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Old 07-14-2008   #264
The Pencil Neck
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Default Re: Sage want a chance to be a starter.

Quote:
Originally Posted by 76Texan View Post
Something interesting I found, JFYI.

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/200...eep-zone/6351/

......
So if teams have been spreading the field for a decade or more, why does it suddenly look new? One thing that has changed in recent years is the number of shotgun sets. Check out the rise in passes from the shotgun in the past four seasons:

Year Pct of passes
from shotgun
2004 20.1%
2005 24.7%
2006 30.3%
2007 41.5%

This is radical change in just a few seasons, and it’s probably due to the success Peyton Manning had using shotgun sets on non-passing downs four or five years ago. You can go team-by-team, quarterback-by-quarterback, and see philosophies change. Donovan McNabb threw 77 passes from the shotgun in 2006 but 245 in 2007. Broncos quarterbacks threw 70 shotgun passes in 2005, 109 in 2006, and 255 in 2007.

The rise in shotgun sets explains why teams are classifying the new trend as a rise in “spread” offenses, not as a return to the run ‘n’ shoot, which didn’t use the shotgun much. Meyer’s spread-option, which is taking college football by storm, is built almost exclusively around shotgun formations, though Meyer-inspired teams will often use two running backs and a tight end in shotgun sets. NFL teams like the Jaguars take a similar approach, keeping the backs and tight end on the field and running delays and draws from the shotgun. The real trend in the NFL may be that teams are finding new ways to run the ball from shotgun sets, allowing them to use the shotgun on first-and-10, adding much more variety to already complex offenses.

But while teams may be adopting some Meyer principles, nobody is running a spread-option in the NFL. And technically, teams aren’t “spreading the field” any more than they have been for the last decade. Shotgun offenses are on the rise, not spread offenses. A semantic point, but it’s important to get our terminology as precise as possible.
It's interesting but not particularly surprising. I'd like to see the numbers over the past 50 years. I think it would look like a sine wave.

The shotgun and the spread come and go every few years sometimes with different names and guises. They become popular and then they fall out of favor and then they get popular, etc. A lot of teams have relied on the spread and/or the shotgun off and on over the years.

Sometimes the spread has been used with the shotgun and sometimes not.

So, yeah, I can see your point. Dogging Kolb because he's a shotgun QB might not be all that valid but it was a concern that a lot of people ahd. Maybe it's kinda like the myth of 30+ carries per game with running backs. Scouts and GM's always talk about 30+ carry guy but very few people have ever actually carried the ball over 30 carries a game for a full season. Jim Brown never did it. IIRC, Emmit Smith and Walter Payton never did it, either. But you never hear anyone bad mouthing those guys as being wimpy because they couldn't carry the rock 30x per game.
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