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I'm gonna roll the dice along with SI and have the Texans making the playoffs with nine or ten wins.
http://m.si.com/4220125/which-new-coaching-hires-will-lead-teams-to-playoffs-in-their-first-year/
Also, Vegas early odds has us right in the middle of the pack; however, it also scores our schedule as not too difficult.
We only play five games against teams with higher odds
(Eagles, Bengals, Steelers, and Colts twice).
3 of those games will be at home.
We need to win at least one of those.
Three teams with the same odds
(@Giants, @Cowboys, Ravens at home. )
We need to win one of those.
That's six losses.
Here's hoping for nine or ten wins.
I just put some koolaid money on the Texans to win it all 40/1!!!!
i love all the positivness around post draft. We had a very good draft. We now have that big NT we have all wanted, we have a few upgrades on the oline. This is the most positive i have felt about the texans since 2011. I think we have a lot more talent than people are giving us credit for.
And i love the Tom Savage pick, i think this kid could be something great for us. And i think AJ will see that sooner than later.
I believe we have a good shot to make a lot of noise next season for sure.
This is a much less painful rebuild than 2006. I expect them to win 6-7 games and they have potential to win 8-9 depending on how the QB trainwreck goes.
Don't I wish! I think we could climb back into the playoffs in a couple of years.I just put some koolaid money on the Texans to win it all 40/1!!!!
This team will struggle to score a lot of points. But, it won't average 17 ppg as last season. The '13 Texans O was 11th yards and 31st in scoring. That won't happen again.
On the flip side, this defense will be tough to score on. Again, we're talking about a defense that was 7th in yards allowed. And this team has more talent. And there is no way this defense comes up with only 7 picks for the entire season. Looking at the schedule, they should have that beat by week 4.
No Coach Joe special teams, +1 win.
No Kubes coaching not to lose, +1 win.
I see a .500 team that catches a couple of breaks, and makes a couple of their own. 10-6 and an AFC South crown. Clowney ROY. O'Brien COY.
The Texans made a mistake firing Gary Kubiak and will suffer from that mistake in 2014. The talent is there, but will it be enough?
With that said, the road to .500 is not impossible given how kind the Texans regular season schedule is. With matchups against equally dysfunctional teams like the Washington Redskins, Buffalo Bills, Oakland Raiders, Cleveland Browns, and the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars twice, the road to .500 is not as daunting as it could have been.
Projected Record: 5-11
Many will say: From worst to first! Impossible.
All the changes made by the Texans in the off season were positive. In 2000 the Baltimore Ravens won a Super Bowl with very little offense. Their defense controlled their opponents, allowing only 165 points. They had a 12-4 record, winning the Super Bowl 34-7. I expect similar results in 2014 from the Texans.
6 or 7 seems most logical to me, although I'm tempted to choose 8 or 9 but with our QB this season, I view that as a slight stretch. My glass is sort of half filled. All depends on how you want to look at it.
Glass full -
I think this coaching staff is better especially at the HC position.
We've added talent to the front 7 and could be dominant in that area.
QB will produce fewer TO's. Has to right?
No reason to think Foster and the running game can't be back to their glory years with the addition of Oline help, a good yound FB and blocking TE
Ground and pound, and get after the QB on D combined with a pretty weak schedule and who knows. Could be playoffs.
The ST has to be better. Why? Just because ok. And coach Joe is gone. Dig it?
I see 10 or 11 wins here. Whoo hoo!
Glass nearly empty -
New coaching staff teaching new Offense, new Defense etc. Probably will take a year to gel on both sides. And the HC is a hard ass who if he is not careful will lose the team with all this no fun league nonsense like not putting logo's on the helmet. Who is this nut case anyway?
QB is a disaster. Don't care how you spell it, just put disaster as the last name on 4 jersey's and toss them in the air. This is a passing league now. The Texans will be a square peg in a round hole.
Ya, we've added talent in the front 7. We've also lost talent. A. Smith et al. So, replacing one for the other is supposed to be an improvement? Tell me another one.
And Clowney is a rookie. So, ya. Don't expect too much from him. You're just setting yourself up for disappointment.
Injuries. Guys like Cushing are just injury prone and this team has the worst luck. What you see now won't be what we roll with as the season progresses.
Foster is done. If he even manages to survive without going back on IR. The only thing he is good for now is stud services. Oh and who is his backup? Tate is in Cleveland. And RT? Ummm, anyone? McFly?
No running game, with a weak QB won't sustain drives, won't score and will make the D play too much making them ineffective. And all that scary QB chasing stuff - doesn't matter so much when the other team has constant leads. They will be very happy to grind out wins on the ground and play it safe through the air. Clowney will be a non-factor because his team will be playing from behind all freaking season long.
And sure coach Joe is gone. But we still have nobody to return kicks that is worth a damn. And speaking of kicker....umm let's not.
