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Old 01-19-2005   #1
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Default Mock Draft, Edition 1 You're Going to Like This

Starting today and going through every Wednesday, I will present a new mock draft with explinations and other possibilities, so without further adue, lets get it started.

Please comment as I'd like to hear your opinion on each of the selections.

1) San Francisco 49ers: Aaron Rodgers, QB California
Rodgers came on strong this year and has become a local hero in San Francisco. Rodgers led a Cal team from being one of the celler dwellers of the NCAA to a top 10 program by seasons end. New coach Mike Nolan might be interested in going elsewhere however, but I still believe that they will end up taking Aaron Rodgers on the same basis the Lions took Charles Rogers over Andre Johnson just 2 years ago.

Other Possibilities: Alex Smith, QB Utah; Derrick Johnson, LB Texas; Mike Williams, WR, USC; Antrel Rolle, CB Miami (FL);

2) Miami Dolphins: Alex Smith, QB Utah
I am basing this pick on the fact that it is overwhelmingly likely that the Dolphins will either score Shaun Alexander, Travis Henry, or Edgerrin James in the off-season via free agency. People forget that this team, with a solid running game, was one of the toughest teams to beat just 2 years ago. Smith, who is much quicker and smarter than either A.J. Feely or Jay Fiedler, might be able to bring this team back to a playoff contender in his first year in the league. I feel Nick Saban will want to find his guy at quarterback that can lead the team to prominence for many years to come.

Other Possibilities: Cedric Benson, RB Texas; Carnell Williams, RB Auburn; Ronnie Brown, RB Auburn; Derrick Johnson, LB Texas; Aaron Rodgers, QB California;

3) Cleveland Browns: Alex Barron, OT Florida State
With the only quarterbacks worth this high of a pick gone, Romeo Crennel turns to another pressing need that they've struggled with since the beginning of the new Browns in 1999, Left Tackle. This may be a few spots too high for Barron, but the Browns might realize that the line may have helped in causing injuries to Jeff Garcia and Kelly Holcomb, the top 2 quarterbacks on their depth chart. If they do decide to go defense, which might be very well possible with Phil Savage (Baltimore) and Romeo Crennel (New England) calling the shots, look for Derrick Johnson or Antrel Rolle to be taken here. Until then, my money is on Barron.

Other Possibilities: Aaron Rodgers, QB California; Alex Smith, QB Utah; Antrell Rolle, CB Miami (FL); Derrick Johnson, LB Texas; Pac Man Jones, CB West Virginia;

4) Chicago Bears: Mike Williams, WR USC
This is probably the most sure-fire pick in the draft that a blindfolded monkey could have projected. It's been painfully obvious that the Bears lack a #1 receiver since they decided to part ways with Marty Booker to sure up their defense (which didn't happen). Williams will not burn you with his speed, but will be a quality #1 that has hands made of gold. With Williams, 3rd year quarterback in Rex Grossman, and a resurgant Thomas Jones, this tandem could cause fear for the NFC North for many years to come. If Alex Barron falls here, however, they may think of taking him and moving John Tait over to the right side, shoring up what could be the best tackle combo in football.

Other Possibilities: Braylon Edwards, WR Michigan; Alex Barron, OT Florida State;

5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Cedric Benson, RB Texas
Jon Gruden found a good year to get a running back. With the 5th pick, he will have his options of Benson, Carnell Williams, and Ronnie Brown to pick from. I believe he'll go with the sturdy and dependable Benson. Benson has shown he can be tough and has shown signs that he can be a good pass catcher out of the backfield as well. If Mike Williams drops to here, he will also be considered in the running.

Other Possibilities: Ronnie Brown, RB Auburn; Carnell Williams, RB Auburn; Braylon Edwards, WR Michigan; Mike Williams, WR USC; Alex Barron, LT Florida State;

6) Tennessee Titans: Derrick Johnson, OLB Texas
1 word should describe this for any Texans fan: NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO. I don't even want to imagine Keith Bullick and Derrick Johnson on the same linebacking core, but it might become a reality April 25. If Alex Barron somehow finds his way to #6, he will most likely get the nod over Johnson or any other prospect at this point.

Other Possibilities: Alex Barron, OT Florida State; Antrell Rolle, CB Miami (FL); Pac Man Jones, CB West Virginia; Erasmus James, DE Wisconsin; (If Barron isnít there, look for the Titans to trade down and take Jammal Brown, OT from Oklahoma later in the draft.)

