Originally Posted by jagsfanincanada
The oddsmakers didn't necessarily think you guys would lose by a TD. They set the line at what they think will get the most people to bet. If a lot of people had been betting one way or the other, the line would have changed. I bet a lot of poeple won this week by saying the Texans would cover the spread. Hell, I probably would have bet they'd cover the spread if I was a betting man.
You're right of course when you say the odds makers spread is ultimately set
by the "market". But I was really referring to was the predictions in general which were mostly clustered aound a TD. And by the way, let me congratulate you on your ability to place a successful bet based on hindsight as yours is as good as everyone elses, which is 20-20.