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Old 08-17-2011   #61
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

Today marks 12th day in a row in 70s for Seattle, and 21st of last 23 days. Now that's a weather pattern to get stuck in!
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For being the most intelligent form of life on our planet, we sure do some incredibly stupid things.
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Old 08-19-2011   #62
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

Well, some hurricane season huh? I think I might have felt a slight breeze today from the coastal area, maybe a storm is brewin'.
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Old 08-19-2011   #63
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

Tropical Storm Harvey continues to batter Honduras with heavy rainfall... the storm's center is off-shore, and development to minor hurricane status is possible before moving over Central America tomorrow... Harvey will not be a threat to the U.S.

Invest 97 is currently expected to develop over the next day or so... model tracks point I-97 through the Caribbean islands of Puerto Rico, Hispanola, and Cuba... before exiting into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. How much interaction I-97 has with these islands will determine its condition in the gulf... I-97 is expected to move in GOMEX around Wednesday.

Two areas of interest in the Cape Verdes... looking very disorganized... will not develop anytime soon.
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Old 08-21-2011   #64
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

Invest 97 has now become Tropical Storm Irene... tied for 2nd-earliest 9th named storm (tie 1936, 2005)... currently impacting the Antilles. Irene may become hurricane before interaction with Hispanola and Cuba... expected to be tropical storm moving over Florida keys Thursday, but forecast very uncertain... if Irene enters the Gulf or open Atlantic, she could restrengthen and become a hurricane.

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For being the most intelligent form of life on our planet, we sure do some incredibly stupid things.
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Old 08-21-2011   #65
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

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Invest 97 has now become Tropical Storm Irene... tied for 2nd-earliest 9th named storm (tie 1936, 2005)... currently impacting the Antilles. Irene may become hurricane before interaction with Hispanola and Cuba... expected to be tropical storm moving over Florida keys Thursday, but forecast very uncertain... if Irene enters the Gulf or open Atlantic, she could restrengthen and become a hurricane.

Hopefully it will curve into the Atlantic and miss Florida.
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Old 08-21-2011   #66
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

.....or come to Austin and pull up a chair.
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Old 08-22-2011   #67
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

What could be considered worst-case scenario for the southeast Atlantic coast has just happened.... the center of Hurricane Irene will miss Hispanola. Irene took a northerly trend to the north of the island overnight, and is now sitting about 75 miles north of the eastern tip of the island. Irene is currently forecasted to be a major hurricane as it skirts the Florida peninsula and heads towards South Carolina.
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For being the most intelligent form of life on our planet, we sure do some incredibly stupid things.
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Old 08-22-2011   #68
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

I feel sorry for the folks where this one hits. Anything over a cat 2 is really bad.
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Old 08-22-2011   #69
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

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Originally Posted by brakos82 View Post
What could be considered worst-case scenario for the southeast Atlantic coast has just happened.... the center of Hurricane Irene will miss Hispanola. Irene took a northerly trend to the north of the island overnight, and is now sitting about 75 miles north of the eastern tip of the island. Irene is currently forecasted to be a major hurricane as it skirts the Florida peninsula and heads towards South Carolina.
So its looking like it misses South Florida and will instead hit the Carolinas?
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Old 08-22-2011   #70
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

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So its looking like it misses South Florida and will instead hit the Carolinas?
Yep. The steering trough is moving into position earlier than originally expected... and with Irene's recent intensification (now a cat-2), we could see a path more towards North Carolina.
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For being the most intelligent form of life on our planet, we sure do some incredibly stupid things.
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Old 08-23-2011   #71
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

If its anywhere close to a 3 at landfall its going to be bad. But at least you will see Stephanie Abrams in a tight t-shirt on some beach somewhere.

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Old 08-23-2011   #72
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

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If its anywhere close to a 3 at landfall its going to be bad. But at least you will see Stephanie Abrams in a tight t-shirt on some beach somewhere.



Irene has big ones too.....

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Old 08-23-2011   #73
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

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For being the most intelligent form of life on our planet, we sure do some incredibly stupid things.
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Old 08-24-2011   #74
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

The projected path (which changes daily, of course) now has it hitting NY city as a cat 1. If that happens, we'll be hearing about this for years.
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Old 08-24-2011   #75
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

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The projected path (which changes daily, of course) now has it hitting NY city as a cat 1. If that happens, we'll be hearing about this for years.
At least the Hurricane will chase Obama off Martha's Vineyard a couple of days early.
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Old 08-24-2011   #76
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

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Yep. The steering trough is moving into position earlier than originally expected... and with Irene's recent intensification (now a cat-2), we could see a path more towards North Carolina.
It looks like Florida is not gonna get hit, but I imagine Florida will get some rain though, right?
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Old 08-25-2011   #77
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

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Originally Posted by Doppelganger View Post
It looks like Florida is not gonna get hit, but I imagine Florida will get some rain though, right?
The East coast of Florida will likely get an outer rain band, and plenty of high surf as well... probably not much more than everyday thundershowers there.

Also, after dusting off the cobwebs I found Irene's ancestor from 1821.
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Old 08-25-2011   #78
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

did this have anything to do with what hit houston last night? the rainfall was fairly weak here in katy, but it's been a while since i've seen such a lightning storm.
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Old 08-25-2011   #79
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

Shit, I am flying into JFK on Saturday (not a problem), and have a flight to Columbus at 7:30 PM (could be a problem). What are the odds my flight gets cancelled?
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Old 08-25-2011   #80
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Default Re: 2011 Hurricane Season

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Shit, I am flying into JFK on Saturday (not a problem), and have a flight to Columbus at 7:30 PM (could be a problem). What are the odds my flight gets cancelled?
It's likely you'll have problems leaving JFK... once Irene goes extra-tropical (which will happen not long after NC landfall) the storm will be accelerating northwards to NYC and could hamper travel well before the center of Irene's arrival... best bet is to check with your airline, many are offering waivers for flight change fees.

Quick check online at the JFK airport is that almost all Saturday flights will be delayed or cancelled.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...544194282.html
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