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Old 10-14-2004   #1
Mistril48
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Default Tacks Terrific 12 v. Texan Terrific 12

Old Posting (new posting below)

In a salary cap regime like the NFL, the value of a player is a function of his performance measured against his cap value. A non-expansion NFL team typically drafts 12 players (the “T12” if you will) in the first 3 rounds over a 4 year period. These 12 players are particularly valuable to a franchise in a salary cap regime, because they typically have much lower cap values than players signed through free agency. For example, Chester Pitts has a 2004 cap value of $705,000, but Steve McKinney has a 2004 cap value of $3,050,000.

Typically, an impact player becomes a free agent after four accrued years and either leaves, or receives his first big free agency contract. Each year, a franchise typically loses 3 first day drafted players to free agency (unless they re-sign the players) and get three replacements through the draft, thereby maintaining their T12 (in some cases, of course, a player drafted to be a T12 player won’t work out and a team may end up with less than 12, or a second day drafted player may excel, like Domanick Davis, thereby creating more than 12). McKinney, Bradford, Wong, Smith and Wade are all examples of four year players who got big raises to come to the Texans for their 5th year.

In the 2002 season, the Texans first year, they only had 5 T12 (1 first, 2 second and 2 third), while all the other teams had 12. Bummer. Unlike the Panthers and the Jaguars, the Texans weren’t given any extra first round picks. Hard to compete.

The good news is the Texans have now caught up, thanks to expansion picks and Charlie Casserly’s astute trades. They now have 12 players who they drafted on the first day. The Texans now have a T12 like other NFL teams. Good.

New Posting

How about the Texans next opponent, the Tacks. How does their T12 compare with the Texans?

. . .YR . . Texans (only 3 yrs) . . . . . . YR . . . Tacks (4 yrs)

F . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .’01
I. . ’02 . QB David Carr . . . . . . . . . . .’02 DT Albert Haynesworth
R . ’03 . WR Andre Johnson . . . . . . . .‘03 CB Andre Woolfolk
S . ’04 . CB Dunta Robinson. . . . . . . . ’04
T . ’04 . LB Jason Babin

S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ’01 CB Andre Dyson
E . ’02 . WR Jabar Gaffney
C . ’02 . OL Chester Pitts . . . . . . . . . .’02 DB Tank Williams
O . ’03 . TE Benny Joppru . . . . . . . . . ‘03 WR Tyrone Calico
N . ’04 . RB Tony Hollings. . . . . . . . . . ’04 TE Ben Troupe
D . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .’04 DE Travis LaBoy
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .’04 DE Antwan Odom


. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .’01 TE Shad Meier
T . ’02 . OL Fred Weary . . . . . . . . . . .’02 LB Rocky Calmus
H . ’02 . OL Charles Hill (released)
I . ’03. . LB Antwan Peek .. . . . . . . . . ’03 RB Chris Brown
R . ’03 . OL Seth Wand
D . ’03 . QB Dave Ragone
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .’04 DT Randy Starks
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 04 CB Rich Gardner


I would argue that the Tacks, like the Vikings, illustrate how we have ‘arrived’ after just three years of drafts. We drafted 13 first day players and the Tacks have drafted 13 (note – the above also illustrates why the Tacks were prepared to trade quality for quantity in 2004. To catch up on their number of T12 players, they traded McCareins and their 1st round pick and came away with 5 T12 selections in 2004). Further, the Texans have generated 7 starters (Carr, Johnson, Gaffney, Pitts, Wand, Babin, Robinson) from their T12 and the Tacks have generated 6 starters (I think – Brown, Haynesworth, Meier, Odom, Dyson, Williams) from their T12.


. . . . . . Texans (only 3 yrs) . . . . . . . . . . Tacks (4 yrs)

. . . . . . QB David Carr
. . . . . . QB Dave Ragone

. . . . . . RB Tony Hollings . . . . . . . . . . . RB Chris Brown

. . . . . .WR Andre Johnson . . . . . . . . . . WR Tyrone Calico
. . . . . .WR Jabar Gaffney

. . . . . . TE Benny Joppru . . . . . . . . . . . .TE Shad Meier
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . TE Ben Troupe

. . . . . .OL Chester Pitts
. . . . . .OL Seth Wand
. . . . . .OL Fred Weary


. . . . . .DL Charles Hill (released) . . . . . . . DT Albert Haynesworth
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .DT Randy Starks
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .DE Travis LaBoy
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .DE Antwan Odom

. . . . . .LB Jason Babin. . . . . . . . . . . . . . LB Rocky Calmus
. . . . . .LB Antwan Peek

. . . . . .CB Dunta Robinson . . . . . . . . . . . CB Andre Woolfolk
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .CB Andre Dyson
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .DB Tank Williams
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .CB Rich Gardner

Would you trade our players, above, for their players, above?

As with the Vikings, I think the comparison is difficult, because we drafted primary for offense in our first two drafts and the Tacks drafted primarily for defense. I would add (without being able to substantiate it) that I believe that Tacks GM, Floyd Reese is well respected and that many people would acknowledge that they do an excellent job in player evaluation. If you feel that the Texans T12 is at least comparable to the Tacks T12, then I would argue that this shows that the Texans personnel department has done an excellent job.

One thing that really stands out is that the Tacks haven’t drafted early for the O-line in the last few years.

Old Posting

And the news gets better for the Texans. In 2005, the Texans should keep all of their T12 (none will have four accrued years) and add 4 new members through the 2005 draft (1 first, 1 second and 2 thirds), giving them a total of 16 T12. Great news!

. . YR . . Texans (4 yrs)

F. .‘02 . QB David Carr
I . ’03 . WR Andre Johnson
R . ’04 . CB Dunta Robinson
S . ‘04 . LB Jason Babin
T . ’05 . . . . P I C K

S . ’02 . WR Jabar Gaffney
E . ’02 . OL Chester Pitts
C . ’03 . TE Benny Joppru
O . ’04 . RB Tony Hollings
N . ’05 . . . . P I C K
D

. . ‘02 . OL Fred Weary
T . ’02 . OL Charles Hill (released)
H . ’03 . LB Antwan Peek
I . .‘03 . OL Seth Wand
R . ‘03 . QB Dave Ragone
D . ’05 . . . . P I C K
. .. ’05 . . . . P I C K
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