2012 Hurricane Season

[awtysst]

In all seriousness, I really hope that we are spared any serious hurricanes or any damage this year. We really cannot afford more problems this summer.

[Showtime100]

Originally Posted by awtysst

In all seriousness, I really hope that we are spared any serious hurricanes or any damage this year. We really cannot afford more problems this summer.

I would like some harmless Tropical Storm(s) to come in and plant itself right over Austin like what happened last year.

[GlassHalfFull]

I have a nasty feeling that Houston is going to move straight from drought to flood with no steps in between.

[brakos82]

A tropical disturbance currently moving over the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche has potential for development. The NHC is giving this system a 50% chance of development in the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, most of the moisture will be moving west-northwest towards northeastern Mexico over the next few days.

[brakos82]

We have our first tropical storm of the season, Arlene, which formed this afternoon in the Bay of Campeche. The storm's track has it heading for Northeast Mexico, and unfortunately for the drought-stricken Southwest US, the storm's track will continue to push westward through Mexico, instead of making a northerly turn. The southern tip of Texas may receive some rainfall, but over 90% of the state will likely remain untouched by Arlene.

[brakos82]

Arlene continues its march towards the east-central Mexican coast. While Arlene is getting better organized in the southwest Gulf, it's not expected to reach hurricane strength before reaching land. Tropical Storm Warnings are up for the east-central Mexican coastline.

[TexanSam]

Originally Posted by brakos82

Arlene continues its march towards the east-central Mexican coast. While Arlene is getting better organized in the southwest Gulf, it's not expected to reach hurricane strength before reaching land. Tropical Storm Warnings are up for the east-central Mexican coastline.

Damnit, mother nature needs to let out a huge fart from the south and push it a little closer to Texas. We need rain!

[Showtime100]

Originally Posted by TexanSam

Damnit, mother nature needs to let out a huge fart from the south and push it a little closer to Texas. We need rain!

Hey Sam, I saw on the news last week in San Marcos if you go to a restaurant you now must ask for water otherwise you won't get it. I'll bet that makes for awkward situations with thirsty customers not from the area.

[TexanSam]

Originally Posted by Showtime100

Hey Sam, I saw on the news last week in San Marcos if you go to a restaurant you now must ask for water otherwise you won't get it. I'll bet that makes for awkward situations with thirsty customers not from the area.

Yeah I read about that in the local newspaper. Honestly, it's usually like that to begin with. Besides the local Saltgrass, I can't think of any restaurant that serves people water without asking. Restaurants in San Marcos aren't exactly known for their service. I think some of them were supposed to give water prior to the new restrictions but the waiters are so bad they just forgot.

[brakos82]

While the Atlantic basin remains quiet, southern Japan needs to be prepared for a strong typhoon around Tuesday of next week. Typhoon Ma-On, currently a category 3 storm, has just passed the northern Marianas, and will be making a northwesterly curve towards the southern portion of Japan... storm strength is hard to predict 5 days out, but current forecasts put Ma-On as a category 3 typhoon when it makes landfall.

[brakos82]

Tropical Storm Bret formed earlier today over the northwestern Bahamas. Bret's path will keep the core of the system off of the U.S. coast... although the Florida peninsula may receive some rain from Bret over the next day or two. Bret is not expected to become a hurricane, or be a threat to anything other than NW Bahamas, Bermuda, or marine traffic.



Typhoon Ma-On continues to threaten Japan, currently a minimal category 2 typhoon... winds are expected to increase again before impact along the southern coast as a strong cat-2 or a cat-3 storm sometime late Tuesday local time.

[brakos82]

As Tropical Storm Bret continues to pull to the northeast, about 300 miles off the U.S. coast, Tropical Storm Cindy has formed ahead of its path, over 600 miles northeast of Bermuda. Cindy will not be a threat to Bermuda, Canada, or the U.S., although the remnants of this storm will likely push into the British Isles or northern France in about a week.

In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Dora, now a cat-3, continues to run parallel to the western Mexican coastline. No direct impact is expected from Dora, although high surf and rainfall will be felt along the coast. Dora could likely make a pass at Baja California sometime Friday or early Saturday, likely as a cat-1 or cat-2 hurricane.

[Heath Shuler]

1. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND RADAR
DATA FROM MEXICO SUGGESTS THAT A CIRCULATION COULD BE FORMING ABOUT
50 MILES NORTHEAST OF CANCUN. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD DEVELOP LATER TODAY. INTERESTS IN THE
NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY.

[Heath Shuler]

[sakebomb]

Well this is about right. We have a beach house rented for the upcoming weekend. FML.

[TEXANS84]

FYI-
GFDL is usually the most accurate.

[Heath Shuler]

It's DON



http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4...daynl#contents

[Marcus]

Well, it looks like folks will finally get to do some tubing on the Guadalupe, ayy??

I heard it's been drier than a popcorn fart up there lately.

[Marcus]

Those forecast tracks always seem to veer more northward as it gets closer to the coast. I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up in Louisiana.

[TexanSam]

Originally Posted by Marcus

Well, it looks like folks will finally get to do some tubing on the Guadalupe, ayy??

I heard it's been drier than a popcorn fart up there lately.

The Guadalupe is pretty bad. Ankle deep in some place. Tubing's almost impossible right now on that river.

This storm is much needed everywhere in Texas.