Originally Posted by gwallaia
If the Broncos lose the next two, they finish 8-8. If we win the next two, we finish 8-8. The Broncos beat us and hold the tie breaker. It does not matter what the Bills or Jags do; I think we are officially mathematically eliminated.
Head to head tiebreakers (except for head to head 'sweep' which isn't applicable in this case) go out the window when more than two teams from different divisions are involved. Conference record takes over in this case. The reason the Texans are mathmetically alive is because they would finish 7-5 in conference if they won out and would have a better conference record than any of the current 8-6 teams if they all lost their last two games. Not very likely at all but it is possible.