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Old 11-01-2013   #21
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Default Re: Texian's Mid Season Mock Draft

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If Erik Ebron, UNC is there at this pick, do you take him instead?

Just out of curiosity. I think Ebron is gone by this point though.
Don't know, I do think one would have to give strong consideration to Ebron, Amaro and Sefarin-Jenkins and also consider how well they test at Combine as part of that process. I do think all 3 today are worthy of an early 2nd rd consideration.

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Interested in why no OT. Do you think Newton gets better, Williams returns or are you moving Q to RT? If the latter, I don't see Hopkins starting. Please expound.

Also, manziel has been beaten up bad this season, do you think he will survive NFL or do you see him playing different style than 1-2-3 run?
Yes to Q and Williams. I agree OT is the biggest hole in my draft however 2 draft picks were used at the position last year. I hate redundant drafting. My thinking is Williams and/or Q will be an upgrade to Newton, hopefully. If Marcus Williams doesn't test well at combine then an OT replacement would make sense there.

On to Manziel, IMHO Johnny Football has looked like he has improved on his 1-2-3 run. Manziel is being privately coached by George Whitfield Jr. http://whitfieldqb.com/ and it appears to me that it's been having some very positive results. Now when Johnny does run he does make something happen (1st down). 1-2-3 Run seems more like 1-2-3-4 Run unless there is real pressure and he's much better at avoiding pressure.

There is not a more exciting football player on the field to day than Johnny Football. I can only imagine how exciting it would be going to Reliant every Sunday to watch Johnny Football play. Must be something like the Redskins fan and Colts fans are experiencing going to see RGIII and Luck.

In regards to injuries, all QBs have been injured, the Great Peyton now has sprained ankles is getting shots before the game. Manning & Brady both have missed seasons because of injuries. Yes Jonny Manziel will likely get injured but chances are very good so will any other QB you draft. Another thing I love about Johnny Football is late in the game and the team needs to score, you got to love your chances with Johnny Manziel. You can't say that about many college QBs today.

Johnny Manziel = #3 Completion %/.730; #4 Passing Efficiency/181.9; #5 Passing Yards/2594; #7 Passing TDs/22; #3 Total Offense/386.4 yds per game, all while often being taken out early because of big leads.

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Old 11-01-2013   #22
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Default Re: Texian's Mid Season Mock Draft

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If Erik Ebron, UNC is there at this pick, do you take him instead?

Just out of curiosity. I think Ebron is gone by this point though.
I think you and I discussed Ebron a bit earlier, and I think bolded is what happens but if he's there I would take Ebron all day.
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Old 11-01-2013   #23
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Default Re: Texian's Mid Season Mock Draft

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If Erik Ebron, UNC is there at this pick, do you take him instead?

Just out of curiosity. I think Ebron is gone by this point though.
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I think you and I discussed Ebron a bit earlier, and I think bolded is what happens but if he's there I would take Ebron all day.
Further to earlier discussion about Ebron vs Sefarin-Jenkins. It would not hurt my feeling to much at this point if Ebron and Amaro were the first two TEs off the board and Sefarin-Jenkins was available when the Texans pick in the 2nd rd. In my mind I think S-J could be the best TE in the 2014 draft.

In August of this year Sefarin-Jenkins was the #1 TE going into the 2013 season after his 69 catch, 852 yd, 7 TD, 2012 season. This year he only has 20 catches. Amaro with 64 catches/851 yards and Ebron with 35 catches/625 yards are blowing his doors off. So why is that?

HC Sarkisian after signing 3 top wr and due to the fact that so many Pac12 teams run an uptempo no huddle offense he made a similar change to his offense. This offense is more friendly to RBs and WRs and less friendly TEs. The Pro Style offense previously run was more conducive to Sefarin-Jenkins game. As a result S-J receptions have dropped to an all-time career low of 20 catches. Compound this with an off season DUI and 1 game suspension and Sefarin-Jenkins has fallen of many radars. However he is still the same TE he was when setting WASH Huskies records as a true freshman and sophomore.
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Old 11-01-2013   #24
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Default Re: Texian's Mid Season Mock Draft

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Interested in why no OT. Do you think Newton gets better, Williams returns or are you moving Q to RT? If the latter, I don't see Hopkins starting. Please expound.

Also, manziel has been beaten up bad this season, do you think he will survive NFL or do you see him playing different style than 1-2-3 run?
I'm worried about the interior defense. Ninja and Mitchell could be gone. Cushing might never be the same or be able to stay healthy. There is zero quality depth at all the positions I just named. Even if all of them return I would draft heavy and early there.

