IMO, i'd like to see carr throw more downfield. i like the 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 RB set myself. teams can't put 8 men in the box, when we run that set, and if they do we can easily throw the ball and get good yardage. sometimes i wonder where chris palmer's head is.
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Old 09-23-2004   #6
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Originally Posted by Mistril48
After week 2,. . .Carr also has the 2nd highest completion % in the AFC. . .
That will happen when you have 11 check downs a game...
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Old 09-23-2004   #7
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my biggest problem about the lions game was, why weren't we throwing the ball more. the lions secondary is horrible and the ground game wasn't exactly cutting it. note to palmer and capers, throw the damn ball.
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Old 09-23-2004   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atxcoolguy
i like the 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 RB set myself. teams can't put 8 men in the box, when we run that set, and if they do we can easily throw the ball and get good yardage. sometimes i wonder where chris palmer's head is.
Well Armstrong was in for 30 plays in Detroit--maybe Palmer's head believes in 3 WR sets, but those who don't want to see anything but running plays don't notice it.
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Old 09-23-2004   #9
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Originally Posted by 3rd Coast Playa
we have something in common. we have pretty much the same mindset. do you ever wonder what dom is writing down on the sidelines? i think they are love letters to women in japan. JMO
Gotta love internet BS theories such as--DD is fumbling (on the 11th play of the game in the first game of the season) because they are using him too much or Capers doesn't know what he is doing because he is taking notes (translated to he is studying what is going on).

Jeez, torn between whether I want the Texans to win just because I believe in them or just to make it stop.
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Old 09-23-2004   #10
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Speaking of Carr's completion percentage:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fiddy
That will happen when you have 11 check downs a game...
Some of us are giving Carr's recent performances a little too much credit, while others are going way overboard the other way. I don't think he's really proven anything yet (this year compared to last), but he shows signs that he might if he were more well protected. I can't believe that Carr is ever going to the line looking for a dump off to DD. That's just not what QB's want, but he's apparently being pressured into it. Every time Carr dumps to DD, there's another pass play that was a chance at hitting the deeper wide-outs. I think some people actually don't realize that. The staff isn't calling for Carr to dump to DD. It's just who he has time to hit (or thinks he does). 5 sacks and I don't know how many pressures is not gonna work.

I would not say that Carr's interceptions so far are a problem. He's getting pressured and some are excusable anyway. Besides, interceptions are going to happen and some of them are almost equal to a punt (if it's a long one on 3rd down). DDs fumbles are much much worse. I can name at least 3 things that are worse than Carr's interceptions: DDs FUMBLES (75% of the problem), no pass rush, and not enough protection. You could possible throw in that kickoff return and a rookie corner also, before harping on Carr's picks, but some have already given up on him. We can't fire and trade everybody.


Having said that, he is NOT the best QB in the NFL, YET. There are 2 of them in our own division that are better at the present time.

Last edited by HJam72; 09-23-2004 at 11:23 PM.
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Old 09-24-2004   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HJam72
I can name at least 3 things that are worse than Carr's interceptions: DDs FUMBLES (75% of the problem), no pass rush, and not enough protection. You could possible throw in that kickoff return and a rookie corner also, before harping on Carr's picks, but some have already given up on him. We can't fire and trade everybody.
You nailed it.

I just watched the highlights of the Chiefs/Panthers game again. To a degree the Chiefs looked bad because they were being pressured more than Houston's defense will do to them. I can't foresee the Texans pass rush (is there such a thing right now?) bringing it like Carolina did--not even close. Trent Green WILL have a better day than he did last week (1 pick and 1 fumble, 3 sacks, 50% completions).

Does CARR need to have a better game than last week? If DD's still the Crisco Kid and lets the ball squirt into KC's waiting arms, then it may not matter. STATISTICALLY, he's fine, but he needs to spread the ball more evenly among his WRs/TEs and not constantly resort to DD. And unless he gets the time to throw the ball, I'm sure he'll go back to the RB checkdown 8-10 times again.
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Old 09-24-2004   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TexanExile
Trent Green WILL have a better day than he did last week (1 pick and 1 fumble, 3 sacks, 50% completions).

