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Old 04-23-2013   #1
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Default A Metrics Study Of Undervalued/Overrated Draft Prospects

A Metrics Study Of UNDERVALUED Draft Prospects

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The majority of my writings on draft statistics have been on players who will be picked in the first three rounds, but late round prospects merit discussion as well. I’ve gone through and picked out players who had positive metrics in college, but just aren’t being discussed much in the draft process for one reason or another.

“One of the key purposes we developed the ICE system and created our specialized College X-Info statistical services was to help support our team clients’ efforts with identifying and evaluating mid-later round draft talent as well as experienced college free agents,” John Pollard, General Manager of Sports Solutions at STATS, said. “Most of us in the industry are aware of the top position players coming out of college, the 1st and 2nd round talent. The ICE application and X-info statistics services help our team clients build and validate their assessments of these players”

I’m going to explore some of the positive metrics for some mid to late round talent show why they could or should go higher than they are being projected. All statistics are from the STATS ICE program which has every BCS game charted from the entire 2012 season.

MONTEL HARRIS, RB – TEMPLE
Montel Harris is one of the most elusive backs...

STEDMAN BAILEY, WR – WEST VIRGINIA
Expected to go in the third round...

RYAN GRIFFIN, TE - CONNECTICUT
Some critics of Griffin have noted his lack of ability after the catch...

BRENNAN WILLIAMS, OT – NORTH CAROLINA
While everyone focuses on the big three OTs...

MESHAK WILLIAMS, DE/OLB – KANSAS STATE
Williams is probably the least discussed prospect...

JORDAN HILL, DT – PENN STATE
While big names like Sharif Floyd and Star Lotulelei dominate the discussion...

JOSH JOHNSON , CB – PURDUE
Defensive backs in general are a bit tricky to apply statistics to...

JOSH EVANS, S – FLORIDA
While teammate Matt Elam drew most of the attention at Florida, Josh Evans did an excellent job...
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