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Old 12-09-2005   #1
beerlover
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Heres another nice GBN article http://www.gbnreport.com/scoutsnotebook.htm

December 8, 2005:

BUSH ‘DERBY’ 4-TEAM HORSERACE

With the regular schedule now at the ¾ pole and NFL teams heading for home, it appears that the winner of the ‘Reggie Bush sweepstakes’, otherwise known as which team gets the first selection appears to be down to four finalists: 1-11 Houston and the 2-10 New York Jets, San Francisco and Green Bay. Of course, its always possible that those teams will all get hot and bring either of Tennessee or New Orleans, both of which have three wins back into the picture, but its also possible that pigs will fly or that it won’t snow (and snow and snow some more) in Canada this winter. Indeed, the Texans, Jets, 49ers and Packers are a combined 1-11 the past month and have a collective 20 game losing streak including the Jets who have lost 7 in a row, the 49ers and Texans 5 each and the Packers three. While one can probably bet the farm that one of Houston, the Jets, San Francisco and Green Bay will ultimately end up with the top pick this year, anyone of the four could just as easily end up with the #1 pick this coming April. Here’s a quick rundown on each of the four team’s prospects over the final month of the schedule…

Houston… Of course, as the only one-win team in the league, the Texans could make the whole issue moot if they were to ‘run the table’ so to speak and finish 1-15. A case can be made, though, that the Texans are actually playing the ‘best’ of the 4 bottom feeders. The Texans had a “W” in the bag with St’ Louis in town tow weeks, but collapsed in the final minute and lost in OT; then last week, they on a ‘walk-off score’ for a second straight in Baltimore. The Texans also have, by far, the easiest remaining schedule of the four teams in the hunt for the #1 pick. Houston’s remaining opponents have a combined W-L record of .375 and the schedule includes games against San Francisco, Tennessee, and 4-8 Arizona. The only complicating factor for the Texans is that 2 of those 3 are on the road with only Arizona to Houston. Indeed, who gets the #1 overall pick this year could still come down to the final week of the schedule when the Texans play at San Francisco.
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Old 12-13-2005   #2
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UPDATED DRAFT ORDER FROM GBN-

December 13, 2005


1 Houston 1-12 .547
2 San Francisco 2-10 .526
3 New York Jets 3-10 .519
4 New Orleans 3-10 .534
5 Green Bay 3-10 543
6T Tennessee 4-9 .500
6T Buffalo 4-9 .500
8T Cleveland 4-9 .505
8T Arizona 4-9 .505
10 Detroit 4-9 .514
11 Baltimore 4-9 .519
12 Oakland 4-9 .529
13 St. Louis 5-8 .486
14 Philadelphia 5-8 .534
15 Miami 6-7 .466
16 Denver (from Washington)7-6 .548
17 Minnesota 8-5 .486
18T Atlanta 8-5 .495
18T Pittsburgh 8-5 .495
20 Kansas City 8-5 .505
21 New England 8-5 .510
22 Dallas 8-5 .514
23 San Diego 8-5 .553
24T Tampa Bay 9-4 452
24T Chicago 9-4 .452
26T Jacksonville 9-4 .466
26T Carolina 9-4 .466
28 New York Giants 9-4 .495
29 Cincinnati 10-3 .457
30 Denver 10-3 .495
31 Seattle 11-2 .428
32 Indianapolis 13-0 .442
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Old 12-13-2005   #3
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Those SOS numbers are wrong. Texans are .574 and Niners are .586
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