Week to Week Scenarios

[Tailgate]

If 49ers can beat the Pats, then we only need to win 2 games to get #1. Let Brady and Manning duke it out. I dont care who we play if we make it to the AFC Champ game. Its a chance to get in.

[thunderkyss]

Originally Posted by Tailgate

If 49ers can beat the Pats, then we only need to win 2 games to get #1. Let Brady and Manning duke it out. I dont care who we play if we make it to the AFC Champ game. Its a chance to get in.

San Francisco won't beat the Pats.

[Lurvinator11]

Originally Posted by Fiddler

San Francisco won't beat the Pats.

Keep talking TK.

It will help.

[Lurvinator11]

Alright. So. Week 15 is almost in the books.

We had some big games, and some big outcomes.

Let's look at the good guys first.

With today's win we clinch our second Division title in a row. I already went out and bought a pennant and my t shirt. Since New England just lost to San Fran (which also made SheTexan a little more happy than us) that means we also clinch a number 1 seed, with a win at home next week.

So here is what we want. One more win.

Either next week, or in Indy, all we need is one more win. We get that Number one seed.

Also, Since New England lost, Denver has the inside track to the Number 2 seed. They need to win out, and doing that should be easy for them. They have Cleveland next week, and Kansas City the following week.

So with a first round bye, We could potentially get Baltimore in the Divisional Matchup, and Denver or New England in the Championship game. Of course, we shouldn't speculate.

Here is the bad Scenario though. If we lose our next two, we will get the #3 seed and miss out on a first round bye.

So take care of business next week, and we will have the inside track to the Super Bowl.

[Lurvinator11]

I haven't been posting much here lately, as I have been at home for the winter break.

Even after today's sour loss, we are still in the drivers seat for a #1 seed. Say what you want, and I know this loss was so bad that we are now questioning the team in general, but right now, all we can do is hope that we get back on track. Real quick, I want to point out two examples from previous years. In 2009, The Saints clinched HFA with a win to go 13-0. After that, they lost their last three, and many people had wondered if the Aints were back. They took that much needed bye week off, and then proceeded to march to the Super Bowl title. I bet Saints fans felt bad going in, but you never know what will happen. Another example, are last years champions. The Giants lost to the lowly Redskins, and many people thought that even if they made the Playoffs, they would be a first or second round exit. We all know how they responded. I can't explain why this team has faltered, and as a fan it is really scary to see it now. But don't lose hope, my fellow fans. We need to put everything on the line, because once the playoffs start, it is a whole new season, and anything can go.

On to the scenarios.

The two Wild Cards in the AFC are locked up.
#6 The Bengals
#5 The Colts

Now the lowest we can fall is to the #3 seed.
Here are the matches for the 4 Division winners in the AFC

Texans @ Colts
Chiefs @ Broncos
Dolphins @ Patriots
Ravens @ Bengals

Now with the playoff seed locked in for the Colts and Bengals, it would not surprise me at all if they rested their starters. Since they are going to be playing the following week, you don't want to suffer an injury at the hands of the Ravens or Texans. As for the Broncos and Patriots, both home games against divisional foes. Kansas is not good at all this year. They will most likely have the first pick overall in Aprils draft. The Dolphins on the other hand could play spoiler, but I do not see that happening. I expect wins from both teams. So where does that put us?

The Texans will clinch the #1 seed with a win, OR a loss by both Denver AND New England.
The Texans can also clinch a first round bye if Denver OR New England lose.

So even with a loss next week, the Texans could still get HFA. I doubt that would happen though. I just don't see Denver or New England losing. So we gotta take care of business the hard way, and do it on our own.

Now, assuming we lose, and the Broncos and Patriots win, we would then fall to the #3 seed. That is the furthest we can fall, since the best Baltimore can finish with is an 11-5 record. If we do lose, and the Patriots and Broncos win, that would set up a rematch of last years Wild Card weekend match with The Bengals. I know all of us, would much rather have a bye week going in.

Now, as for the other scenarios, If the Pats win, and the Broncos lose, The Pats will get a first round bye. Either way, if we win, I see either New England or Denver having the 2 and 3 seed.

Finally, it is possible for the Patriots to fall all the way to #4.

If the Texans, Broncos, and Ravens win, while the Patriots lose, the Patriots would fall to the #4 seed by virtue of tiebreaker with Baltimore.

This will be one of the more interesting weeks in history. So many teams need a win, and a lot is at stake. Like I said, it would not surprise me if the Colts sat their starters. Even if it is an ugly win, it still puts at home, and if you remember from earlier, that's all the Saints needed to win the Super Bowl.

Let's get a win this Sunday. First time in Indy!

[Norg]

scenario ... Beat indy after that all is gravy

[thunderkyss]

Originally Posted by Lurvinator11

Even after today's sour loss, we are still in the drivers seat for a #1 seed. Say what you want, and I know this loss was so bad that we are now questioning the team in general, but right now, all we can do is hope that we get back on track. Real quick...

For me, & I'm sure others, it's not simply that we lost, but how we lost, again. I'm usually pretty optimistic when it comes to this team. As much as I say I don't like Schaub or Kubiak, I do believe they possess enough competence that what we saw yesterday would only happen rarely & against the best competition.

But we've seen it five times this year. Against GB (#10 defense), Tennessee (#25 defense), New England (#27 defense), Indianapolis (#26 defense), and Minnesota (#16 defense).

I also liked to believe that they know enough to do what it takes to get the win. Not as flashy as Belichick & Brady, but just as effective. Losing the last two out of three has caused serious doubt.

And giving up in both the Patriot & Viking game, without ever turning it on... more questions.

I know this team can play better than it has in the last 4 weeks, but have no idea why they aren't. 4 weeks in a row tells me they don't either.