Just to throw some numbers at this toolbag's head....
The rookie quarterback T.J. Yates has played better than he has been given credit for. His Adjusted Yards Per Attempt (which accounts for sacks and interceptions) is higher than that of his counterpart Joe Flacco this season. Houston’s defense doesn’t get the press that Baltimore’s does, but it’s one of the very best. This season, the Texans have allowed 5.2 Yards per Attempt compared with the Ravens’ 5.4. I expect a much closer game than most other analysts have been predicting. Using Yates’s numbers only, Baltimore has the edge 52/48.