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Old 05-20-2014   #1
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Default Trading future first-round picks: Good to win now, bad to win later?

Interesting...

Trading future first-round picks: Good to win now, bad to win later?
Quote:
Almost every year some team coughs up a first-round pick in the following year's draft in order to acquire an immediate player.
...
The Bills were the latest team to pull off such a move, trading away a 2015 first-round pick in exchange for moving up five spots and grabbing Sammy Watkins. Say what you want about Watkins -- I had him rated No. 2 overall in this draft -- but there's a ton of risk there, should the Bills finish with a bad record in 2014.

But how do things typically work out for a team that trades away a first-round pick?

I went back through the last decade and picked out all the teams that traded away a first-round pick for a player and mapped out its win-loss percentage over the next five years...
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