2011 Top RBs Fantasy Football

[thunderkyss]

So,

Who are your top ten RBs for 2011?

[Lucky]

1) Arian Foster - He's complete. He plays in a top offense. And he was head and shoulders the best fantasy RB in 2010. What's changed?
2) Adrian Peterson - I'm concerned about the lack of a passing game to take the pressure off of Peterson. Still, he's good for 1300+ yds and 15 TDs.
3) Chris Johnson - He's had results without a passing game to back him up. I'm worried about an extended holdout, more than anything.
4) Peyton Hillis - I think the Browns will have more scoring opportunities in 2011, and that means more TDs for Hillis.
5) Jamaal Charles - He had a monster 2010, but he doesn't get the red zone touches.
6) Maurice Jones-Drew - Is MJD beginning to wear down? The Jags need to limit his touches.
7) Michael Turner - If he were a 3 down back, I'd rank him much higher.
8) Rashard Mendenhall - Solid, but not flashy.
9) Matt Forte - A safe pick, good for 1500+ total yards and 10 TDs.
10) Ray Rice - Will the Ravens finally give Rice some red zone touches? If so, I would put Rice 3 or 4 spots higher.

[dc_txtech]

1. Foster
2. Peterson
3. Johnson
4. MJD
5. Charles
6. Mendenhall
7. MCcoy
8. Hillis
9. Turner
10. Rice

[Dutchrudder]

Too early to evaluate them. Need to see what happens in free agency. If Leach leaves the Texans, I'd drop Foster to the bottom of the top 10.

[dc_txtech]

Originally Posted by Dutchrudder

Too early to evaluate them. Need to see what happens in free agency. If Leach leaves the Texans, I'd drop Foster to the bottom of the top 10.

True, I'm sure my top ten will change drastically by the time my draft comes around. Hell, it's changed in the couple of hours since I wrote it.

Still fun to think about.

[Texecutioner]

Originally Posted by Dutchrudder

Too early to evaluate them. Need to see what happens in free agency. If Leach leaves the Texans, I'd drop Foster to the bottom of the top 10.

You're right that it's to early, but you could still do one for these current circumstances. Might be interesting to see how things change.

I'll make mine later as I don't have the time.

I disagree that Leach being gone would put Foster at the bottom of the top ten. You have to remember that the Texans could possibly end up with a guy that's pretty effective to replace him. I think you'd need to see at least one season without Leach to think him being gone with impact Foster's production that much. I think that a healthy Ben Tate will effect Foster's production more than anything if Tate ends up being pretty good and that would be a good thing.

[Allstar]

If the Texans are in the red zone, you can bet your bottom dollar that Foster is getting the ball. He will get TDs.

[Dutchrudder]

Originally Posted by dc_txtech

True, I'm sure my top ten will change drastically by the time my draft comes around. Hell, it's changed in the couple of hours since I wrote it.

Still fun to think about.

Originally Posted by Texecutioner

You're right that it's to early, but you could still do one for these current circumstances. Might be interesting to see how things change.

I'll make mine later as I don't have the time.

I disagree that Leach being gone would put Foster at the bottom of the top ten. You have to remember that the Texans could possibly end up with a guy that's pretty effective to replace him. I think you'd need to see at least one season without Leach to think him being gone with impact Foster's production that much. I think that a healthy Ben Tate will effect Foster's production more than anything if Tate ends up being pretty good and that would be a good thing.

I can agree with the sentiment, but when I study for fantasy football, I don't just sit around and think about what these guys will do. I'll take into account how the team's chemistry will change with the addition of new players (Falcons getting #2 WR = less rushes), loss of players (LEACH!!!), change in offensive schemes or OCs (Browns' Hillis should have an average year), injury potential and defensive strength of schedule. It's just a lot of work to go through for something that I won't really begin until rosters are set for the most part.

So here's my 'half-hearted' list of RBs as it stands now:

1. AP (Run-first team with rookie QB)
2. CJ (Run-first team with rookie QB)
3. Charles (Matt Cassel will continue to suck)
4. McCoy (LeSean coupled with Vick opens up a lot of field for him to run)
5. Foster (I think he will see quite a few less carries, and Ward and Tate should get more carries for the Three Headed Monster known as "The Tardster")
6. Rice (Flacco's not a great QB, but he gets the ball to Rice a lot because of that. Rice ought to be top 5 RB in PPR leagues)
7. Mendenhall (Seems about right for him, slight improvement from last year)
8. MJD (I have trouble putting him here, I think he starts to break down in 2011)
9. Steven Jackson (Still waiting for this guy to fall apart, but he's a solid 8-12 RB each year)
10. Matt Forte (Should have remarkable improvement behind new O-line draftees. Had great averages last year, but not enough attempts)

