2012 Hurricane Season

[Showtime100]

Originally Posted by Heath Shuler

Luv Ya Blue!!!

[Thorn]

Aw man, and I was thinking of driving to Lufkin this weekend. Oh well, we could use the rain.

[brakos82]

The official forecast for Don agrees with what most of the models have been suggesting over the past 24 hours. Don will make its way toward the northwest over the next 48 hours before making landfall somewhere between Brownsville and Galveston. The statistical models tend to suggest a more southerly track toward Brownsville, and the dynamical models are forecasting anything from Corpus Christi to Galveston. They all tend to agree landfall will occur late on the 29th (Friday night). Whether or not Don will reach hurricane status is still in question. The Hurricane Center's initial forecast is that Don will remain a tropical storm until landfall. Today some models were intensifying Don to a strong tropical storm, but none crossed the hurricane threshold. Now that we have data from aircraft reconnaissance, the models will be able to get a better handle on potential intensity. The runs that occur later tonight and early tomorrow will have much less uncertainty than those from today.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

[brakos82]

a tropical storm watch is in effect for...
* Port Mansfield northward to west of San Luis Pass

[GuerillaBlack]

Never thought I'd be excited and want a tropical system to come to Texas. We need some rain.

[Thorn]

Looking at the adjusted maps this morning, this thing seems like it won't come near Houston. I'm both happy and sad about that. We could have used the rain.

[Khari]

Don = weenie

[GlassHalfFull]

Originally Posted by Khari

Don = weenie

^^^^^this.

[brakos82]

A new system is beginning to form near the Lesser Antilles. This system is expected to become TD5 or Emily in the next day or so as it moves northwestward towards Puerto Rico, Hispanola, and the eastern Bahamas. Current models call for a northerly turn before moving into the central Bahamas, possibly grazing the U.S. coast, before turning northeast. As far as U.S. is concerned, northeast Florida to the Outer Banks could feel some effects of this system as it turns north and eventually northeast.

[brakos82]

Tropical Storm Emily has formed over the Lesser Antilles. Emily is expected to move over Hispanola within the next 48 hours, then head over the Bahamas. Current forecast tracks have Emily making landfall on the east-central Florida coastline this weekend, possibly as a cat-1 hurricane. The storm's development greatly depends on interaction with land masses over the next few days, and may strengthen at times to hurricane status. After approaching Florida, Emily may follow the southeast U.S. coast northwards to the Outer Banks over the weekend and into early next week.

[Doppelganger]

Originally Posted by brakos82

Tropical Storm Emily has formed over the Lesser Antilles. Emily is expected to move over Hispanola within the next 48 hours, then head over the Bahamas. Current forecast tracks have Emily making landfall on the east-central Florida coastline this weekend, possibly as a cat-1 hurricane. The storm's development greatly depends on interaction with land masses over the next few days, and may strengthen at times to hurricane status. After approaching Florida, Emily may follow the southeast U.S. coast northwards to the Outer Banks over the weekend and into early next week.

Emily was shredded over the Hatian mountains.

[brakos82]

There are currently 3 areas of interest, along with a tropical depression, in the North Atlantic basin. Of these systems, only one has a decent chance of impacting the U.S. within the next couple weeks, and this system won't be moving into the eastern Caribbean for several days.

[Showtime100]

Originally Posted by brakos82

There are currently 3 areas of interest, along with a tropical depression, in the North Atlantic basin. Of these systems, only one has a decent chance of impacting the U.S. within the next couple weeks, and this system won't be moving into the eastern Caribbean for several days.

Plant one right over Austin my man. If I see a newsman/woman tell me to drink plenty of liquids like I'm 10 one more time.............

[Thorn]

Damn, you made me check. There are actually four advisories out right now for the Atlantic, none of which look worrisome for us. Of course that means jack squat when it comes to weather.

[brakos82]

Tropical Storm Gert brushed against Bermuda earlier today, and now eyes are set on Invest 93, which is currently over the Lesser Antilles. While development is not expected within the next day or so, this system will enter a more favorable environment Wednesday.

[Doppelganger]

Originally Posted by brakos82

Tropical Storm Gert brushed against Bermuda earlier today, and now eyes are set on Invest 93, which is currently over the Lesser Antilles. While development is not expected within the next day or so, this system will enter a more favorable environment Wednesday.

Is it headed to East coast, Midwest or Florida?

[brakos82]

Originally Posted by Doppelganger

Is it headed to East coast, Midwest or Florida?

If you mean Gert, that's dead and gone in the northern Atlantic. The invest appears to be Yucatan-bound right now.

[GlassHalfFull]

I never can remember rooting for a nice little hurricane to hit us before. :rain:

[SheTexan]

I think we should all just move to Seattle with Brakos!! Rain, temps in the 70s ALL THE FRIGGIN SUMMER, beautiful area, etc!! BUT, no Texan football!! Guess I'll just have to sweat it out!!

[brakos82]

Originally Posted by SheTexan

I think we should all just move to Seattle with Brakos!! Rain, temps in the 70s ALL THE FRIGGIN SUMMER, beautiful area, etc!! BUT, no Texan football!! Guess I'll just have to sweat it out!!

Just wait till November.... then I get to brag to the midwest/northeast states.