7) Oakland Raiders: Carnell Williams, RB Auburn
Odds are he won't be a Raider. The more likely scenario is Shaun Alexander signing on March 4, 2005. Until that day comes, I think that Williams becomes the feature back in Oakland. Injurie concerns could drop Williams down into the 20's of the draft, but I still feel he's the #2 running back on the board and will be a great pick up for Oakland. Don't rule out WR, OLB or a QB here as well.

Other Possibilities: Cedric Benson, RB Texas; Ronnie Brown, RB Auburn; Derrick Johnson, OLB Texas; Dan Cody, OLB Oklahoma; Braylon Edwards, WR Michigan; Mike Williams, WR USC; Aaron Rodgers, QB California; Alex Smith, QB Utah;

8) Arizona: Ronnie Brown, RB Auburn
For four straight picks two pairs of teammates go back to back (don't worry, won't happen again.) I feel that if any of the big 3 running backs are here, one will be going to Arizona. Even if it means passing on Alex Smith from Utah. What a difficult team to figure out draft-wise.

Other Possibilities: Carnell Williams, RB Auburn; Cedric Benson, RB Texas; Aaron Rodgers, QB California; Alex Smith, QB Utah; Justin Miller, CB Clemson; Antrell Rolle, CB Miami (FL); Pac Man Jones, CB West Virginia; Travis Johnson, DT Florida State; Erasmus James, DE Wisconsin; Derrick Johnson, OLB Texas;

9) Washington Redskins: Braylon Edwards, WR Michigan
Do you think Joe Gibbs is happy that a guy with Edwards talent dropped this low in the draft? Nope, b/c he knows his team still is terrible. But getting Edwards is a great start. Losing Rod Gardner seems inevitable at this point and Edwards would be a great compliment to an underachieving Lavernaues Coles up in Washington. They could conceiveably (SP) go corner, tight end, or defensive end here, but I feel that Edwards is too valuable to pass up.

Other Possibilities: Mike Williams, WR USC; Elton Brown, OG Virginia; Antrell Rolle, CB Miami (FL); Pac Man Jones, CB West Virginia; Justin Miller, CB Clemson; Dan Cody, DE Oklahoma; Erasmus James, DE Wisconsin; David Pollack, DE Georgia; TE Heath Miller;

10) Detroit Lions: Thomas Davis, SS Georgia
Forget everything you've heard about the Lions being disapointed in Corey Redding's performance, they love him. The one true weakness on that defense is the strong safety position where Bracy Walker has proven his case that he's just a good special teams player. Although Davis isn't great in coverage, he's suitable and they need a good run stopper to stop Ahman Green and Michael Bennett 4 times a year. No doubt in my mind this is who they pick.

Other Possibilities: Erasmus James, DE Wisconsin; David Pollack, DE Georgia; Dan Cody, DE Oklahoma; Ernest Shazor, SS Michigan; Heath Miller, TE Virginia;

11) Dallas Cowboys: Shawne Merrimen, DE Maryland
Anyone remember a guy by the name of John Abraham that came out of South Carolina as an OLB-DE tweener? Okay think that, but 5 times better, and you have Merrimen. He excelled on the same D-Line as Randy Starks last year and probably helped Starks become a dependable rookie in the NFL. Dallas needs defensive line help like none other. With Thomas Davis off the board, there's really no strong safety worth this spot to replace Darren Woodson.

Other Possibilities: Antrel Rolle, CB Miami (FL); Pac Man Jones, CB West Virginia; Erasmus James, DE Wisconsin; Dan Cody, DE Oklahoma; Justin Miller, CB Clemson; Antaaj Hawthorne, DT Wisconsin; Thomas Davis, SS Georgia;

12) San Diego Chargers: Jammal Brown, OT Oklahoma
Roman Oben is not the long term answer at right tackle. Brown has anchored one of the best Offensive lines in the country over the last 3 years and brings a lot of experience to the table that is valuable going to the NFL. Many feel that Brown isn't worth a pick this high, but with the combine workout, I believe he will be this pick without a doubt if Edwards is not here.

Other Possibilities: Dan Cody, OLB Oklahoma; Thomas Davis, SS Georgia; Braylon Edwards, WR Michigan; Mike Williams, WR USC; Shawne Merrimen, OLB Maryland; Derrick Johnson, OLB Texas;

13) Houston Texans: Antrel Rolle, CB Miami (FL)
This may not be the most popular pick of the day, but I don't think I'd be disapointed. Odds are Rolle wouldn't start his first year or two in the NFL, but would be tutored by one of the best coaches and DB's in the game today. While it could be possible to take Heath Miller here, I don't see them passing up a potential pro bowl corner in Rolle if he's available here.