[Rey]

Originally Posted by Dutchrudder

I can agree with the sentiment, but when I study for fantasy football, I don't just sit around and think about what these guys will do. I'll take into account how the team's chemistry will change with the addition of new players (Falcons getting #2 WR = less rushes), loss of players (LEACH!!!), change in offensive schemes or OCs (Browns' Hillis should have an average year), injury potential and defensive strength of schedule. It's just a lot of work to go through for something that I won't really begin until rosters are set for the most part.

So here's my 'half-hearted' list of RBs as it stands now:

1. AP (Run-first team with rookie QB)
2. CJ (Run-first team with rookie QB)
3. Charles (Matt Cassel will continue to suck)
4. McCoy (LeSean coupled with Vick opens up a lot of field for him to run)
5. Foster (I think he will see quite a few less carries, and Ward and Tate should get more carries for the Three Headed Monster known as "The Tardster")
6. Rice (Flacco's not a great QB, but he gets the ball to Rice a lot because of that. Rice ought to be top 5 RB in PPR leagues)
7. Mendenhall (Seems about right for him, slight improvement from last year)
8. MJD (I have trouble putting him here, I think he starts to break down in 2011)
9. Steven Jackson (Still waiting for this guy to fall apart, but he's a solid 8-12 RB each year)
10. Matt Forte (Should have remarkable improvement behind new O-line draftees. Had great averages last year, but not enough attempts)

Are you saying mcnabb won't start in minny?

[El Tejano]

I will continue to go with Steven Jackson until he proves to me he is no longer the man. Gets me in the playoffs every year.

[b0ng]

Originally Posted by El Tejano

I will continue to go with Steven Jackson until he proves to me he is no longer the man. Gets me in the playoffs every year.

The Rams signed somebody thats pretty good to go with SJax, I can't remember who it is now.

[dc_txtech]

Originally Posted by Rey

Are you saying mcnabb won't start in minny?

I believe that was written before Mcnabb signed with the Vikings.

[Dutchrudder]

Originally Posted by Rey

Are you saying mcnabb won't start in minny?

I wrote that before the trade went down. I still don't think they do much passing with their terrible WRs. Percy Harvin is the #1 there? Bleh. Watch for Peterson to have the best season of his career.

[thunderkyss]

What would yall say if someone picked Michael Turner with the #2 pick in the draft?

[Dutchrudder]

Originally Posted by thunderkyss

What would yall say if someone picked Michael Turner with the #2 pick in the draft?

I would say they are a HUGE Falcons fan, or a huge dumbass. If I had the #3 pick, I would encourage them to stick with their gut instincts in the future.

[thunderkyss]

Originally Posted by Dutchrudder

I would say they are a HUGE Falcons fan, or a huge dumbass. If I had the #3 pick, I would encourage them to stick with their gut instincts in the future.

:

I'm curious what some of the fantasy gurus think about two guys:

Maurice Jones-Drew
Steven Jackson

[BetaV1]

I've usually seen the opposite of thunder's situation: Frank goes 2nd round, Hillis goes 3rd. Hillis strikes me as a big time bust. If there's in the 3rd, yeah, I'll grab him, but no sooner. Frank Gore is getting up there in age and whatnot, but he's still a lock for a smidge over 1,000 yards and a few touchdowns each year.

Your wide receiving core is stable enough. You have a lock with Dez Bryant. Ocho Cinco and Plaxico Burress provide plenty of boom potential, and one of them will pay off.

Who are your quarterbacks and defenses?

[The Pencil Neck]

Originally Posted by thunderkyss

What would yall say if someone picked Michael Turner with the #2 pick in the draft?

You know, my initial reaction was "Are you serious? Michael Turner?"

But the more I think about it, the better he actually sounds as a high pick. I wouldn't have a problem with him as the #2 guy although I think it will probably raise some eyebrows.

[thunderkyss]

Originally Posted by The Pencil Neck

You know, my initial reaction was "Are you serious? Michael Turner?"

But the more I think about it, the better he actually sounds as a high pick. I wouldn't have a problem with him as the #2 guy although I think it will probably raise some eyebrows.

I took Arian Foster.

Couldn't pass him up, I thought the other guy would take him with the #1 over all.

Foster
Hillis
Gore
Matthews
Spiller

I got CJ Spiller in the 9th... what do you think about that?