So ya, this is another putrid season coming up. I'll be nice and say 4 or 5 wins just because we play the little sisters of the poor.
ill wait till obrien makes a decision on who the starting qb is.
if its fitzpatrick put me down for 4 wins.
if its keenum put me down for 10 wins
if its yates put me down for 5 wins.
if its savage put me down for 8 wins minus 2 for the early balding.
Here is a good point brought up by one of the most respected members of the board. We know to a certainty that Cushing will be lost to injury, and there will probably be other key casualties. Coupled with a lack of good depth at some positions, that's one reason to expect the season not to be much better than average.I'll be happily surprised if we don't suffer a key injury and better the 4-7 wins I think we'll end up with due to depth concerns.
New coaches, new schemes... I think the culture change will become fully ingrained/evident a year from the start of 2014 training camp.
Yes, hope was hard to define and impossible to quantify... until now! The Mandatory Monday team is not afraid to put a number on hope and rank all 32 teams on hopefulness. It's that or work hard on Memorial Day weekend, so both the decision and math were easy.
"Hope" does not mean hope for a 2014 Super Bowl, but hope for a brighter future. Teams at the top of the list are either headed in the right direction, have already arrived there, or have beachfront summer homes in "right direction." Teams in the middle have at least installed the GPS and packed their bags. Teams at the bottom are not expected to win now and would have a hard time convincing anyone that they are poised to win later.
7) Houston Texans: 16.5
Shocked? Let's crunch the numbers. The Texans had three winning seasons in the past five years, nine 2012 Pro Bowlers (worth 4.5 points), and rang all the bells for new coaches, quarterbacks, regimes (general manager Rick Smith is still in place, but Bill O'Brien clearly carries a ton of clout), and the first pick in the draft. In other words, the system spots a team that had strong infrastructure through 2012, collapsed suddenly, and is now back with new leadership and an influx of young talented. Granted, there is no "dissatisfied Andre Johnson" variable or Ryan Fitzpatrick restrictor plate on quarterback enthusiasm, but you don't have to be a Texans diehard to see the possibility of a quick 2014 turnaround, plus sunny skies beyond.
AFC South
Indianapolis Colts: 10-6 (9.7 mean wins; SOS: 29)
Tennessee Titans: 8-8 (8.2 mean wins; SOS: 31)
Houston Texans: 8-8 (7.6 mean wins; SOS: 32)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 6-10 (5.9 mean wins; SOS: 27)
This is getting to be the story of the Colts: excellent quarterback leads mediocre team to 10 wins thanks to easy schedule. Then again, the whole division gets the benefit of easy schedules, thanks mostly to playing each other but also because they miss both western divisions in the rotating interdivisional format. In addition, the Colts were second in adjusted games lost behind the Giants last season, so they should be healthier (and thus better) in 2014. Losing Robert Mathis for the first four games could hurt a bit, though.
The Texans are in line for a big improvement thanks to both normal old regression toward the mean and the Plexiglass Principle, which says that teams that decline significantly tend to rebound the next year. Football Outsiders DVOA had Houston 16th on offense and fourth on defense in 2012; last year, the Texans were 29th on offense and 18th on defense. Unfortunately, the defensive rebound (including the addition of No. 1 overall draft pick Jadeveon Clowney) is probably not going to be enough to get them back into the playoffs, even with the easiest schedule in the league, because the quarterback situation makes the offensive rebound a big question mark.
The Titans are another one of those teams that seems to hover around 8-8 every single year, and the Jaguars are still working on rebuilding after cleaning up Gene Smith's mess.
Fitzpatrick led the Bills to a 6-10 record in 3 of 4 seasons with Dick Jauron and Chan Gailey as HC.
I think he can lead this team to 8-8 if he starts all year. If he is beaten out by a better QB, I think the record could be as high as 9-7.
6-10 with the Bills, but how much talent WAS REALLY on those teams, compared to this teams talent
I feel like 7 wins is our ceiling, anything else is just icing on the cake.
4-6 wins. I think QBs hold us back this year and put us in the hunt for one of the top QBs in next years draft class.
OB should be fired if he goes 4-12 against the likes of the Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, & Jacksonville Jaguars.
11 games against teams that haven't put together winning seasons in the last five years.
If we go 4-12 in 2014, Bob needs to clean house right this time. Everybody from Cal down, gone. Yes Cal down.
Kubiak tripled the win total from the previous year in his first year as HC.Wow i dont really agree with that. I do agree we should have a good season due to the horrid SOS. But i wouldnt throw him and his staff out after one season over 4-5 wins. Hell thats more wins than Kubiak got us in his last season.
I feel 10-12 wins will be what we win, the schedule just looks to damn easy ! If we had this schedule in 2011 we would of been 16-0