Other Possibilities: Jammal Brown, OT Oklahoma; Marcus Spears, DE LSU; Thomas Davis, SS Georgia; Heath Miller, TE Virginia; Ronnie Brown, RB Auburn; Antaaj Hawthorne, DE Wisconsin; Ernest Shazor, SS Michigan;

14) Carolina Panthers: Heath Miller, TE Virginia
Although it could be very likely this pick becomes possesion of a team trading up to get Travis Johnson away from Cincinnati, I feel that they will take Heath Miller with this pick. Injuries is what killed the Panthers this season, and really, they don't have a true weakness other than the tight end position. Elton Brown could be another possible selection if they decide to move down.

Other Possibilities: Jammal Brown, OT Oklahoma; Elton Brown, OG Virginia; Adam Terry, OT Syracuse;

15) Kansas City Chiefs: Pac Man Jones, CB West Virginia
Talk about a team that needs a defensive playmaker. I don't care where they go on the defense, they just need to get an impact player. It's possible they take a defensive end here, but Holliday and Hicks are quality DE's in their own right. I think they take the best secondary player available, which is Adam "Pac Man" Jones. I'm not too high on Jones, mainly b/c the toughest receiver he went up against other than Thorpe in the bowl game, was King out of Connecticut. We'll see how he does in the workouts, then we'll talk.

Other Possibilities: Antrel Rolle, CB Miami (FL); Erasmus James, DE Wisconsin; David Pollack, DE Georgia; Justin Miller, CB Clemson; Channing Crowder, MLB Florida;
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Old 01-19-2005   #2
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16) New Orleans Saints: Rian Wallace, OLB Temple
Talk about a tough team to figure out draft wise. They wanted to draft D.J. Williams last year but Denver traded up and took him instead. Wallace is an unknown but will end up being a top 20 pick when it's all said and done. Look for them to possibly trade down a few spots as well if someone wants Travis Johnson ahead of Cincinnati.

Other Possibilities: Kevin Burnett, OLB Tennessee; Daryl Blackstock, OLB Virginia; Justin Miller, CB Clemson; Erasmus James, DE Wisconsin; Travis Johnson, DT Florida State;

17) Cincinnati Bengals: Travis Johnson, DT Florida State
Some peoples responses will be saying ABOUT TIME!, but to be honest, I don't think he'll crack higher than this. I've never been impressed while watching him play, but maybe I'm just missing something. The Bengals tried to get Warren Sapp last year, but get themselves a young guy in Johnson.

Other Possibilities: Antaaj Hawthorne, DT Wisconsin; Justin Miller, CB Clemson; Pac Man Jones, CB Clemson; Erasmus James, DE Wisconsin;

18) Minnesota Vikings: Shaun Cody, DT USC
I consider this guy the best Defensive Tackle in the draft this year. Although they have Keneche Udezi and Kevin Williams anchoring the DLine, it's likely they'll need a replacement for Chris Hovan, who's not expected back. Linebackers are also a big concern for the Vikings, but only Channing Crowder is worth this spot, so look for him if they go that direction.

Other Possibilities: Antaaj Hawthorne, DT Wisconsin; Ernest Shazor, SS Michigan; Brodney Pool, SS Oklahoma; Channing Crowder, MLB Florida; Kevin Burnett, OLB Tennessee; Daryl Blackstock, OLB Virginia;

19) St. Louis Rams: Channing Crowder, MLB Florida
After watching the massacre from the Atlanta Falcons, it became painfully obvious that linebackers that can stop the run is much more important than right tackle. Crowder is the only linebacker that is worth this spot and rightfully so. If they do go tackle, it would be a reach to go after Wes Britt or Adam Terry, but it is possible with good workouts that this might not be much of a reach at the #19 slot.

Other Possibilities: Justin Miller, CB Clemson; Kevin Burnett, OLB Tennessee; Daryl Blackstock, OLB Virginia; Carlos Rogers, CB Auburn;

20) Dallas Cowboys: Anttaj Hawthorne, DT Wisconsin
You'd be crazy to not fear the defensive line for the Cowboys if they add Merrimen and Hawthorne this year in the draft. Hawthorne's play was often overshadowed by Erasmus James and Hawthorne had a good season as well. Although he has dropped off from when he was considered a top 5 pick at season's beginning, he is rightfully deserving of a top 20 pick.

