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Old 04-07-2014   #1
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Default 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

Two round mock w/trade... probably not the last one we'll see:

2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick
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In a draft that many in the NFL consider the most talented in years, we could see a considerable amount of movement in the top-10 picks. Teams could shift around to target the top players in the draft. Or they could trade back to accumulate picks and rely on the depth of the class.

One general manager who hasn't been afraid to move around is Thomas Dimitroff of the Atlanta Falcons. In 2011, Dimitroff sent five picks to Cleveland to move up from No. 27 to No. 6 to select wide receiver Julio Jones. If Dimitroff wants pass-rusher Jadeveon Clowney, he may have to trade up to the No. 1 pick. Because the Falcons have the sixth pick in this year's draft, Dimitroff may not have to give up quite as much as he did in 2011, but he'll have to give up quite a bit of compensation — and risk future depth — to move up.

Of course, any type of move up would require the Texans being interested in moving down. Adding a second-round pick in a loaded draft will be tempting for Houston. Getting even more in return, which they should expect, would be hard to pass up.

That is the cost and risk of trading in the NFL Draft. For teams moving up, they're sacrificing future depth. For teams dropping down, they'll risk missing out on a good player. Here's what the first two rounds of the 2014 NFL Draft could look like if the top pick is traded. As always, if you have your own mock, or even some trade theories of your own, feel free to share them in the comments.

FIRST ROUND

TRADE: 1. Atlanta Falcons (from Houston): Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina
Atlanta gives up this year's first- and second-round choices and a 2015 first-round pick to Houston in exchange for the No. 1 pick.

If the Falcons want Jadeveon Clowney, they may have to go up to the No. 1 pick to get him. It's obviously cost prohibitive to jump that high in the draft. But what happens if Clowney, Khalil Mack and even Greg Robinson are picked before Atlanta's selection? Thomas Dimitroff has added several big-name veteran front office men this offseason. Trading away picks means he'll have to rely on their expertise to hit on picks later in the draft.

2. St. Louis Rams: Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn

If Clowney goes first overall in the draft, it leaves the Rams to choose between Robinson and wide receiver Sammy Watkins. On a team with only an average (at best) quarterback situation, Robinson could have the bigger impact. Zac Stacy is an emerging talent as a running back, and Robinson is the type of blocker who could turn him into a Pro Bowler.

3. Jacksonville Jaguars: Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo

Despite bringing back Jason Babin and signing Chris Clemons, the Jaguars could look to add more pass-rushing help with a player like Mack. He's as versatile as any defensive player in the draft this year and would give head coach Gus Bradley countless options.

4. Cleveland Browns: Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

What Cleveland truly thinks of the top quarterbacks in the draft this year will determine much of how the first round unravels. Let's assume for now they don't like any of them at No. 4. With Robinson gone, that leaves Watkins for the Browns. Although they brought in Andrew Hawkins in free agency, he's not the outside receiver the Browns need to pair with Josh Gordon.

5. Oakland Raiders: Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M

The Raiders are bringing Manziel in for a visit this week. Chances are if you're a top-five team, you don't bring in a first-round player that you don't like. But why Manziel over the other quarterbacks? Manziel would give the Raiders' offense an unique identity the others cannot. While Blake Bortles and Teddy Bridgewater are both good players, they can't transform a team's offensive like Manziel. Besides, there's just something fun about Manziel and his swagger being in Oakland.

TRADE: 6. Houston Texans (from Atlanta): Blake Bortles, QB, Central Florida

While there is some risk in trading down this far from No. 1, a good quarterback should be available for the Texans with this choice. Teddy Bridgewater — for us anyway — grades out as a better player than Bortles. Other than fan conjecture, though, there has been almost no discussion of the Texans and Bridgewater. Question it however you choose, but there has been more of a connection between Bortles and Houston. For that, for now, he is the choice...
http://www.sbnation.com/nfl-mock-dra...johnny-manziel
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Old 04-07-2014   #2
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

That would do it for me.
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Old 04-07-2014   #3
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

