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Old 12-10-2013   #1
AndyWin
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Default Made it to Week 15! Survivor League help please

Well, that's 2 weeks in a row now where all 6 of us advanced. The stakes have made every Sunday incredibly stressful. From Patriots almost blowing it to Houston the week before to Ravens/Vikings scoring FIVE touchdowns in the final 2:07 on Sunday...

3 of us got lucky with the Ravens (almost had a heart attack). 1 guy got lucky with Patriots over Browns on an onside kick and phantom pass interference call in the endzone. 2 easily picked Denver over Titans.

This week, I'm the only one left who has Carolina left and they play Jets at home. After the embarrassment last night in New Orleans, I think Carolina gets focused and bounces back. Their defense should be too strong for Geno Smith to handle. #1 rush defense and #5 pass defense... #2 overall defense. Jets have a stout rush defense themselves, but this game is home in Carolina (6-1) and they play well at home while the Jets (1-6) play poorly on the road. Jets looked good at home against the Raiders but I'm not sure how much weight to put on that. They lost 3 straight before that in blowouts (@buffalo, @baltimore, vsMiami)

3 other guys can choose Kansas City this week @ Oakland. They should easily win, but it's still a road game. I prefer to avoid this game since 3 others will be using them (I'm just assuming because it's the only other game in Week 15 that is as obvious as a NFL game can get). IF the Raiders do win, it would put me in prime position! (or I could just be the only idiot eliminated ugh)

Not sure what the 2 other guys will do. They don't have Carolina or KC to use... I guess one could use Denver at home vs Chargers? Gross...

I put so much thought into these every week, but I know every week will be close and come down to the final few minutes. It's been brutal! I hope Carolina pounces on them early. Jets are a bit unpredictable but on the road vs a tough/physical team that just got embarrassed... they are going to jump on the rookie Geno hard.

For what it's worth:
Week 16: I'm doing Bengals at home vs Vikings. Everyone has Bengals left though so I'm assuming everyone is using them this week. There's really no other smart game to choose.

Week 17: Either Steelers home vs Browns or Miami home vs Jets... Stressful
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Old 12-10-2013   #2
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Default Re: Made it to Week 15! Survivor League help please

Panthers definitely the pick this week, imo. Break a leg!
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Old 12-10-2013   #3
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Default Re: Made it to Week 15! Survivor League help please

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Originally Posted by Playoffs View Post
Panthers definitely the pick this week, imo. Break a leg!

Only thing is you never know what you're gonna get with these Jets. Their defense is strong, and that alone can keep them in any game.
Carolina looked VERY vulnerable @ New Orleans the other day but who doesn't I suppose...

I'll continue to beat myself up over this for the next 6 days...
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Old 12-10-2013   #4
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Default Re: Made it to Week 15! Survivor League help please

Wow, you are in good position, congrats! Carolina and KC should easily win this week, so either is a good pick, unless you want to save them for a future week.

Cincy over Minny in week 16 is great. AP might not even play that game, which would make it a lock for Cincy.

Week 17 I'd go with the Dolphins fighting for a WC spot at home. They should show up for that game.
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Old 12-10-2013   #5
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Default Re: Made it to Week 15! Survivor League help please

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Originally Posted by Dutchrudder View Post
Wow, you are in good position, congrats! Carolina and KC should easily win this week, so either is a good pick, unless you want to save them for a future week.

Cincy over Minny in week 16 is great. AP might not even play that game, which would make it a lock for Cincy.

Week 17 I'd go with the Dolphins fighting for a WC spot at home. They should show up for that game.

Thanks! I think AP is fine though... but it definitely makes sense for Minnesota to rest him. No point in having him play and carry 25-30+ times and risk something. That being said, Toby Gerhart is a very viable running back. But yes, Bengals at home playing for playoffs and Vikings playing for nothing. (said the same thing on Sunday about the Ravens vs Vikings game and that almost killed me)

I'd monitor Miami and Steeler's playoff status and choose the team with most to play for in Week 17.
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Old 12-10-2013   #6
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Default Re: Made it to Week 15! Survivor League help please

I would bet all the money and assets I have to my name that the Steelers will not make the playoffs this year.
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