Other Possibilities: Carlos Rogers, CB Auburn Justin Miller, CB Clemson; Marlin Jackson, CB Michigan; Ernest Shazor, SS Michigan; Brodney Pool, SS Oklahoma;

21) Jacksonville Jaguars: Erasmus James, DE Wisconsin
Remember earlier I told you there would be no more back to back teammates? I lied. Some of you are probably shocked that no defensive end has gone yet, but I think that it's very likely none go until this pick. James is a top 10 pick if he wasn't injury prone. Unfortunately, he has been unable to stay healthy for 4 years now. If John Henderson and Marcus Stroud alone don't make you scared, just wait until they add either Dan Cody, this guy, or David Pollack. Look for Justin Miller or Carlos Rogers here as well.

Other Possibilities: Carlos Rogers, CB Auburn Justin Miller, CB Clemson; Marlin Jackson, CB Michigan; David Pollack, DE Georgia; Marcus Spears, DE LSU; Dan Cody, DE Oklahoma;

22) Troy Williamson, WR South Carolina
It's obvious the Ravens have been lacking a #1 receiver for awhile now, and Travis Taylor will never be the answer. While pretty much unknown, Williamson might end up going even higher than this with good workouts. I don't see anything else other than this or Roddy White at this spot.

Other Possibilities: Marc Clayton, WR Oklahoma; Roddy White, WR UAB; Carlos Rogers, CB Auburn;

23) Seattle Seahawks: Marion Barber III, RB Minnesota
With Shaun Alexander more than likely out of Seattle, they're going to need a top tier running back to stay in the hunt in the NFC West. Barber doesn't get the publicity that Benson, Brown and Williams do, but some think he's just as good. If Channing Crowder isn't here, I think that this becomes the automatic pick as they can't have Maurice Morris as the star next year on the ground.

Other Possibilities: Ciatrick Fason, RB Florida; Vernand Morency, RB Oklahoma State; Odell Thurman, MLB Georgia; Lance Mitchell, MLB Oklahoma;

24) Green Bay Packers: David Pollack, DE Georgia
Aaron Kampman isn't very good...at all. David Pollack has a ton of value at this pick and more than a Charlie Frye does here. Pollack is a high-motor player that doesn't quit on any given play. He will be a menace for all the offensive tackles all of his career.

25) Denver Broncos: Marcus Spears, DE LSU
This too is going to be a feared line, especially if they add on Corey Simon or Chris Hovan in the off season. Spears is a very athletic player for his size and is a very skilled player. Spears also has a ton of value here. Don't be shocked if Charlie Frye is selected here to be groomed as Jake Plummer's eventual successor.

Other Possibilities: Dan Cody, DE Oklahoma; David Pollack, DE LSU; Charlie Frye, QB Akron;

26) New York Jets: Carlos Rogers, CB Auburn
The Jets main priority is to get John Abraham back and will likely do it with the franchise tag. The GM of the Jets has stated that they want to add a lot of youth to the secondary and there's no better way to start than with a guy like Carlos Rogers. Rogers was named the top cornerback in college football this year and there's no reason to think it was a fluke. He was one of the main reasons for Auburn's success this year and is a leader on the defense. If Rogers isn't the answer, they might take a look at Justin Miller out of Clemson or Ernest Shazor out of Michigan.

Other Possibilities: Justin Miller, CB Clemson; Marlin Jackson, CB Michigan; Ernest Shazor, SS Michigan; Brodney Pool, SS Oklahoma; Adam Terry, OT Syracuse;

NOTE: Picks 27-32 will not yet have explinations due to the non-set draft order. So they are just picks until February 6th.

27) Atlanta Falcons: Adam Terry, OT Syracuse
28) San Diego Chargers: Dan Cody, OLB Oklahoma
29) Indianapolis Colts: Justin Miller, CB Clemson
30) New England Patriots: Elton Brown, OG Virginia
31) Philadelphia Eagles: Roddy White, WR UAB
32) Pittsburgh Steelers: Brandon Browner, CB Oregon State
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Old 01-19-2005   #3
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pretty good mock...I was shocked to see Rolle available at 13...He doesn't address our most pressing needs, but it would be hard to pass up that much potential at that pick...
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Old 01-19-2005   #4
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He probably won't be, but you never know, the draft is always full of weird surprises
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Old 01-19-2005   #5
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dont be shy to criticize
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Old 01-19-2005   #6
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Looks solid except for Merriman going be for Erasmus James, and that dude from temple will not go in the first round.
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Old 01-19-2005   #7
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Just for argument sake, I think 16 is a little high for Wallace...Burnett seems to be a better prospect, but he's coming off knee surgery...You're right, the Saints are pretty much an enigma as far as the draft is concerned...