I'm not near as concerned about the OL but I'm still looking hard there also. This team needs talent and depth in the trenches.
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Old 11-02-2013   #25
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After such a poor effort that was done without much thought and mailed in, here is my revised mock that was done with much more effort and thought:

Assuming the Texans pick in the Top 10:

Rd 1. Johnny Manziel, QB, 6001, 211, Texas A&M
Rd 2. Austin Sefarin-Jenkins, TE, 6055, 276, Washington
Rd 3. Jeremy Attaochu, OLB, 6026, 242, Georgia Tech
Rd 4. Marcus Williams, CB, 5110, 197, N Dakota State
Rd 5. Bruce Gaston, NT, 6021, 310, Purdue
Rd 6. Storm Johnson, RB, 6001, 215, Central Florida
Rd 7. Trey Hopkins, OG, 6034, 300, Texas
Revised: 5. Bruce Gaston OUT, Chris Whaley IN

Chris Whaley, DT, 6026, 295, Texas

Last edited by Texian; 11-02-2013 at 07:21 PM.
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Old 11-02-2013   #26
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Default Re: Texian's Mid Season Mock Draft

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I'm worried about the interior defense. Ninja and Mitchell could be gone. Cushing might never be the same or be able to stay healthy. There is zero quality depth at all the positions I just named. Even if all of them return I would draft heavy and early there.

I'm not near as concerned about the OL but I'm still looking hard there also. This team needs talent and depth in the trenches.
As well you should be and why on my posted mock I have Nix in first and Smallwood in 2nd. I also share your concern about Cush but he should recover well from leg but to what level? I would not be shocked if Houston drafted two players for ILB but more likely UDFAs to round out that area. I too am slightly optimistic about the Oline but need some improvement against Colts. JaWuan James looked good today against Missouri in a loss.
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Old 11-02-2013   #27
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Revised: 5. Bruce Gaston OUT, Chris Whaley IN

Chris Whaley, DT, 6026, 295, Texas
Whaley? Why? You are not over reacting to the INT for score are you? He is definitely not a nose. You were better with Gaston.
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Old 11-02-2013   #28
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Whaley? Why? You are not over reacting to the INT for score are you? He is definitely not a nose. You were better with Gaston.
I watched Gaston today vs OSU, pitiful, very disappointing. Whaley is as much a Nose as Mitchell. Whaley is much more athletic than Gaston. I also like Caruan Reid from Princeton. You're aware Whaley got another TD today (fumble return)?

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Old 11-02-2013   #29
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I watched Gaston today vs OSU, pitiful, very disappointing. Whaley is as much a Nose as Mitchell. Whaley is much more athletic than Gaston. I also like Caruan Reid from Princeton. You're aware Whaley got another TD today (fumble return)?
Have not been following Gaston and agree that neither Mitchell or WHaley should be NT.
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Old 11-03-2013   #30
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Have not been following Gaston and agree that neither Mitchell or WHaley should be NT.
I do not subscribe to bigger is better, it's myth
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Old 11-04-2013   #31
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kbohls ‏@kbohls 26m

Texas coach Mack Brown said DT Chris Whaley's stock is going up fast as an NFL prospect. #statesman
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Old 11-04-2013   #32
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Have not been following Gaston and agree that neither Mitchell or WHaley should be NT.
I agree. Mitchell is a 3' technique. Wade wants smaller, quicker NT's that can penetrate. Not two-gap wide bodies. If it works, then that's fine. I don't care.

We really should have grabbed Kawaan Short last year. He would have been a perfect NT for what it seems like Wade wants.
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Old 11-05-2013   #33
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Currently Texans projected to pick in the #7-#12 Vicinity.

At the end of the 2013 season Bob McNair fires Kubiak and Smith.

Hires Eric Decosta as GM who hires HC.

Mid Season Mock

Rd 1. C. J. Mosley, OLB, Alabama, 6021, 232 (up grades OLB, Reed moves to ILB)
Rd 2. Trent Murphy, DE, Stanford, 6055, 261 (replaces Ninja)
Rd 3. A. J. McCarron, QB, Alabama, 6032, 214 (replaces Schaub)
Rd 4. JaWuan James, OT, Tennessee, 6056, 318 (replaces Newton)
Rd 5. Marcus Williams CB, N. Dakota St., 5110, 197 (upgrades secondary)
Rd 6. Storm Johnson, RB, Cent. Florida, 6001, 218 (replaces Tate)
Rd 7. Trey Hopkins, OG, Texas, 6034, 302 (replaces Smith)

Conventional Wisdom is a rookie QB needs 20 starts in the NFL before you truly know what you have. 2014 gives Texans and Keenum his 20 starts. Schaub is released for cap reasons. McCarron is brought in as a backup and also a chance to be a starter. If all fails Texans go all in for a Franchise QB in 2015. At this time I do expect most underclassman QB to return to school. I expect only 1 or 2 to come out. If that happens 2015 will be a better year for QBs than 2014.

Texans have lost there pass rush, this is improved with Mosley and Murphy. Replaces Ninja who becomes a FA and cap casualty and upgrades OLB.
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/col...?sct=hp_t11_a2
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Old 11-06-2013   #34
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I do not subscribe to bigger is better, it's myth
Says the guy with ity bitty hands............. J/k .

Here's the problem. If you're going to play a smaller NT he dam well better be special at penetrating and be unusually strong at the POA. Those guys are very hard to find. If they don't at least have those qualities they don't do much to help anyone around them. Mitchell is the perfect example.