Does CARR need to have a better game than last week? .
Yes he does cause Green is far more experienced than Harrington is and if Harrington made things happen...you bet Green will.....especially being @ home! Not too good looks like.........we need to get a pass rush going or else this guy is going to pick our D apart!
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Old 09-24-2004   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fiddy
That will happen when you have 11 check downs a game...
Stop complaining about that! It shows that he's going through progressions and making good decisions. Davis averaged 8.6 yards per completion on those checkdowns. IT's not as if they were wasted plays. Carr is finding open players and giving them opportunities to make plays. That is a good thing!!!

These short passes to Davis are not the naked swing passes that SD uses with LT or that Aikman used for years with Emmitt Smith. Those are simply safety valves that rely solely on the ability of those backs to make something special happen. Davis is actually running a route and part of the passing offense most of the time.
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Old 09-24-2004   #14
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Originally Posted by dalemurphy
Stop complaining about that! It shows that he's going through progressions and making good decisions.
To me it looked like Davis was the first option instead of being a part of a progressive check down. They weren't wasted plays but the Lions were giving us those passes. We took them and you are right about the fact that they worked, but our problem isn't between the 20's. It's scoring.

Quote:
Originally Posted by dalemurphy
These short passes to Davis are not the naked swing passes that SD uses with LT or that Aikman used for years with Emmitt Smith. Those are simply safety valves that rely solely on the ability of those backs to make something special happen. Davis is actually running a route and part of the passing offense most of the time.
I beg to differ. Smith and LT often find a seam and press up the field in a true pass route. Dom only runs a short curl turn-around after sneaking thru the line underneath the linebacker drops. That is not exactly running much of a pass pattern.
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Old 09-24-2004   #15
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I thought Carr had a brilliant second half in Detroit. He made things happen when the o-line wasn't doing it's job. As for the stats, I'd rather he be like a Tom Brady who just finds a way to win rather than say a Peyton Manning or Mike Vick. Even thought those two guys are outstanding, I'd rather have a QB who may not be in the top catagory but will make the plays when it has to be made. I'm not worried about David Carr, he's going to have a fine year.
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Old 09-24-2004   #16
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alot of his stats come from the fact that he has thrown 16 easy passes to DD.

if you calculate the passes not thrown to the RB he has a rating of just 75.1
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Old 09-24-2004   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dalemurphy
It shows that he's going through progressions and making good decisions. . .
Then Carr can read defenses with the best of them because there were plays when he took 2 steps back and spent 1.5 seconds in the pocket and then unloaded it to Davis....
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Old 09-24-2004   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vinny
To me it looked like Davis was the first option instead of being a part of a progressive check down...
Right. It is a short pass pattern designed to get DD open underneath. As the great Craig James ( ) diagramed in the Bronco preseason game, the TE clears out the LBs with an up route, and Davis slides out of the backfield after faking a block. It's a called play, it works more often than not, so I guess we'll see it until someone stops it or Domanick breaks down.
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Old 09-24-2004   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jacquescas
alot of his stats come from the fact that he has thrown 16 easy passes to DD.

if you calculate the passes not thrown to the RB he has a rating of just 75.1
And if you take out Barry Sanders' runs of over 20 yds, he has a 1 yd average.

That may not be the actual number, but you get the point. Sanders got stuffed more than anyone around, but his ability to break off long ones made his average high. Every QB benefits from "safe" passes--that is why they throw them.
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Old 09-24-2004   #20
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Originally Posted by Vinny
... our problem isn't between the 20's. It's scoring...
Exactly.

I guess my point is that a lot is working reasonably well now (and although you have to be cautious about stats (lies, damn lies and statistics) they do show some meaningful performance) and we have something to pivot around. Obviously, things aren't perfect, or we wouldn't be 0-2, but I don't think this early record justifies all the 'throw the baby out with the bath water' and 'fire everyone' posts throughout the MB. I believe the offense has been productive, although the turnovers have reduced their opportunities to score.

I can't quickly put my fingers on the stat right now, but I believe that the Texans were fairly highly rated last year in red zone production. If my recollection is correct, perhaps there is reason to believe the Texans will be able to 'tweak' their scoring issues.
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