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Old 04-20-2013   #1
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Default Daniel Jeremiah: NFL Draft: Prospect sequence list drives team decisions

2013 NFL Draft: Prospect sequence list drives team decisions
By Daniel Jeremiah, Analyst, NFL.com and NFL Network


In the media, we often focus on ranking NFL draft prospects by position. But that can be misleading, especially when taken in context of what happens in NFL team headquarters. It's the overall sequence, regardless of position, that matters most.

Here's how it works in draft meetings: After each scout reads his report on a particular guy, he is asked to integrate the player into the entire prospect population. For instance, after everyone who watched and wrote up West Virginia wide receiver Tavon Austin discussed their report, the leader of the meetings (typically the personnel director or general manager) would ask that group of scouts which player they rated higher, Austin or Notre Dame tight end Tyler Eifert.

These comparison discussions can take anywhere from 5-10 minutes before the player eventually gets slotted on the master sequence list. This process is run almost like a mini-election. Seven scouts vote for Austin, four scouts vote for Eifert. Austin wins. Next up, North Carolina guard Jonathan Cooper six votes, Austin five votes. Cooper wins. Therefore, Austin is sequenced in between Cooper and Eifert on the master list.

In order to be properly prepared for these meetings, each scout must formulate his own sequence list of prospects that he's studied. When called upon to pick between two prospects, you can't just throw out a name off the top of your head. You have to consult your own sequence list constantly during these draft meetings. Here's my sequence list for the top 50 players in the 2013 NFL Draft:

Quote:
1) Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M...
2) Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan...
3) Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida...
4) Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah...
5) Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon...
6) Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma...
7) Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama...
8) Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina...
9) Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia...
10) Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame: Eifert has excellent speed, strong hands and a huge catching radius. The Notre Dame product must continue to improve as a blocker, but he should be able to make an immediate impact as a high-volume pass catcher.

11) Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas...
12) Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama...
13) Ziggy Ansah, DE, BYU...
14) Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri...
15) Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina...
16) Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia...
17) Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State...
18) Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia: Ogletree carries some risk because of his off-field issues, but he's an explosive linebacker with outstanding cover skills. His background as a safety is evident in the tape I studied. He can mirror tight ends all over the field. He does need to do a better job of using his hands to take on/shed blocks, but that can be taught.
19) Justin Pugh, OL, Syracuse...
20) Keenan Allen, WR, California: I love the way Allen attacks the football in the air and he has a great feel for working in zones. While his game isn't predicated on speed, his slow 40 time was still cause for some concern.

21) Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama
22) Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU
23) Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
24) D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama
25) Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
26) D.J. Hayden, CB, Houston
27) Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford
28) John Cyprien, S, Florida International
29) Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame
30) Matt Elam, S, Florida

31) Tank Carradine, DE, Florida State
32) Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
33) Menelik Watson, OT, Florida State
34) Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State
35) Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU
36) Arthur Brown, ILB, Kansas State
37) D.J. Swearinger, S, South Carolina
38) Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama
39) Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M
40) Eric Reid, S, LSU

41) Terron Armstead, OT, Arkansas-Pine Bluff
42) DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson
43) Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
44) Datone Jones, DE, UCLA
45) Robert Woods, WR, USC
46) Margus Hunt, DE, SMU
47) Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee
48) Kyle Long, OG, Oregon
49) Kawann Short, DT, Purdue
50) Jonathan Franklin, RB, UCLA
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