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Originally Posted by Playoffs View Post
If the draft fell this way I love that we still have so many options. With the eight pick it would be between Mathews and Dennard for me. With our two second rounders I would be looking at

Offense
Cyrus Kouandjio, OT, Alabama
Antonio Richardson, OT, Tennessee
Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Washington
Troy Niklas, TE, Notre Dame


Defense
Ra'Shede Hageman, DT, Minnesota
Lamarcus Joyner, CB/S, Florida State
Stephon Tuitt, DE, Notre Dame
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Old 04-07-2014   #4
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

If the draft played out like this & given the coaches comments about other QBs later in the draft, I would think we'd let Bortles pass or try to trade down with Minnesota. With Mack gone, I could see us taking Matthews at 6.
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Old 04-07-2014   #5
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

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4. Cleveland Browns: Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

What Cleveland truly thinks of the top quarterbacks in the draft this year will determine much of how the first round unravels. Let's assume for now they don't like any of them at No. 4. With Robinson gone, that leaves Watkins for the Browns. Although they brought in Andrew Hawkins in free agency, he's not the outside receiver the Browns need to pair with Josh Gordon.
I know a ton of sites out there have Watkins going to the Browns, but I just don't see it. Mike Pettine is a defensive minded guy, and the major needs on the team are QB, FS, #2 WR, ILB, OG and CB #2 - probably in that order. If they take Watkins, then they just make Hawkins irrelevant. I think they go QB, defense, or trade down at #4.
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Old 04-07-2014   #6
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

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Originally Posted by mussop View Post
If the draft fell this way I love that we still have so many options. With the eight pick it would be between Mathews and Dennard for me. With our two second rounders I would be looking at

Offense
Cyrus Kouandjio, OT, Alabama
Antonio Richardson, OT, Tennessee
Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Washington
Troy Niklas, TE, Notre Dame


Defense
Ra'Shede Hageman, DT, Minnesota
Lamarcus Joyner, CB/S, Florida State
Stephon Tuitt, DE, Notre Dame
And I left out Garopolo in the second.
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Old 04-07-2014   #7
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

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Originally Posted by Dutchrudder View Post
I know a ton of sites out there have Watkins going to the Browns, but I just don't see it. Mike Pettine is a defensive minded guy, and the major needs on the team are QB, FS, #2 WR, ILB, OG and CB #2 - probably in that order. If they take Watkins, then they just make Hawkins irrelevant. I think they go QB, defense, or trade down at #4.
One thing that may be in the back of their minds is Josh Gordon's status at one bad drug test away from a one year league suspension.
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Old 04-07-2014   #8
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

If the Texans trade out of #1 or pass on Bortles, very doubtful he will get past Jacksonville. Then not only will the Texans have Andrew Luck beating them twice a year, they will also have Blake Bortles beating them twice a year.
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Old 04-07-2014   #9
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

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One thing that may be in the back of their minds is Josh Gordon's status at one bad drug test away from a one year league suspension.
Sure, but Watkins isn't the same type of receiver as Gordon. There are a lot of talented WRs that will be available at 26 and 35 for the Browns, I think it would be smarter to get a Gordon replacement there rather than #4.
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Old 04-07-2014   #10
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

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That would do it for me.
Me too. Where in the article was it discussed how the Texans were going to hypnotize Dimitroff and turn him into a draft day zombie? Because that's the only way the Texans come away with 2 1sts and a 2nd for 1-1.
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Old 04-07-2014   #11
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

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If the Texans trade out of #1 or pass on Bortles, very doubtful he will get past Jacksonville. Then not only will the Texans have Andrew Luck beating them twice a year, they will also have Blake Bortles beating them twice a year.
More likely that Bortles and Luck have their careers cut short from the clowatt-ing they will be taking twice a year.
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Old 04-15-2014   #12
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

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More likely that Bortles and Luck have their careers cut short from the clowatt-ing they will be taking twice a year.
Don't forget the Cushing Crushin's.
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Old 04-21-2014   #13
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Default Re: 2014 NFL mock draft: The cost and risk of trading the No. 1 pick

Missed this thread but seems to support my thread posted today on trades.
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