Also, I've seen on a few forums that Viking fans are crying about not needing a DT regardless of what plays out with the Hovan situation...Viking fans seem to want more secondary support than anything...

And what, no Mike Nugent? He's a top 15 pick!



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Old 01-19-2005   #8
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overall excellent I'm very impressed. as good as any I've seen, of course I have different ideas but that doesn't mean either of us are going to right come draft day, that being said-

the 49ers will trade out of the 1st pick, but Aaron Rogers will be selected over Alex Smith.
the Fins need a rb not a qb, maybe your right but Edgerrin James just doesn't seem to be a Saban type plus he's on the downhill side of his career. Travis Henry combo with Cedric seems like a better plan.
Browns=Barron
Bears need a complete package @ WR & Edwards to me is clearly the best talent in the draft at this position & very coachable.
Bucs fit better with Carnell Williams reminds me more of Warrick Dunn or Curtis Martin.
Titans=Johnson
Raiders might win the Edgerrin sweepstakes which would still leave a huge hole @ WR see Mike Williams.
Cards=Smith & not Emmitt, I'd be shocked if Kipper convinces the whole NFL Alex deserves to be a top 5 pick.
Skins scare me, this is were I'm worried they select the new hog, Elton Brown.
Lions=Davis
Boyz will not pass on Rolle even though Merrimen seems like a viable pick.
Bolts=Jammal Brown
Texans wheres the beef? Carr needs protection & running game improves without another RB instead commitment to the offensive line in Elton Brown.

thats probably enough for now, since all we care about really are the Texans anyway, still I basicly like your Mock draft, good job
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Old 01-20-2005   #9
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pretty good mock...I was shocked to see Rolle available at 13...He doesn't address our most pressing needs, but it would be hard to pass up that much potential at that pick...
WOW! You guys are willing to use the 13th pick in first round on a guy the mock draft suggests may not start for 1-2 years? We must be stronger than I thought. I like what I hear about Rolle, but isn't dline a bigger need? I strongly believe Payne will be gone as someone will pay him more than the minimum Texans will offer.
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Old 01-20-2005   #10
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Originally Posted by Meloy
I strongly believe Payne will be gone as someone will pay him more than the minimum Texans will offer.
What in the world would make you think the Texans will only offer Payne minimum? Casserly said the 1st priority of the off-season was resigning Texans' free agents. The Texans for good or bad have shown a willingness to look past injuries--remember Walker signed his possibly too big contract after missing the majority of 2003. Also, Payne's injury is getting overblown. The surgery he is having is the same one Walker had during the off-season before his 2002 Pro-Bowl season. I'm betting on a 3-4 year contract for Payne at about $3 mil per year.
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Old 01-20-2005   #11
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What in the world would make you think the Texans will only offer Payne minimum? Casserly said the 1st priority of the off-season was resigning Texans' free agents. The Texans for good or bad have shown a willingness to look past injuries--remember Walker signed his possibly too big contract after missing the majority of 2003. Also, Payne's injury is getting overblown. The surgery he is having is the same one Walker had during the off-season before his 2002 Pro-Bowl season. I'm betting on a 3-4 year contract for Payne at about $3 mil per year.
I'd jump at $3m as being good for Texans but I think others will offer more. The minimum suggestion was the response I got from Charlie Pallilo today when I suggested Payne will be gone. Your note about Walker seems to comfirm my point. Subtract Payne's injury games and all I can say is he had 2
solid years. I think we need powerful addition to dline rather than a solid player. I've heard radio callers say, Walker, Payne and Smith played well below expectations most of this season.
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Old 01-20-2005   #12
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Originally Posted by Meloy
WOW! You guys are willing to use the 13th pick in first round on a guy the mock draft suggests may not start for 1-2 years? We must be stronger than I thought. I like what I hear about Rolle, but isn't dline a bigger need? I strongly believe Payne will be gone as someone will pay him more than the minimum Texans will offer.
The fact that Rolle wouldn't start is not neccesarily a bad thing. Rookies rarely succeed in their first year anyway. It is possible they move him to safety but I doubt it.

If there's a guy like Rolle on the board at 13, I see no way you can pass him again.
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Old 01-20-2005   #13
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People need to understand that Robinson's success as a rookie corner (minus a couple early games) is not the norm. If AG can still go then there's nothing wrong with a rookie CB starting out in a S or nickel situation for his first year. (Eugene Wilson for the Patriots)
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