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Old 12-02-2012   #22
brakos82
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Default Re: 2012 Playoff Picture

Half of the AFC teams have been determined... will post NFC's status after Monday Night Football.

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Percentages are odds of earning that playoff position or better.
Please note this list is NOT sorted by "if playoffs started today", this is based on the odds of each team earning a playoff spot.

Controls Destiny for this spot
Does Not Control Destiny, but still alive
* Hardest remaining schedule in conference
** Easiest remaining schedule in conference
# Plays Monday Night

AFC Playoff Picture - after week 12

Division Leaders:

Texans (11-1)... HFA 80%... Top-2 92%... Division 94%... Playoffs 100%. (next week: @NE)
- Clinched playoff berth.
- Can clinch first-round bye with win and TEN win.
- Can clinch #1 seed with HOU, TEN, WAS, and OAK wins.
Patriots (9-3)... HFA 15%... Top-2 37%... Division 100%. (next week: HOU)
- Clinched division.
Ravens (9-3)... HFA 2%... Top-2 35%... Division 94%... Playoffs 99%.
- Can clinch playoffs with win, or SD and DAL wins
- Can clinch division with win and SD, DAL wins
Broncos (9-3)... HFA 2%... Top-2 34%... Division 100%.
- Clinched division.

Wild-Cards:

Colts (8-4) (3 behind HOU)... HFA <1%... Top-2 2%... Division 5%... Playoffs 89%.
Steelers (7-5) (2 behind BAL)... Top-2 <1%... Division 8%... Playoffs 70%.

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Bengals (7-5) (2 behind BAL)... Top-2 <1%... Division 4%... Playoffs 33%.

Close to elimination:

Jets (5-7) Playoffs: 4%.
- Can be eliminated from playoffs with loss and IND win.
Bills (5-7) Playoffs: 2%.
- Can be eliminated from playoffs with loss and PIT, CIN, IND wins.
Dolphins (5-7) Playoffs: 1%.
- Can be eliminated from playoffs with loss and PIT, CIN, IND wins.
Chargers (4-8) Playoffs: <1%.
- Can be eliminated from playoffs with loss.
Titans (4-8) Playoffs: <1%.
- Can be eliminated from playoffs with loss.
Browns (4-8) Playoffs: <1%.
- Can be eliminated from playoffs with loss, or PIT, CIN, IND wins.

Eliminated:

Raiders (3-9)
Chiefs (2-10)
Jaguars (2-10)
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