You put a bigger stronger guy there and OCs can no longer run you out of the play all by themselves. They have to have help or it's a miss match. Hence one less guy to help block Watt or Smith. Which also makes it harder on the interior OL when we blitz up the middle.
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Old 11-06-2013   #35
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Says the guy with ity bitty hands............. J/k .

Here's the problem. If you're going to play a smaller NT he dam well better be special at penetrating and be unusually strong at the POA. Those guys are very hard to find. If they don't at least have those qualities they don't do much to help anyone around them. Mitchell is the perfect example.

You put a bigger stronger guy there and OCs can no longer run you out of the play all by themselves. They have to have help or it's a miss match. Hence one less guy to help block Watt or Smith. Which also makes it harder on the interior OL when we blitz up the middle.
Pardon me if I go Wade's knowledge and expertise here with NTs over your summation and expectations. What I have found in my 20+ years of research is very few 320lb + NT can play well in the NFL and most who get drafted maybe only play 300-400 snaps of a 1000 snap season. For every Wilfork or Ngata there are dozens and dozens of 320 + lb NT drafted who end up being much less effective than 1 gap penetrating DT.
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Old 11-06-2013   #36
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Pardon me if I go Wade's knowledge and expertise here with NTs over your summation and expectations. What I have found in my 20+ years of research is very few 320lb + NT can play well in the NFL and most who get drafted maybe only play 300-400 snaps of a 1000 snap season. For every Wilfork or Ngata there are dozens and dozens of 320 + lb NT drafted who end up being much less effective than 1 gap penetrating DT.
Very good points. I've never subscribed to the "get a fat guy in there" mantra either. Plugging a 340+ guy in there just because he's 340 isn't going to do jack.

However, I think Nix is in that line of Ngata-like players. Maybe not that talented, but I think he could thrive in a one-gap system like ours.
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Old 11-06-2013   #37
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Pardon me if I go Wade's knowledge and expertise here with NTs over your summation and expectations. What I have found in my 20+ years of research is very few 320lb + NT can play well in the NFL and most who get drafted maybe only play 300-400 snaps of a 1000 snap season. For every Wilfork or Ngata there are dozens and dozens of 320 + lb NT drafted who end up being much less effective than 1 gap penetrating DT.
And for every jay Ratliff there are dozens and dozens of earl Mitchell's. Sorry but with all of wades knowledge and expertise he was wrong on this one. He was betting on Mitchell being able to have a Jay Ratliff effect. It hasn't happened.


Actually I don't care what size the guy is. I just want anyone that can push the pocket, comand double teams and keep our LBs clean. What I have found in my almost 40 years of research is that it's easier to find bigger guys (320 plus) that can do that than smallish (for nt ) guys. Look up every top 5 3/4 defense there has ever been and Ill bet you anything that there are twice as many 320 plus guys manning the NT position as sub 320 guys.

Again I'm not nor never have suggested finding an untalented big fat guy to throw in there.
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Old 11-07-2013   #38
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And for every jay Ratliff there are dozens and dozens of earl Mitchell's. Sorry but with all of wades knowledge and expertise he was wrong on this one. He was betting on Mitchell being able to have a Jay Ratliff effect. It hasn't happened.


Actually I don't care what size the guy is. I just want anyone that can push the pocket, comand double teams and keep our LBs clean. What I have found in my almost 40 years of research is that it's easier to find bigger guys (320 plus) that can do that than smallish (for nt ) guys. Look up every top 5 3/4 defense there has ever been and Ill bet you anything that there are twice as many 320 plus guys manning the NT position as sub 320 guys.

Again I'm not nor never have suggested finding an untalented big fat guy to throw in there.
The reason Wade went with Mitchell instead of Ratliff is because Ratliff is a Cowboy not a Texan.
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Old 11-07-2013   #39
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The reason Wade went with Mitchell instead of Ratliff is because Ratliff is a Cowboy not a Texan.
Brilliant response! You sir are a MASTERdeBATER.
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Old 11-07-2013   #40
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Pardon me if I go Wade's knowledge and expertise here with NTs over your summation and expectations. What I have found in my 20+ years of research is very few 320lb + NT can play well in the NFL and most who get drafted maybe only play 300-400 snaps of a 1000 snap season. For every Wilfork or Ngata there are dozens and dozens of 320 + lb NT drafted who end up being much less effective than 1 gap penetrating DT.
You are going to have to link where Phillips has said he preferred smaller NTs. There are posts with link in this forum where Wade has pointed to previous NTs of different sizes that he played. He stated he takes what he has and tries to make them better. You can also say for every "lighter" Nose there are dozens who do not perform well. I think it depends on the fight in the dog rather than dog in fight. We have seen how Nose players have performed for Texans like Cody and Mitchell and I am ready to try a different approach. We get impact on the QB from Ninja, Watt and occasionally someone else but we need a way to shut down running game before the back gets past the LOS. Our Dline and LBs are not getting it done & why I am focusing on that in my mock.
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